Araz vs Mil Mugan FK: match statistics
Araz vs Mil Mugan FK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Araz play Mil Mugan FK in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Araz: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Mil Mugan FK: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Araz scores 1.36 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Mil Mugan FK scores 0.70 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Araz 58%, Mil Mugan FK 24%. Over 2.5: Araz 58%, Mil Mugan FK 30%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Araz has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.00. Araz: 9.6 shots per match, Mil Mugan FK: 8.3.
Match halves
Araz: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.79. Mil Mugan FK: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Araz: 31-45+ (13 goals). Mil Mugan FK: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Araz has a clear advantage in chance creation and efficiency at home: they average 10.57 shots per game, including 3.36 on target, have an xG of 1.34 and score 1.29 goals per match, whereas Mil Mugan on the road average 8.07 shots, 2.93 on target, have xG 0.99 and score 0.93 goals. Additionally, Araz fail to score in only 29% of home games, while Mil Mugan fail to score in 53% of their away matches, which increases the hosts’ likelihood of finding the net. Defensively the hosts are vulnerable — Araz concede 1.64 goals at home on average (xG against 1.54), whereas Mil Mugan concede 1.13 goals away and keep a 53% clean sheet rate on the road, so the game can be open. In the last 5 matches Araz have averaged 0.8 points per game (1W, 1D, 3L), and Mil Mugan 1.4 points (2W, 1D, 2L), but season-long figures favor Araz (12 wins and 39 goals versus the visitors’ 7 wins and 21 goals). Based on this I forecast a home win, estimating 58% for Araz, 22% for a draw and 20% for Mil Mugan.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Araz | Mil Mugan FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Araz is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Araz · 1 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Araz is 94% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Araz · 0.7 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK
Mil Mugan FK is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Araz · 1.24 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK
Araz scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
Mil Mugan FK scores in 45% of matches (15 of 33 matches), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Araz
Over / Under — Mil Mugan FK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Araz is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Araz · 1.18 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Araz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mil Mugan FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Araz
Mil Mugan FK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Araz | Liga | Mil Mugan FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.09 | 2.58 | ▼ 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 46% | ▼ 24% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 48% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 31% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 65% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Araz 2 - 0 - 0 Mil Mugan FK. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Araz vs Mil Mugan FK?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Araz 0:1 Mil Mugan FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Araz and Mil Mugan FK?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Araz won 2, Mil Mugan FK won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Araz vs Mil Mugan FK?
Araz score 1.36 goals per game on average and Mil Mugan FK 0.70. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Araz's matches and 24% of Mil Mugan FK's.
What form are Araz and Mil Mugan FK in?
Over the last 5 games Araz have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mil Mugan FK 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Araz vs Mil Mugan FK?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.