Arba Minch Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis: match statistics
Arba Minch Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arba Minch Kenema play Kedus Giorgis in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 13 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Arba Minch Kenema: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Kedus Giorgis: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Kedus Giorgis scores 0.89 and concedes 0.84. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arba Minch Kenema 42%, Kedus Giorgis 32%. Over 2.5: Arba Minch Kenema 29%, Kedus Giorgis 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Kedus Giorgis has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.12. Arba Minch Kenema: 7.3 shots per match, Kedus Giorgis: 8.0.
Match halves
Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.39. Kedus Giorgis: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Arba Minch Kenema: 31-45+ (8 goals). Kedus Giorgis: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict an away win (2): Kedus Giorgis averages xG 1.38 on the road and registers 3.85 shots on target from 10 attempts, while Arba Minch at home records xG 1.14 and only 1.83 shots on target from 6.92 attempts. The visitors average 0.69 goals away versus 0.46 scored by the hosts at home, and the hosts have a high share of home matches without a goal — FTS 62% versus 54% for the visitors. Defensively Kedus concedes 1.08 goals on average away, and Arba Minch concedes 1.46 at home; the difference in goal difference (home GD for hosts -13 vs away GD for visitors -5) confirms the hosts’ weaker defensive form. In the last 5 matches the hosts have won 2 and lost 3 (PPG 1.2), while the visitors have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses (PPG 1.4), giving Kedus a slight points advantage. Considering the higher xG (1.38 vs 1.14), greater number of shots on target (3.85 vs 1.83) and the fact that the hosts have not yet won at home (Win% 0) and carry a -13 GD, I assess the probabilities as: away win 60%, draw 25%, home win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arba Minch Kenema | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kedus Giorgis is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 2.6 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kedus Giorgis is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.89 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis
Kedus Giorgis is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.84 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 38% (14 of 37 matches).
Kedus Giorgis scores in 59% of matches (22 of 37 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Arba Minch Kenema
Over / Under — Kedus Giorgis
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kedus Giorgis is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.46 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kedus Giorgis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arba Minch Kenema
Kedus Giorgis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Arba Minch Kenema | Liga | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.78 | • 1.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 29% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 40% | ▼ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 58% | 59% | • 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arba Minch Kenema 0 - 0 - 1 Kedus Giorgis. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arba Minch Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Arba Minch Kenema 2:2 Kedus Giorgis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arba Minch Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?
Arba Minch Kenema score 0.79 goals per game on average and Kedus Giorgis 0.89. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Arba Minch Kenema's matches and 32% of Kedus Giorgis's.
What form are Arba Minch Kenema and Kedus Giorgis in?
Over the last 5 games Arba Minch Kenema have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Kedus Giorgis 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arba Minch Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis?
The statistical background for Arba Minch Kenema vs Kedus Giorgis — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.