AS Kigali vs Etincelles: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match between two teams from the lower part of the table. AS Kigali has a very poor home form with just a 10% win rate and as many as 60% of their home matches ending without a goal, making them ineffective hosts. Etincelles shows better offensive efficiency on the road (1 goal on average per match vs 0.4 for the hosts), yet their defense is problematic - conceding 1.56 goals on average per away match with 0% clean sheets. Both teams have an identical goal difference of -5 in their respective conditions and the same number of points in their last 5 matches (1.4 PPG). The high draw percentage for AS Kigali at home (50%) and for Etincelles away (44%) suggests that a share of the points is the most likely scenario for this encounter.
AS Kigali vs Etincelles: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AS Kigali played against Etincelles in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
AS Kigali has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Etincelles has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
AS Kigali scores 0.68 goals per game and allows 1.05. Etincelles scores 0.76 and allows 1.19. Games in this league average 2.09 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 32% of AS Kigali's games and 57% of Etincelles's. The Over 2.5 rates are 23% and 29%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AS Kigali has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.22 per game. AS Kigali takes 7.7 shots per game, while Etincelles takes 7.7.
First-half and second-half trends
AS Kigali leads at halftime in 5% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Etincelles leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
AS Kigali's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Etincelles, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 2.09 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match between two teams from the lower part of the table. AS Kigali has a very poor home form with just a 10% win rate and as many as 60% of their home matches ending without a goal, making them ineffective hosts. Etincelles shows better offensive efficiency on the road (1 goal on average per match vs 0.4 for the hosts), yet their defense is problematic - conceding 1.56 goals on average per away match with 0% clean sheets. Both teams have an identical goal difference of -5 in their respective conditions and the same number of points in their last 5 matches (1.4 PPG). The high draw percentage for AS Kigali at home (50%) and for Etincelles away (44%) suggests that a share of the points is the most likely scenario for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AS Kigali | Etincelles | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Etincelles is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
0.68 goals / game - AS Kigali · 0.76 goals / game - Etincelles
AS Kigali is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.05 goals / game - AS Kigali · 1.19 goals / game - Etincelles
AS Kigali scores in 55% of games (12 of 22 meczów), while Etincelles keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 meczów).
Etincelles scores in 62% of games (13 of 21 meczów), while AS Kigali keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AS Kigali
Over / Under - Etincelles
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Etincelles is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.77 pts / game - AS Kigali · 1.14 pts / game - Etincelles
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AS Kigali - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 5% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Etincelles - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AS Kigali
Etincelles
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| AS Kigali | Liga | Etincelles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.73 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 46% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 33% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 64% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from AS Kigali's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Etincelles. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AS Kigali vs Etincelles?
The National Soccer League match finished AS Kigali 0:0 Etincelles. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AS Kigali vs Etincelles?
AS Kigali score 0.68 goals per game on average and Etincelles 0.76. The National Soccer League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 32% of AS Kigali's matches and 57% of Etincelles's.
What form are AS Kigali and Etincelles in?
Over the last 5 games AS Kigali have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Etincelles 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AS Kigali vs Etincelles?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.