Arminia Bielefeld vs Paderborn: match statistics
Paderborn shows a decidedly better form, sitting 4th in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season, while Arminia Bielefeld sits in 12th place with just 7 wins. The form over the last 5 matches clearly favors the visitors – Paderborn earned 2.2 points per game (3 wins, 2 draws) compared to a mere 1.2 points for the hosts (2 wins, 3 losses). In away matches, Paderborn achieves a 50% win rate and a 42% clean sheet rate, reflecting solid defense (an average of 0.83 goals conceded per game). Arminia Bielefeld demonstrates instability in recent home games with a form of "wlwllwwlddwl", and their 42% home loss rate raises concerns. Paderborn's advantage in goal difference (+6 away vs. the hosts' +7 at home) and better current form support an away win, although Arminia's solid performances at their own stadium (42% win rate) mean an upset cannot be ruled out.
Arminia Bielefeld vs Paderborn: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Arminia Bielefeld played against Paderborn in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Arminia Bielefeld has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Paderborn has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Arminia Bielefeld scores 1.44 goals per game and allows 1.36. Paderborn scores 1.64 and allows 1.12. Games in this league average 2.89 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Arminia Bielefeld's games and 64% of Paderborn's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 60%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Paderborn has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.57 per game. Arminia Bielefeld takes 14.2 shots per game, while Paderborn takes 16.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Arminia Bielefeld leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.84 goals per game after halftime. Paderborn leads at halftime in 40% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Arminia Bielefeld's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For Paderborn, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
2. Bundesliga games average 2.89 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 7.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paderborn shows a decidedly better form, sitting 4th in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season, while Arminia Bielefeld sits in 12th place with just 7 wins. The form over the last 5 matches clearly favors the visitors – Paderborn earned 2.2 points per game (3 wins, 2 draws) compared to a mere 1.2 points for the hosts (2 wins, 3 losses). In away matches, Paderborn achieves a 50% win rate and a 42% clean sheet rate, reflecting solid defense (an average of 0.83 goals conceded per game). Arminia Bielefeld demonstrates instability in recent home games with a form of "wlwllwwlddwl", and their 42% home loss rate raises concerns. Paderborn's advantage in goal difference (+6 away vs. the hosts' +7 at home) and better current form support an away win, although Arminia's solid performances at their own stadium (42% win rate) mean an upset cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Arminia Bielefeld | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Paderborn is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Arminia Bielefeld · 2.2 pts / game - Paderborn
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paderborn is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.44 goals / game - Arminia Bielefeld · 1.64 goals / game - Paderborn
Paderborn is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.36 goals / game - Arminia Bielefeld · 1.12 goals / game - Paderborn
Arminia Bielefeld scores in 76% of games (19 of 25 meczów), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 meczów).
Paderborn scores in 84% of games (21 of 25 meczów), while Arminia Bielefeld keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arminia Bielefeld
Over / Under - Paderborn
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paderborn is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / game - Arminia Bielefeld · 1.52 pts / game - Paderborn
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arminia Bielefeld - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Paderborn - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Arminia Bielefeld
Paderborn
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Arminia Bielefeld | Liga | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.80 | 2.89 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 59% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 58% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 23% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 68% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 85% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Arminia Bielefeld's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Paderborn. Games average 7.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Arminia Bielefeld vs Paderborn?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Arminia Bielefeld 2:2 Paderborn. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arminia Bielefeld vs Paderborn?
Arminia Bielefeld score 1.44 goals per game on average and Paderborn 1.64. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Arminia Bielefeld's matches and 64% of Paderborn's.
What form are Arminia Bielefeld and Paderborn in?
Over the last 5 games Arminia Bielefeld have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Paderborn 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arminia Bielefeld vs Paderborn?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.