Italy - Serie C Group AStadio Tommaso Dal MolinData current as of October 21, 2026

Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Arzignano Valchiampo plays Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Stadio Tommaso Dal Molin.

Recent form

Arzignano Valchiampo has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Novara has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Arzignano Valchiampo scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 1.10. Novara scores 1.00 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.40 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 60% of Arzignano Valchiampo's games and 50% of Novara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 50%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Arzignano Valchiampo has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.34 per game. Arzignano Valchiampo takes 11.5 shots per game, while Novara takes 12.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Arzignano Valchiampo leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Novara leads at halftime in 10% and scores 0.80 after halftime.

When the teams score

Arzignano Valchiampo's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Novara, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group A games average 2.40 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.06)
(3.18)
(3.25)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
1.4Goals scored / game1
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
1.1Goals allowed / game1.4
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
42%Average possession43%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
4.8Shots on target / game3
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.5Shots per game12
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
4.8Shots on target3
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
12.2%Shot conversion8.3%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
42%Possession43%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
1.45xG for1.34
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
1.62xG against1.52
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

Shooting quality

Arzignano Valchiampo: Counter-attackingNovara: Balanced
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
Accuracy (shots on target)42%25%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Arzignano Valchiampo is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Arzignano Valchiampo · 1 pts / game - Novara

Arzignano Valchiampo
WWDWL
Season result split
50% W20% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-3
1.70 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Novara
DLWLD
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-4
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LWDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Arzignano Valchiampo is 40% better for: goals scored per game.

1.4 goals / game - Arzignano Valchiampo · 1 goals / game - Novara

Arzignano Valchiampo is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.1 goals / game - Arzignano Valchiampo · 1.4 goals / game - Novara

Arzignano Valchiampo scoring profile: very strong

Arzignano Valchiampo scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 games).

Novara scoring profile: mixed

Novara scores in 50% of games (5 of 10 games), while Arzignano Valchiampo keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).

14Goals scored (season)10
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
11Goals conceded (season)14
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
2.5Average goals per game2.4
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
9Goals scored (last 5)6
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal50%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
50%2 goals50%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
10%3 goals0%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0%4 goals0%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal90%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
30%2 goals50%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
10%3 goals0%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0%4 goals0%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

60%
Arzignano Valchiampo - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.6 of 10 games
52%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time10%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0%BTTS in both halves10%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
20%Scored in both halves20%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
60%BTTS - last 560%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time10%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Arzignano Valchiampo is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / game - Arzignano Valchiampo · 0.6 pts / game - Novara

Arzignano Valchiampo - half-time state
30% leading60% draw10% trailing
Novara - half-time state
10% leading30% draw60% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)0.6
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.2
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0.8Average goals (1st half)0.9
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
80%Clean sheet before half-time30%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
60%No goal before half-time80%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per game (2nd half)1.3
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)0.7
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
1.7Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
40%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
40%No goal after half-time50%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

Arzignano Valchiampo - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Novara - second-half results

30% W40% D30% L
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Arzignano Valchiampo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.40
Goals scored / game1.00.8
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+5-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Novara - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.80
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.81.0
Average goals per game1.21.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Arzignano Valchiampo
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
3
1
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Novara
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
3
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.45
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-39%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Arzignano Valchiampo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Novara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

Arzignano ValchiampoLigaNovara
Average goals per game▲ 2.502.40• 2.40
Both teams scored▲ 60%52%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 70%50%• 50%
Clean sheets▼ 30%32%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%64%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%74%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.40
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.23
Home goals / game
1.17
Away goals / game
+5%
Home attack advantage
+5%
Home defensive advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Arzignano Valchiampo's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Novara. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Arzignano Valchiampo
1 : 1
Novara
Novara
1 : 0
Arzignano Valchiampo

FAQ

When do Arzignano Valchiampo and Novara play?

Arzignano Valchiampo face Novara on October 25, 2026 in Serie C Group A at Stadio Tommaso Dal Molin. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Arzignano Valchiampo and Novara?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Arzignano Valchiampo won 0, Novara won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?

Arzignano Valchiampo score 1.40 goals per game on average and Novara 1.00. The Serie C Group A average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Arzignano Valchiampo's matches and 50% of Novara's.

What form are Arzignano Valchiampo and Novara in?

Over the last 5 games Arzignano Valchiampo have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Novara 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.