Arema vs Bali United: match statistics
Arema displays significantly better form in the last five matches, collecting 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Bali United is in crisis with just 2 points (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). The hosts maintain a positive goal difference at home (+3) and have won 45% of their home games, contrasting sharply with the visitors' recent form, which has seen them concede 10 goals in their last 5 outings. Although Bali United has a respectable away win percentage (45%), their current losing streak and poor defense (averaging 1.73 goals conceded on the road) significantly diminish their chances. Arema also holds a slight edge in possession (51% vs 48%) and a more effective defense in home matches, which should translate into control of the game. Considering all factors, I expect a close match with a slight advantage for the hosts, though a draw remains a realistic scenario.
Arema vs Bali United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Arema played against Bali United in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The game was played on March 6, 2026. Final score: 3:4.
Recent form
Arema has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Bali United has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Arema scores 1.39 goals per game and allows 1.30. Bali United scores 1.35 and allows 1.35. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of Arema's games and 52% of Bali United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 48%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bali United has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.42 per game. Arema takes 11.7 shots per game, while Bali United takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Arema leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.96 goals per game after halftime. Bali United leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.91 after halftime.
When the teams score
Arema's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Bali United, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 1 games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arema displays significantly better form in the last five matches, collecting 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Bali United is in crisis with just 2 points (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). The hosts maintain a positive goal difference at home (+3) and have won 45% of their home games, contrasting sharply with the visitors' recent form, which has seen them concede 10 goals in their last 5 outings. Although Bali United has a respectable away win percentage (45%), their current losing streak and poor defense (averaging 1.73 goals conceded on the road) significantly diminish their chances. Arema also holds a slight edge in possession (51% vs 48%) and a more effective defense in home matches, which should translate into control of the game. Considering all factors, I expect a close match with a slight advantage for the hosts, though a draw remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Arema | Bali United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Arema is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Arema · 0.4 pts / game - Bali United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arema scores in 83% of games (19 of 23 meczów), while Bali United keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 meczów).
Bali United scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 meczów), while Arema keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arema
Over / Under - Bali United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arema is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / game - Arema · 1.09 pts / game - Bali United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bali United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Arema
Bali United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Arema | Liga | Bali United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.70 | 2.65 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 82% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Arema's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Bali United. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Arema vs Bali United?
The Liga 1 match finished Arema 3:4 Bali United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arema vs Bali United?
Arema score 1.39 goals per game on average and Bali United 1.35. The Liga 1 average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Arema's matches and 52% of Bali United's.
What form are Arema and Bali United in?
Over the last 5 games Arema have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bali United 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arema vs Bali United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Arema vs Bali United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.