Ascoli vs Athletic Carpi: match statistics
Ascoli displays decisively better form, winning four of their last five matches and earning 2.6 points per match, while Athletic Carpi averaged just 1.0 point per match in the same period. The hosts boast an impressive goal difference of +17 in home matches, conceding an average of only 0.57 goals per game at home, which attests to a solid defense. Ascoli wins 57% of home matches and keeps a clean sheet in over half of the fixtures at their own stadium. Athletic Carpi has poor efficiency in away games (38% wins, 54% losses) and a negative goal difference of -6, conceding an average of 1.31 goals per match. Ascoli's advantage in possession (67% vs 52%), shot effectiveness, and xG indicators (1.71 vs 1.40) further confirms their dominance. All statistics point to a clear advantage for the hosts, who should capitalize on their excellent form and strength at home.
Ascoli vs Athletic Carpi: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ascoli played against Athletic Carpi in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Ascoli has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Athletic Carpi has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Ascoli scores 1.70 goals per game and allows 0.70. Athletic Carpi scores 0.93 and allows 1.19. Games in this league average 2.26 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Ascoli's games and 44% of Athletic Carpi's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 26%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ascoli has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.46 per game. Ascoli takes 13.3 shots per game, while Athletic Carpi takes 12.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Ascoli leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Athletic Carpi leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.56 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ascoli's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (15 goals). For Athletic Carpi, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group B games average 2.26 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ascoli displays decisively better form, winning four of their last five matches and earning 2.6 points per match, while Athletic Carpi averaged just 1.0 point per match in the same period. The hosts boast an impressive goal difference of +17 in home matches, conceding an average of only 0.57 goals per game at home, which attests to a solid defense. Ascoli wins 57% of home matches and keeps a clean sheet in over half of the fixtures at their own stadium. Athletic Carpi has poor efficiency in away games (38% wins, 54% losses) and a negative goal difference of -6, conceding an average of 1.31 goals per match. Ascoli's advantage in possession (67% vs 52%), shot effectiveness, and xG indicators (1.71 vs 1.40) further confirms their dominance. All statistics point to a clear advantage for the hosts, who should capitalize on their excellent form and strength at home.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ascoli | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ascoli is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Ascoli · 1 pts / game - Athletic Carpi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ascoli is 83% better for: goals scored per game.
1.7 goals / game - Ascoli · 0.93 goals / game - Athletic Carpi
Ascoli is 70% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.7 goals / game - Ascoli · 1.19 goals / game - Athletic Carpi
Ascoli scores in 74% of games (20 of 27 meczów), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 meczów).
Athletic Carpi scores in 67% of games (18 of 27 meczów), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 48% (13 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ascoli
Over / Under - Athletic Carpi
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ascoli is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / game - Ascoli · 1 pts / game - Athletic Carpi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ascoli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ascoli
Athletic Carpi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Ascoli | Liga | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.41 | 2.26 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 48% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 38% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 30% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 64% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | • 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Ascoli's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Athletic Carpi. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ascoli vs Athletic Carpi?
The Serie C Group B match finished Ascoli 3:0 Athletic Carpi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ascoli vs Athletic Carpi?
Ascoli score 1.70 goals per game on average and Athletic Carpi 0.93. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Ascoli's matches and 44% of Athletic Carpi's.
What form are Ascoli and Athletic Carpi in?
Over the last 5 games Ascoli have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Athletic Carpi 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ascoli vs Athletic Carpi?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.