Scotland - ChampionshipData current as of September 12, 2026

Arbroath vs Queen's Park: match statistics

Arbroath crest
Arbroath
1 : 0half-time 1:0
Queen's Park crest
Queen's Park
150%(1.72)
X30%(3.50)
220%(4.94)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 1Won
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.53.83
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favorable long term.-14.00%

Arbroath display solid home form with a 43% win rate and just 7% losses at their own ground, achieving a positive goal difference of +7 in home matches. The hosts remain unbeaten in their last five matches, albeit with a majority of draws. Queen's Park have a weaker away record with a 43% loss rate and a negative goal difference of -8, conceding an average of 1.79 goals per match. xG statistics also favor Arbroath (1.36 vs 0.99), suggesting a higher quality of chances created. The hosts' advantage in possession (48% vs 43%) and a better shot conversion rate further support the forecast of an Arbroath victory, although their recent series of draws may result in an increased probability of a points split.

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Arbroath vs Queen's Park: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Arbroath played against Queen's Park in Championship (Scotland). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Arbroath has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Queen's Park has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Arbroath scores 1.28 goals per game and allows 1.14. Queen's Park scores 1.10 and allows 1.41. Games in this league average 2.38 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 55% of Arbroath's games and 62% of Queen's Park's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 48%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Arbroath has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 1.01 per game. Arbroath takes 10.6 shots per game, while Queen's Park takes 7.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Arbroath leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.90 goals per game after halftime. Queen's Park leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.59 after halftime.

When the teams score

Arbroath's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For Queen's Park, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.38 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Arbroath display solid home form with a 43% win rate and just 7% losses at their own ground, achieving a positive goal difference of +7 in home matches. The hosts remain unbeaten in their last five matches, albeit with a majority of draws. Queen's Park have a weaker away record with a 43% loss rate and a negative goal difference of -8, conceding an average of 1.79 goals per match. xG statistics also favor Arbroath (1.36 vs 0.99), suggesting a higher quality of chances created. The hosts' advantage in possession (48% vs 43%) and a better shot conversion rate further support the forecast of an Arbroath victory, although their recent series of draws may result in an increased probability of a points split.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

48Possession (%)52
ArbroathQueen's Park
5Shots6
ArbroathQueen's Park
2Shots on target2
ArbroathQueen's Park
0.81xG0.81
ArbroathQueen's Park
8Corners4
ArbroathQueen's Park
47Dangerous attacks38
ArbroathQueen's Park
12Fouls8
ArbroathQueen's Park
2Cards2
ArbroathQueen's Park

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.52Points per gamePPG - points per game.1.21
ArbroathQueen's Park
1.28Goals scored / game1.1
ArbroathQueen's Park
1.14Goals allowed / game1.41
ArbroathQueen's Park
1.32xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.01
ArbroathQueen's Park
45%Average possession44%
ArbroathQueen's Park
3.83Shots on target / game2.9
ArbroathQueen's Park
24%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.24%
ArbroathQueen's Park
55%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.62%
ArbroathQueen's Park

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.59Shots per game7.76
ArbroathQueen's Park
3.83Shots on target2.9
ArbroathQueen's Park
12.1%Shot conversion14.2%
ArbroathQueen's Park
45%Possession44%
ArbroathQueen's Park
1.32xG for1.01
ArbroathQueen's Park
1.3xG against1.61
ArbroathQueen's Park

Shooting quality

Arbroath: Counter-attackingQueen's Park: Counter-attacking
ArbroathQueen's Park
Accuracy (shots on target)36%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Queen's Park is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Arbroath · 1.6 pts / game - Queen's Park

Arbroath
WDDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
38% W38% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-11-7
1.52 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-7-1
Last 5 at home
1-4-0
DDWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Queen's Park
DLWWD
Season result split
28% W38% D34% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-11-10
1.21 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-6
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WLWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.95Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Arbroath is 16% better for: goals scored per game.

1.28 goals / game - Arbroath · 1.1 goals / game - Queen's Park

Arbroath is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.14 goals / game - Arbroath · 1.41 goals / game - Queen's Park

Arbroath scoring profile: strong

Arbroath scores in 66% of games (19 of 29 meczów), while Queen's Park keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 meczów).

Queen's Park scoring profile: very strong

Queen's Park scores in 72% of games (21 of 29 meczów), while Arbroath keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 meczów).

37Goals scored (season)32
ArbroathQueen's Park
33Goals conceded (season)41
ArbroathQueen's Park
2.41Average goals per game2.52
ArbroathQueen's Park
5Goals scored (last 5)5
ArbroathQueen's Park
3Goals conceded (last 5)4
ArbroathQueen's Park
Arbroath
24%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.7 of 29 meczów
34%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.10 of 29 meczów
Queen's Park
24%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.7 of 29 meczów
28%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.8 of 29 meczów

How often they score at least...

66%1 goal72%
ArbroathQueen's Park
34%2 goals28%
ArbroathQueen's Park
21%3 goals10%
ArbroathQueen's Park
7%4 goals0%
ArbroathQueen's Park

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal76%
ArbroathQueen's Park
21%2 goals31%
ArbroathQueen's Park
10%3 goals17%
ArbroathQueen's Park
3%4 goals14%
ArbroathQueen's Park

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

55%
Arbroath - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 29 meczów
62%
Queen's Park - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 29 meczów
48%
League average

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time28%
ArbroathQueen's Park
3%BTTS in both halves3%
ArbroathQueen's Park
21%Scored in both halves17%
ArbroathQueen's Park

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
ArbroathQueen's Park
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
ArbroathQueen's Park
40%BTTS - last 560%
ArbroathQueen's Park

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

86%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.86%
ArbroathQueen's Park
72%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.69%
ArbroathQueen's Park
45%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.48%
ArbroathQueen's Park
21%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.24%
ArbroathQueen's Park
14%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.17%
ArbroathQueen's Park

Over / Under - Arbroath

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 86%Under 14%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 72%Under 28%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 45%Under 55%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 21%Under 79%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 14%Under 86%

Over / Under - Queen's Park

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 86%Under 14%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 69%Under 31%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 48%Under 52%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 24%Under 76%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 17%Under 83%

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
ArbroathQueen's Park
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
ArbroathQueen's Park
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
ArbroathQueen's Park

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time66%
ArbroathQueen's Park
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time34%
ArbroathQueen's Park
28%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
ArbroathQueen's Park

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Queen's Park is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.1 pts / game - Arbroath · 1.24 pts / game - Queen's Park

Arbroath - half-time state
21% leading48% draw31% trailing
Queen's Park - half-time state
24% leading52% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.1Points per game (1st half)1.24
ArbroathQueen's Park
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.52
ArbroathQueen's Park
0.41Goals conceded (1st half)0.72
ArbroathQueen's Park
0.79Average goals (1st half)1.24
ArbroathQueen's Park
66%Clean sheet before half-time52%
ArbroathQueen's Park
72%No goal before half-time52%
ArbroathQueen's Park

After half-time (2nd half)

1.52Points per game (2nd half)1.17
ArbroathQueen's Park
0.9Goals scored (2nd half)0.59
ArbroathQueen's Park
0.72Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
ArbroathQueen's Park
1.62Average goals (2nd half)1.28
ArbroathQueen's Park
48%Clean sheet after half-time48%
ArbroathQueen's Park
41%No goal after half-time59%
ArbroathQueen's Park

Arbroath - second-half results

34% W48% D17% L
32
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding181%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Queen's Park - second-half results

24% W45% D31% L
36
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Arbroath - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.40
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.41.2
1 goal20%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Queen's Park - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.40
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game0.81.0
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Arbroath
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
4
31-45
9
6
46-60
9
5
61-75
8
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Queen's Park
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
3
9
16-30
9
7
31-45
2
4
46-60
5
5
61-75
10
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+62%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Arbroath

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Queen's Park

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

ArbroathLigaQueen's Park
Average goals per game• 2.412.38▲ 2.52
Both teams scored▲ 55%48%▲ 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 45%43%▲ 48%
Clean sheets▼ 24%33%▼ 24%
Goal before half-time▼ 55%68%• 69%
Goal after half-time▲ 72%68%▼ 66%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.38
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / game
1.07
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Queen's ParkYellow cardRoddy MacGregor
  2. Queen's ParkSubstitutionOn: Michael RuthOff: Nikolay Todorov
  3. ArbroathGoalGavin Reilly
  4. ArbroathYellow cardScott Stewart
  5. Queen's ParkYellow cardMichael Ruth
  6. ArbroathSubstitutionOn: Harry CochraneOff: Ryan Flynn
  7. ArbroathYellow cardAaron Muirhead

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeDan McFarlane

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Dan McFarlaneMatches officiated: 11
5.45Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 236%Home wins27%Draws36%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Arbroath's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Queen's Park. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Queen's Park FC
2 : 1
Arbroath FC
Arbroath FC
4 : 1
Queen's Park FC
Queen's Park FC
1 : 3
Arbroath FC

FAQ

What was the result of Arbroath vs Queen's Park?

The Championship match finished Arbroath 1:0 Queen's Park. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Arbroath and Queen's Park?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Arbroath won 2, Queen's Park won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Arbroath vs Queen's Park?

Arbroath score 1.28 goals per game on average and Queen's Park 1.10. The Championship average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Arbroath's matches and 62% of Queen's Park's.

What form are Arbroath and Queen's Park in?

Over the last 5 games Arbroath have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Queen's Park 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arbroath vs Queen's Park?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.