Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor: match statistics

Antalyaspor have the home advantage: they won their only home match so far, scoring 4 goals, while Pendikspor lost their only away game 1:4. The hosts have been slightly more effective in their last five matches, scoring 7 goals and collecting 7 points, compared with the visitors’ 6 goals and 5 points. Pendikspor are capable of creating chances, with an away xG of 1.78 from 18 shots per match, but they convert this into just 1 goal per game, with a shot-conversion rate of only 6%. Both defenses leave plenty of space, as Antalyaspor concede an average of 3 goals at home and Pendikspor 4 away, but the hosts have scored in every home match and convert as many as 29% of their shots. Home advantage and greater efficiency in front of goal point to a narrow Antalyaspor win, although the visitors’ attacking potential clearly increases the risk of a draw or a game in which both teams score.

The signal for goals from both sides is clear, as in the available part of the season, both Antalyaspor and Pendikspor recorded BTTS - Yes in 100% of their matches, and neither team kept a clean sheet. Antalyaspor scored an average of 2.0 goals per match, while Pendikspor conceded as many as 4.0, strongly supporting the expectation of at least one home goal. The visitors scored an average of 1.0 goal, but their xG stands at 1.78, while Antalyaspor conceded an average of 1.8 goals in their last five matches, with an xG against of 1.66. Recent form lowers confidence in the pick, as BTTS from the last five matches stands at 40% for the hosts and 60% for the visitors; however, both sides scored 7 and 6 goals respectively during this period and conceded 9 each. Therefore, the more likely scenario is that both teams will score, although the edge over BTTS - Yes is not exceptionally strong.

Both teams have scored and conceded in every match so far this season, and all of their games have ended with at least two goals. Antalyaspor average 18 shots, including 7 on target, and generate 2.18 xG, while Pendikspor have 1.78 xG in attack. Their last five matches have been noticeably tighter: both teams had only 40% of their games finish Over 2.5 goals, yet they conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match. Pendikspor have already conceded 4 goals per match in the current season data, while the hosts score an average of 2.0, strengthening the outlook for at least two goals. The strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5 goals, supported both by a 100% record in such outcomes and by the attacking metrics of both sides.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Antalyaspor win, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 40% of their last five matches, compared with 60% for Pendikspor. During this period, Antalyaspor conceded only 0.2 goals per match before the break, while Pendikspor allowed opponents 0.8 goals, favouring an even, rather cautious opening. After the break, the hosts have a clearer basis for turning the game in their favor: their average xG stands at 2.18 compared with 1.78 for the visitors, and they average 7 shots on target against Pendikspor’s 4. The visitors remain capable of responding, however, having averaged 0.8 goals after half-time in their last five matches, meaning the option of a draw at full-time retains significant potential. Nevertheless, home advantage and Antalyaspor’s superior chance creation quality suggest that if the match is level at half-time, the hosts are more likely to decide its outcome in the second half.