Arsenal vs Chelsea: match statistics
Arsenal, as the league leaders, display impressive home form with a 77% win rate at home and only 8% losses. The hosts score an average of 2.38 goals per match at home, conceding only 0.62 goals, resulting in a +23 goal difference in home matches. Despite good form in their last five matches (2.0 PPG), Chelsea have a significantly weaker away record – 46% wins and an average of 1.15 goals conceded away. A key factor is Arsenal's advantage in possession (58% vs 57%) and higher defensive efficiency at home (54% clean sheets). xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.84 vs 1.49 for Chelsea away), which, coupled with home support, gives Arsenal a real advantage. A draw remains possible due to Chelsea's solid form and their 31% draw rate away, but the hosts' advantage in key parameters makes them the favorite in this encounter.
Arsenal vs Chelsea: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Arsenal played against Chelsea in Premier League (England). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Arsenal has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Chelsea has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Arsenal scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.75. Chelsea scores 1.78 and allows 1.15. Games in this league average 2.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Arsenal's games and 67% of Chelsea's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 63%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Arsenal has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.59 per game. Arsenal takes 14.7 shots per game, while Chelsea takes 13.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Arsenal leads at halftime in 46% of its games and scores 1.29 goals per game after halftime. Chelsea leads at halftime in 48% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Arsenal's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (14 goals). For Chelsea, it is minutes 46-60 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.79 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arsenal, as the league leaders, display impressive home form with a 77% win rate at home and only 8% losses. The hosts score an average of 2.38 goals per match at home, conceding only 0.62 goals, resulting in a +23 goal difference in home matches. Despite good form in their last five matches (2.0 PPG), Chelsea have a significantly weaker away record – 46% wins and an average of 1.15 goals conceded away. A key factor is Arsenal's advantage in possession (58% vs 57%) and higher defensive efficiency at home (54% clean sheets). xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.84 vs 1.49 for Chelsea away), which, coupled with home support, gives Arsenal a real advantage. A draw remains possible due to Chelsea's solid form and their 31% draw rate away, but the hosts' advantage in key parameters makes them the favorite in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Arsenal | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arsenal is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Arsenal · 1.78 goals / game - Chelsea
Arsenal is 53% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.75 goals / game - Arsenal · 1.15 goals / game - Chelsea
Arsenal scores in 89% of games (25 of 28 meczów), while Chelsea keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 meczów).
Chelsea scores in 93% of games (25 of 27 meczów), while Arsenal keeps a clean sheet in 46% (13 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arsenal
Over / Under - Chelsea
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arsenal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Chelsea - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 44%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Arsenal
Chelsea
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Arsenal | Liga | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.75 | 2.79 | ▲ 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 54% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 25% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Arsenal's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Chelsea. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Arsenal vs Chelsea?
The Premier League match finished Arsenal 2:1 Chelsea. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arsenal vs Chelsea?
Arsenal score 2.00 goals per game on average and Chelsea 1.78. The Premier League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Arsenal's matches and 67% of Chelsea's.
What form are Arsenal and Chelsea in?
Over the last 5 games Arsenal have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Chelsea 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arsenal vs Chelsea?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Arsenal vs Chelsea: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.