England - Premier LeagueVilla ParkData current as of October 20, 2026

Aston Villa vs Manchester City: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Aston Villa vs Manchester City: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Aston Villa plays Manchester City in Premier League (England). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: Villa Park.

Recent form

Aston Villa has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Manchester City has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Aston Villa scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.57. Manchester City scores 2.71 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.90 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Aston Villa's games and 57% of Manchester City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 71%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Manchester City has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.25 per game. Aston Villa takes 11.9 shots per game, while Manchester City takes 14.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Aston Villa leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Manchester City leads at halftime in 57% and scores 1.71 after halftime.

When the teams score

Aston Villa's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). For Manchester City, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premier League games average 2.90 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(4.45)
(4.16)
(1.82)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Aston VillaManchester City
1Goals scored / game2.71
Aston VillaManchester City
1.57Goals allowed / game1
Aston VillaManchester City
47%Average possession64%
Aston VillaManchester City
3.14Shots on target / game5.29
Aston VillaManchester City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.86Shots per game14.57
Aston VillaManchester City
3.14Shots on target5.29
Aston VillaManchester City
8.4%Shot conversion18.6%
Aston VillaManchester City
47%Possession64%
Aston VillaManchester City
1.25xG for1.71
Aston VillaManchester City
1.72xG against1.24
Aston VillaManchester City

Shooting quality

Aston Villa: BalancedManchester City: Dominant
Aston VillaManchester City
Accuracy (shots on target)26%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.51

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Manchester City is 88% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Aston Villa · 3 pts / game - Manchester City

Aston Villa
DLWDW
Season result split
29% W29% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-3
1.14 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 at home
0-1-2
LLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Manchester City
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-0-0
3.00 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 away
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Manchester City is 171% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Aston Villa · 2.71 goals / game - Manchester City

Manchester City is 57% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.57 goals / game - Aston Villa · 1 goals / game - Manchester City

Aston Villa scoring profile: mixed

Aston Villa scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 games), while Manchester City keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 games).

Manchester City scoring profile: very strong

Manchester City scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 games).

7Goals scored (season)19
Aston VillaManchester City
11Goals conceded (season)7
Aston VillaManchester City
2.57Average goals per game3.71
Aston VillaManchester City
7Goals scored (last 5)13
Aston VillaManchester City
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
Aston VillaManchester City

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal100%
Aston VillaManchester City
29%2 goals71%
Aston VillaManchester City
14%3 goals57%
Aston VillaManchester City
0%4 goals29%
Aston VillaManchester City

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal57%
Aston VillaManchester City
57%2 goals29%
Aston VillaManchester City
14%3 goals14%
Aston VillaManchester City
14%4 goals0%
Aston VillaManchester City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time29%
Aston VillaManchester City
14%BTTS in both halves29%
Aston VillaManchester City
29%Scored in both halves43%
Aston VillaManchester City

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
Aston VillaManchester City
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Aston VillaManchester City
60%BTTS - last 540%
Aston VillaManchester City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Aston VillaManchester City
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Aston VillaManchester City
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
Aston VillaManchester City

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Aston VillaManchester City
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time71%
Aston VillaManchester City
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time43%
Aston VillaManchester City

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Manchester City is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / game - Aston Villa · 2 pts / game - Manchester City

Aston Villa - half-time state
29% leading57% draw14% trailing
Manchester City - half-time state
57% leading29% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per game (1st half)2
Aston VillaManchester City
0.43Goals scored (1st half)1
Aston VillaManchester City
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
Aston VillaManchester City
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.57
Aston VillaManchester City
71%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Aston VillaManchester City
57%No goal before half-time43%
Aston VillaManchester City

After half-time (2nd half)

0.71Points per game (2nd half)2.43
Aston VillaManchester City
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)1.71
Aston VillaManchester City
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
Aston VillaManchester City
1.43Average goals (2nd half)2.14
Aston VillaManchester City
43%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Aston VillaManchester City
57%No goal after half-time14%
Aston VillaManchester City

Aston Villa - second-half results

0% W71% D29% L
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Manchester City - second-half results

71% W29% D0% L
14
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding175%

Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Aston Villa - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.80
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game0.81.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Manchester City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.202.20
Goals scored / game1.21.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.81.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Aston Villa
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Manchester City
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
4
2
46-60
3
0
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.14
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-36%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Aston Villa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Manchester City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
210%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

Aston VillaLigaManchester City
Average goals per game▼ 2.572.90▲ 3.71
Both teams scored▼ 43%53%▲ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 57%54%▲ 71%
Clean sheets▲ 29%27%▲ 43%
Goal before half-time▼ 57%61%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time▼ 57%83%▲ 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.90
Average goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / game
1.29
Away goals / game
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defensive advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Aston Villa's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Manchester City. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Manchester City FC
1 : 2
Aston Villa FC
Aston Villa FC
1 : 0
Manchester City FC

FAQ

When do Aston Villa and Manchester City play?

Aston Villa face Manchester City on October 24, 2026 in Premier League at Villa Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Manchester City?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 2, Manchester City won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Aston Villa vs Manchester City?

Aston Villa score 1.00 goals per game on average and Manchester City 2.71. The Premier League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Aston Villa's matches and 57% of Manchester City's.

What form are Aston Villa and Manchester City in?

Over the last 5 games Aston Villa have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Manchester City 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aston Villa vs Manchester City?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aston Villa vs Manchester City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.