Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: match statistics
Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arba Minch Kenema play Welwalo Adigrat Uni in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 26 June 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Arba Minch Stadium. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Arba Minch Kenema: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.82 and concedes 0.97. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arba Minch Kenema 42%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 46%. Over 2.5: Arba Minch Kenema 29%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 31%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Arba Minch Kenema has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.03. Arba Minch Kenema: 7.3 shots per match, Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.7.
Match halves
Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.39. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Arba Minch Kenema: 31-45+ (8 goals). Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict an away win. Welwalo Adigrat Uni sit 16th vs 20th Arba Minch Kenema and have 9 wins this season compared to the hosts' 7, with a superior goal record of 30 scored and 35 conceded versus Arba's 29-43. The visitors concede only 0.83 goals per away match, while the home side concedes 1.5 at home; clean sheet rate is 44% for Welwalo vs 22% for Arba. In attack Welwalo averages 2.53 SOT per game with a 15% conversion rate, while Arba records 1.88 SOT and a 10% conversion, with both teams’ average xG around 1.06, indicating a finishing edge for the visitors. Although Arba have slightly better recent form (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in last 5, PPG 1.4) compared to Welwalo (1-3-1, PPG 1.2), the seasonal defensive differentials and efficiency favor the away side.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arba Minch Kenema | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 0.97 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 59% of matches (23 of 39 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Arba Minch Kenema
Over / Under — Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema · 1.21 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arba Minch Kenema
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Arba Minch Kenema | Liga | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.78 | • 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▲ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 29% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 40% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | • 58% | 59% | ▼ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arba Minch Kenema 1 - 0 - 0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Arba Minch Kenema 0:1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Arba Minch Kenema score 0.79 goals per game on average and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.82. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Arba Minch Kenema's matches and 46% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's.
What form are Arba Minch Kenema and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in?
Over the last 5 games Arba Minch Kenema have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.