AS Kigali vs Al Merreikh: match statistics
Al Merreikh demonstrates significantly better form and quality this season, occupying 3rd place in the table with a record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and only 2 losses. The visiting team is characterized by a solid defense in away matches, conceding an average of only 0.5 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 50% of away fixtures. AS Kigali finds itself in a difficult situation in 13th position, with a very poor efficiency in home matches – only 11% wins and as many as 56% of matches without scoring a goal. The hosts score an average of only 0.44 goals per match at home, which, combined with the visitors' solid defense, gives Al Merreikh a clear advantage. The form of both teams in the last five matches also speaks in favor of the visitors (1.8 points per match) compared to the hosts (2.0 points, but with a worse home record). Considering all statistics, Al Merreikh has a realistic chance of winning or at least drawing in this clash.
AS Kigali vs Al Merreikh: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AS Kigali played against Al Merreikh in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
AS Kigali has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Al Merreikh has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
AS Kigali scores 0.71 goals per game and allows 1.05. Al Merreikh scores 1.16 and allows 0.68. Games in this league average 2.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of AS Kigali's games and 47% of Al Merreikh's. The Over 2.5 rates are 24% and 26%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Merreikh has the higher season xG average, 1.29 to 1.25 per game. AS Kigali takes 7.7 shots per game, while Al Merreikh takes 8.1.
First-half and second-half trends
AS Kigali leads at halftime in 5% of its games and scores 0.52 goals per game after halftime. Al Merreikh leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
AS Kigali's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Al Merreikh, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 2.06 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Merreikh demonstrates significantly better form and quality this season, occupying 3rd place in the table with a record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and only 2 losses. The visiting team is characterized by a solid defense in away matches, conceding an average of only 0.5 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 50% of away fixtures. AS Kigali finds itself in a difficult situation in 13th position, with a very poor efficiency in home matches – only 11% wins and as many as 56% of matches without scoring a goal. The hosts score an average of only 0.44 goals per match at home, which, combined with the visitors' solid defense, gives Al Merreikh a clear advantage. The form of both teams in the last five matches also speaks in favor of the visitors (1.8 points per match) compared to the hosts (2.0 points, but with a worse home record). Considering all statistics, Al Merreikh has a realistic chance of winning or at least drawing in this clash.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AS Kigali | Al Merreikh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
AS Kigali is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - AS Kigali · 1.4 pts / game - Al Merreikh
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Merreikh is 63% better for: goals scored per game.
0.71 goals / game - AS Kigali · 1.16 goals / game - Al Merreikh
Al Merreikh is 54% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.05 goals / game - AS Kigali · 0.68 goals / game - Al Merreikh
AS Kigali scores in 57% of games (12 of 21 meczów), while Al Merreikh keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 meczów).
Al Merreikh scores in 79% of games (15 of 19 meczów), while AS Kigali keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AS Kigali
Over / Under - Al Merreikh
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Merreikh is 93% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / game - AS Kigali · 1.47 pts / game - Al Merreikh
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AS Kigali - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 5% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Al Merreikh - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AS Kigali
Al Merreikh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| AS Kigali | Liga | Al Merreikh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.76 | 2.06 | ▼ 1.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 44% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 34% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 63% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from AS Kigali's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Al Merreikh. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AS Kigali vs Al Merreikh?
The National Soccer League match finished AS Kigali 0:1 Al Merreikh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AS Kigali vs Al Merreikh?
AS Kigali score 0.71 goals per game on average and Al Merreikh 1.16. The National Soccer League average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 33% of AS Kigali's matches and 47% of Al Merreikh's.
What form are AS Kigali and Al Merreikh in?
Over the last 5 games AS Kigali have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Al Merreikh 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AS Kigali vs Al Merreikh?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.