Kazakhstan - Kazakhstan Premier LeagueAstana ArenaData current as of 23 July 2026

Astana vs Altay: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Astana vs Altay: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Astana play Altay in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 16:00. Venue: Astana Arena.

Current form

Astana: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Altay: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Astana scores 1.47 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Altay scores 0.78 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.31 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Astana 47%, Altay 44%. Over 2.5: Astana 47%, Altay 28%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

Astana has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.25. Astana: 15.5 shots per match, Altay: 10.7.

Match halves

Astana: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.71. Altay: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.61.

Goals by minute

Astana: 46-60 (7 goals). Altay: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.44)
(3.92)
(8.40)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.47Goals scored / match0.78
AstanaAltay
1.12Goals conceded / match1.22
AstanaAltay
59%Average possession43%
AstanaAltay
6.18Shots on target / match4.06
AstanaAltay

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.47Shots per match10.72
AstanaAltay
6.18Shots on target4.06
AstanaAltay
9.5%Shot conversion7.3%
AstanaAltay
59%Possession43%
AstanaAltay
1.75xG for1.25
AstanaAltay
1.28xG against1.47
AstanaAltay

Shooting quality

Astana: DominantAltay: Balanced
AstanaAltay
Accuracy (shots on target)40%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.19

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Astana is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Astana · 1.4 pts / match - Altay

Astana
WLDWW
Season result split
47% W29% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-4
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-1-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Altay
DLWWL
Season result split
17% W39% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-7-8
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-4
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Astana is 88% better for: goals scored per match.

1.47 goals / match - Astana · 0.78 goals / match - Altay

Astana is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.12 goals / match - Astana · 1.22 goals / match - Altay

Astana scoring profile: strong

Astana scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Altay keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).

Altay scoring profile: strong

Altay scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).

25Goals scored (season)14
AstanaAltay
19Goals conceded (season)22
AstanaAltay
2.59Average goals in match2
AstanaAltay
8Goals scored (last 5)8
AstanaAltay
6Goals conceded (last 5)10
AstanaAltay

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal56%
AstanaAltay
53%2 goals17%
AstanaAltay
18%3 goals6%
AstanaAltay
6%4 goals0%
AstanaAltay

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal72%
AstanaAltay
29%2 goals28%
AstanaAltay
6%3 goals17%
AstanaAltay
6%4 goals6%
AstanaAltay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time11%
AstanaAltay
6%BTTS in both halves0%
AstanaAltay
35%Scored in both halves0%
AstanaAltay

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
AstanaAltay
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AstanaAltay
40%BTTS - last 560%
AstanaAltay

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
AstanaAltay
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
AstanaAltay
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AstanaAltay

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time61%
AstanaAltay
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
AstanaAltay
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
AstanaAltay

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Astana is 121% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.59 pts / match - Astana · 0.72 pts / match - Altay

Astana - half-time state
41% leading35% draw24% trailing
Altay - half-time state
6% leading56% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.59Points per match (1st half)0.72
AstanaAltay
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.17
AstanaAltay
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
AstanaAltay
1.29Average goals (1st half)0.78
AstanaAltay
71%Clean sheet before half-time50%
AstanaAltay
47%No goal before half-time83%
AstanaAltay

After half-time (2nd half)

1.35Points per match (2nd half)1.33
AstanaAltay
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.61
AstanaAltay
0.59Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
AstanaAltay
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.22
AstanaAltay
47%Clean sheet after half-time56%
AstanaAltay
47%No goal after half-time61%
AstanaAltay

Astana - second-half results

29% W47% R24% P
27
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Altay - second-half results

28% W50% R22% P
13
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.72
PPG before half-time
Lead holding283%

Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Astana - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Altay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Astana
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
6
3
16-30
4
4
31-45
7
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Altay
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
2
2
16-30
0
4
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
4
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.29
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Astana

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Altay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).

Teams vs league

AstanaLigaAltay
Average goals in match 2.592.31 2.00
Both teams scored 47%52% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%42% 28%
Clean sheets 29%29% 28%
Goal before half-time 71%62% 56%
Goal after half-time 71%70% 61%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.31
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.35
Home goals / match
0.96
Away goals / match
+41%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Astana 0 - 1 - 0 Altay. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Astana and Altay play?

Astana face Altay on 26 July 2026 in Kazakhstan Premier League at Astana Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Astana vs Altay?

Astana score 1.47 goals per game on average and Altay 0.78. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Astana's matches and 44% of Altay's.

What form are Astana and Altay in?

Over the last 5 games Astana have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Altay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Astana vs Altay?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Astana vs Altay: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.