Arba Minch Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena: match statistics
Arba Minch Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arba Minch Kenema play Hadiya Hosaena in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 9 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Arba Minch Kenema: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Hadiya Hosaena: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.82 and concedes 0.92. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arba Minch Kenema 42%, Hadiya Hosaena 47%. Over 2.5: Arba Minch Kenema 29%, Hadiya Hosaena 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Arba Minch Kenema has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.04. Arba Minch Kenema: 7.3 shots per match, Hadiya Hosaena: 6.1.
Match halves
Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.39. Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Arba Minch Kenema: 31-45+ (8 goals). Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Hadiya Hosaena sit 13th versus Arba Minch Kenema in 20th and have 7 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses with 21 goals scored compared to the hosts’ 4 wins, 10 draws, 11 losses and 18 goals, indicating an edge for the visitors. At home Arba average 0.5 goals, fail to score in 58% of matches and concede 1.5 goals per game, while Hadiya away record shows 0.75 goals, fail to score in 33% of matches and concede only 0.75 goals with 50% clean sheets, giving the visitors a clear defensive advantage. Although Arba register more shots per game (6.73 vs 5.58) and higher possession (53% vs 43%), their shot conversion is 8% versus Hadiya’s 13%, and average xG is 1.12 (Arba) vs 1.01 (Hadiya), meaning the visitors make better use of limited chances. In the last 5 matches Arba have scored 7 goals and average 1.8 points per game (3 wins, 2 losses), whereas Hadiya have 4 goals and 1.0 point per game (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses), so short-term form favors the hosts but does not offset the defensive disparity. Considering Hadiya’s defensive stability (0.75 conceded and 50% clean sheets away) and Arba’s high proportion of goalless games (58%), I forecast a victory for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arba Minch Kenema | Hadiya Hosaena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hadiya Hosaena is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.92 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Arba Minch Kenema
Over / Under — Hadiya Hosaena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arba Minch Kenema
Hadiya Hosaena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Arba Minch Kenema | Liga | Hadiya Hosaena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.78 | • 1.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 29% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 40% | ▼ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 58% | 59% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arba Minch Kenema 0 - 1 - 0 Hadiya Hosaena. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arba Minch Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Arba Minch Kenema 0:1 Hadiya Hosaena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arba Minch Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena?
Arba Minch Kenema score 0.79 goals per game on average and Hadiya Hosaena 0.82. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Arba Minch Kenema's matches and 47% of Hadiya Hosaena's.
What form are Arba Minch Kenema and Hadiya Hosaena in?
Over the last 5 games Arba Minch Kenema have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Hadiya Hosaena 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arba Minch Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.