Astana vs Aktobe: match statistics
Astana vs Aktobe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Astana play Aktobe in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 12 July 2026 at 16:00. Venue: Astana Arena. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Astana: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Aktobe: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Astana scores 1.47 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Aktobe scores 1.44 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Astana 47%, Aktobe 44%. Over 2.5: Astana 47%, Aktobe 39%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Astana has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.45. Astana: 15.5 shots per match, Aktobe: 12.9.
Match halves
Astana: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.71. Aktobe: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Astana: 46-60 (7 goals). Aktobe: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I predict a home win — Astana has a clear home advantage: winning 88% of matches at home with 0% defeats and a +13 goal difference at their stadium, scoring 2.13 goals and conceding only 0.5 per game on average. Aktobe struggle away: 0% away wins, averaging just 0.5 goals per away match and failing to score in 67% of away fixtures, with only 2.5 shots on target per game. The quality gap is visible in xG and shots — Astana’s home xG is 1.88 with 16.25 shots per game (7.25 on target), while Aktobe’s away xG is 0.98 with 8.67 shots (2.5 on target). Defensively the hosts also dominate: Astana keep a clean sheet in 50% of home matches, whereas Aktobe have 0% clean sheets away and concede 1.33 goals per away game; although Aktobe have 2.0 points per game in their last five matches compared to Astana’s 1.6, those form metrics do not offset the visitors’ poor away effectiveness.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Astana | Aktobe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Astana is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Astana · 1.8 pts / match - Aktobe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Astana scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Aktobe keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Aktobe scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Astana
Over / Under — Aktobe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Astana is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / match - Astana · 1.5 pts / match - Aktobe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Astana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aktobe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Astana
Aktobe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Astana | Liga | Aktobe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.59 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 42% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 62% | • 61% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Astana 2 - 0 - 1 Aktobe. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Astana vs Aktobe?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Astana 3:2 Aktobe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Astana and Aktobe?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Astana won 2, Aktobe won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Astana vs Aktobe?
Astana score 1.47 goals per game on average and Aktobe 1.44. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Astana's matches and 44% of Aktobe's.
What form are Astana and Aktobe in?
Over the last 5 games Astana have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Aktobe 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Astana vs Aktobe?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.