Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth: match statistics
Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Arsenal played against AFC Bournemouth in Premier League (England). The game was played on April 11, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Arsenal has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. AFC Bournemouth has 0 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Arsenal scores 1.97 goals per game and allows 0.71. AFC Bournemouth scores 1.48 and allows 1.55. Games in this league average 2.74 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Arsenal's games and 65% of AFC Bournemouth's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 55%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Arsenal has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.58 per game. Arsenal takes 14.7 shots per game, while AFC Bournemouth takes 14.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Arsenal leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 1.26 goals per game after halftime. AFC Bournemouth leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
Arsenal's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). For AFC Bournemouth, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.74 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arsenal are the clear favorite: at home they have won 80% of matches, score an average of 2.33 goals per game and boast a +26 home goal difference. The hosts concede only 0.6 goals per home game and have kept clean sheets in 53% of fixtures, while Bournemouth as visitors concede 2.07 goals per game and have only 27% clean sheets. Arsenal create higher-quality chances — on average 16.53 shots and 5.07 on target per home match with xG 1.88 and a 14% conversion rate, whereas Bournemouth average 13.47 shots, 5.07 on target, xG 1.55 and an 11% conversion. Last five form shows Arsenal earned 9 points (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses) and 1.8 points per game in that period, while Bournemouth recorded 5 draws and 1.0 point per game. Given the edge in scoring efficiency (2.33 vs 1.53 goals per game), superior xG and markedly stronger home defense, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators strongly favor BTTS: Arsenal has BTTS at 63%, Bournemouth 67%, giving an average of 65% which is above the league average of 56%. xG and shot metrics confirm chance creation by both teams — xG 1.61 (Arsenal) vs 1.55 (Bournemouth), xG against 1.13 vs 1.88 and 4.5 vs 5.07 shots on target. However, form over the last 5 matches slightly weakens this signal: Arsenal has BTTS only 20% recently and scores 1.2 goals while conceding 0.8 on average, and Bournemouth has BTTS 40% and scores 0.6 while conceding 0.6. Taking into account seasonal average goals (Arsenal 1.44, Bournemouth 1.53) and the fact Bournemouth have conceded 48 goals this season, I assess both teams have realistic chances to score in this fixture. Therefore I forecast BTTS at 65% (Yes) vs 35% (No) and select 'Yes' as the most probable outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast projects a total of 3.09 goals: Arsenal 1.75 (attacking xG 1.61 vs Bournemouth’s conceded xG 1.88 → average 1.75) and Bournemouth 1.34 (attacking xG 1.55 vs Arsenal’s conceded xG 1.13 → 1.34). Seasonal data show Arsenal matches finished over 1.5 goals in 69% of cases and Bournemouth in 80%, while BTTS rates are 63% and 67% respectively, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. In the last 5 matches Arsenal averaged 1.97 xG and Bournemouth 1.68 xG, and our 3.09 forecast exceeds the league average of 2.73 goals. A probabilistic model with λ=3.09 yields roughly an 81% chance of Over 1.5, about 60% for Over 2.5 and around 37% for Over 3.5, so the strongest signal from the data is a play on Over 1.5 (≈81%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I forecast a Half-Time draw with Arsenal winning the match (X/1). In their last 5 games Arsenal were level at the break in 60% of cases (3 of 5), and Bournemouth in 80% (4 of 5), with a low average of goals at HT: Arsenal 0.2 HT goals in the last 5, Bournemouth 0.0. Arsenal show stronger second-half performance – in their last 5 matches they averaged 1.0 goals after the break and earned 2.0 points in second halves, whereas Bournemouth have 0 wins in the last 5 and only a 20% win rate in second halves. Seasonal figures favor the home side: Arsenal at home average 1.63 points per game and concede 1.06 goals, while Bournemouth away average 1.07 points and concede 2.07 goals; xG against the visitors is 1.88 versus 1.13 against Arsenal, indicating Bournemouth are more prone to conceding goals.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Arsenal | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Arsenal is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Arsenal · 1 pts / game - AFC Bournemouth
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arsenal is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
1.97 goals / game - Arsenal · 1.48 goals / game - AFC Bournemouth
Arsenal is 118% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.71 goals / game - Arsenal · 1.55 goals / game - AFC Bournemouth
Arsenal scores in 90% of games (28 of 31 meczów), while AFC Bournemouth keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 meczów).
AFC Bournemouth scores in 77% of games (24 of 31 meczów), while Arsenal keeps a clean sheet in 48% (15 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arsenal
Over / Under - AFC Bournemouth
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arsenal is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.77 pts / game - Arsenal · 1.35 pts / game - AFC Bournemouth
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arsenal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 68%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
AFC Bournemouth - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 29%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Arsenal
AFC Bournemouth
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Arsenal | Liga | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.68 | 2.74 | ▲ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 55% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 54% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 79% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Arsenal's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against AFC Bournemouth. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth?
The Premier League match finished Arsenal 1:2 AFC Bournemouth. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth?
Arsenal score 1.97 goals per game on average and AFC Bournemouth 1.48. The Premier League average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Arsenal's matches and 65% of AFC Bournemouth's.
What form are Arsenal and AFC Bournemouth in?
Over the last 5 games Arsenal have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and AFC Bournemouth 0-5-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.