Amstetten vs Austria Wien II: match statistics

Amstetten have recorded just 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat, but remain unbeaten at home, averaging 1.5 goals per match. The hosts create significantly more chances: their average home xG stands at 2.83 compared with Austria Wien II’s away xG of 1.27, while they also register 25.5 shots and 9.5 shots on target per game. Austria Wien II sit higher in the table and have won 3 of their last 5 matches; however, away from home they concede an average of 1 goal, with an xG against of 1.58. The visitors are more clinical, converting 11% of their shots into goals compared with Amstetten’s 6%, but their lower chance creation and average possession of just 37% point to a home advantage. Both teams have scored in every home or away match they have played, making a narrow Amstetten win the most likely outcome.

The BTTS signal is mixed, but the BTTS - No option—meaning that at least one team fails to score—has a slight edge. Amstetten recorded BTTS in only 33% of their matches this season, while Austria Wien II did so in 50%, matching the league average of 50%. The visitors kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches and conceded just 1.00 goal on average, whereas the hosts failed to score in 33% of their games. However, Amstetten have improved their attacking potential in their last five appearances, generating an xG of 1.98, while Austria Wien II conceded only 1.2 goals per game over the same period. The hosts are favored to score, thanks to their home average of 1.67 goals, but the visitors’ more solid defense and Amstetten’s low season BTTS rate marginally support the BTTS - No scenario.

Amstetten averages 1.67 goals at home, but its season xG stands at just 1.05, while Austria Wien II concedes only 1.00 goal per away match and keeps a clean sheet in 50% of games. The visitors register more shots on target, 5.00 compared with 3.33, but their average away scoring output is only 1.00 goal, with an 11% shooting conversion rate versus 22% for the hosts. In their last five matches, both teams have conceded 1.2 goals per game, supporting a scenario with a total of two or three goals. The Under 3.5 line has the edge, as only 33% of Amstetten’s matches and 0% of Austria Wien II’s away games have gone beyond four goals, while neither team has recorded a match with over 4.5 goals. The expected total of 2.55 goals provides a clear safety margin for the Under 3.5 pick.

The strongest scenario is Austria Vienna II leading at the break and maintaining their advantage until full time, as the visitors were ahead after 45 minutes in 60% of their last five matches, while Amstetten were trailing at that stage in as many as 60% of games. During this period, Austria II averaged 1.0 goals scored before half-time and conceded only 0.4, whereas the hosts scored just 0.4 and allowed opponents to net 0.8. The visitors are also in better current points-based form, winning 60% of their last five matches compared with Amstetten’s 20% win rate. Austria II’s attack generates an average xG of 1.27, while Amstetten’s defense allows 1.23 xG, which supports an away goal. Although the hosts won 67% of their home matches and led at half-time in as many as 67% of them, their recent form and weaker first-half figures point more towards the visitors.