AS Kigali vs Rayon Sports: match statistics
Rayon Sports appears to be the favorite in this clash despite playing away. AS Kigali is showing very poor home form with just a 13% win rate and failing to score in 50% of their home games. The hosts sit 14th in the table, averaging only 0.5 goals per home match. Rayon Sports possesses significantly better efficiency – a 15% shot conversion rate compared to AS Kigali's 6%, and an average of 1.2 goals per away match. Additionally, the visitors control the game better with 53% possession and demonstrate greater attacking threat (xG 1.38 vs 1.23). Although both teams have similar form over the last 5 matches (1.2 points per match each), the overall statistics and quality of play favor Rayon Sports, who should capitalize on the hosts' weaknesses.
AS Kigali vs Rayon Sports: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AS Kigali play Rayon Sports in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 5 February 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
AS Kigali: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Rayon Sports: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
AS Kigali scores 0.77 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Rayon Sports scores 1.09 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AS Kigali 43%, Rayon Sports 47%. Over 2.5: AS Kigali 34%, Rayon Sports 26%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Rayon Sports has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.25. AS Kigali: 7.7 shots per match, Rayon Sports: 7.6.
Match halves
AS Kigali: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.54. Rayon Sports: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
AS Kigali: 76-90+ (8 goals). Rayon Sports: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Rayon Sports appears to be the favorite in this clash despite playing away. AS Kigali is showing very poor home form with just a 13% win rate and failing to score in 50% of their home games. The hosts sit 14th in the table, averaging only 0.5 goals per home match. Rayon Sports possesses significantly better efficiency – a 15% shot conversion rate compared to AS Kigali's 6%, and an average of 1.2 goals per away match. Additionally, the visitors control the game better with 53% possession and demonstrate greater attacking threat (xG 1.38 vs 1.23). Although both teams have similar form over the last 5 matches (1.2 points per match each), the overall statistics and quality of play favor Rayon Sports, who should capitalize on the hosts' weaknesses.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AS Kigali | Rayon Sports | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rayon Sports is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - AS Kigali · 1.6 pts / match - Rayon Sports
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rayon Sports is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
0.77 goals / match - AS Kigali · 1.09 goals / match - Rayon Sports
Rayon Sports is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - AS Kigali · 0.88 goals / match - Rayon Sports
AS Kigali scores in 60% of matches (21 of 35 matches), while Rayon Sports keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
Rayon Sports scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while AS Kigali keeps a clean sheet in 34% (12 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AS Kigali
Over / Under — Rayon Sports
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rayon Sports is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - AS Kigali · 1.44 pts / match - Rayon Sports
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AS Kigali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rayon Sports - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AS Kigali
Rayon Sports
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| AS Kigali | Liga | Rayon Sports | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.94 | 2.12 | ▼ 1.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 46% | • 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 34% | 38% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | • 34% | 34% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 49% | 61% | • 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AS Kigali 1 - 0 - 0 Rayon Sports. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AS Kigali vs Rayon Sports?
The National Soccer League match finished AS Kigali 0:1 Rayon Sports. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AS Kigali vs Rayon Sports?
AS Kigali score 0.77 goals per game on average and Rayon Sports 1.09. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 43% of AS Kigali's matches and 47% of Rayon Sports's.
What form are AS Kigali and Rayon Sports in?
Over the last 5 games AS Kigali have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Rayon Sports 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AS Kigali vs Rayon Sports?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.