Arba Minch Kenema vs Shire Endaselassie: match statistics
Arba Minch Kenema vs Shire Endaselassie: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arba Minch Kenema play Shire Endaselassie in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 15 June 2026 at 14:00. Venue: Arba Minch Stadium. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Arba Minch Kenema: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Shire Endaselassie: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Shire Endaselassie scores 0.65 and concedes 0.86. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arba Minch Kenema 42%, Shire Endaselassie 27%. Over 2.5: Arba Minch Kenema 29%, Shire Endaselassie 19%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Arba Minch Kenema has higher xG: 1.12 vs 0.95. Arba Minch Kenema: 7.3 shots per match, Shire Endaselassie: 5.3.
Match halves
Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.39. Shire Endaselassie: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.27.
Goals by minute
Arba Minch Kenema: 31-45+ (8 goals). Shire Endaselassie: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a draw: both teams exhibit very low attacking efficiency and a high draw rate — Arba Minch has not won at home (Win% at home 0%) and records 41% draws at their stadium, while Shire has 47% draws on the road. Hosts score an average of 0.59 goals in home matches and concede 1.59, whereas visitors score 0.53 goals away and concede only 1.00, indicating a low-scoring game with better defensive organization from Shire. In terms of chance quality Arba generates slightly more xG and shots: xG at home 1.06 versus 0.93 xG for the visitors and 6.63 average shots vs 5.18, but the conversion rate is low (9% vs 10%) and rarely translates into more goals. In the last 5 matches Arba scored 6 goals with an average of 1.4 points per game, and Shire 3 goals with 1.6 points per game, so form slightly favors the visitors but is not decisive. Considering the hosts’ lack of home wins, the visitors’ superior defensive metrics (1.00 goals conceded away, 35% clean sheets) and the high incidence of draws, a split of the points is the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arba Minch Kenema | Shire Endaselassie | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arba Minch Kenema is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1 pts / match - Shire Endaselassie
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arba Minch Kenema is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.65 goals / match - Shire Endaselassie
Shire Endaselassie is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.86 goals / match - Shire Endaselassie
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Shire Endaselassie keeps a clean sheet in 41% (15 of 37 matches).
Shire Endaselassie scores in 46% of matches (17 of 37 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Arba Minch Kenema
Over / Under — Shire Endaselassie
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shire Endaselassie is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.27 pts / match - Shire Endaselassie
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shire Endaselassie - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arba Minch Kenema
Shire Endaselassie
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Arba Minch Kenema | Liga | Shire Endaselassie | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.51 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 29% | 28% | ▼ 19% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 40% | • 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▼ 51% |
| Goal after half-time | • 58% | 59% | ▼ 51% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arba Minch Kenema 0 - 0 - 1 Shire Endaselassie. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arba Minch Kenema vs Shire Endaselassie?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Arba Minch Kenema 2:0 Shire Endaselassie. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arba Minch Kenema vs Shire Endaselassie?
Arba Minch Kenema score 0.79 goals per game on average and Shire Endaselassie 0.65. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Arba Minch Kenema's matches and 27% of Shire Endaselassie's.
What form are Arba Minch Kenema and Shire Endaselassie in?
Over the last 5 games Arba Minch Kenema have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Shire Endaselassie 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arba Minch Kenema vs Shire Endaselassie?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.