Aston Villa vs Sunderland: match statistics
Aston Villa vs Sunderland: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Aston Villa played against Sunderland in Premier League (England). The game was played on April 19, 2026. Final score: 4:3.
Recent form
Aston Villa has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Sunderland has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Aston Villa scores 1.34 goals per game and allows 1.19. Sunderland scores 1.03 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Aston Villa's games and 44% of Sunderland's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 41%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Aston Villa has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.18 per game. Aston Villa takes 12.8 shots per game, while Sunderland takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Aston Villa leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Sunderland leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.72 after halftime.
When the teams score
Aston Villa's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Sunderland, it is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aston Villa appears to be the favorite: they have a 63% win rate at home and sit 4th in the table, while Sunderland have a 25% away win rate and occupy 10th place. Over the last 5 matches overall Villa have scored 11 goals and average 2.0 points per game, whereas Sunderland have scored 4 goals and average 1.8 points. Offensively the hosts are clearly superior numerically: Villa averages 14.19 shots and 4.69 on target per home match with an average xG of 1.62, while Sunderland on the road average 8.75 shots, 3.06 on target and xG 1.08; Villa’s conversion rate is around 10% versus the visitors’ 7%. Defensively the hosts also hold the advantage — Villa concedes 0.94 goals per home game and has an xG against of 1.32, whereas Sunderland concede 1.38 goals away and have xG against of 1.88; additionally the visitors fail to score in 50% of away matches, while Villa keep a clean sheet in 38% of home games. Considering these figures, I assess the probabilities as 63% for a home win, 20% for a draw and 17% for the away side, hence the pick: 1.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I forecast BTTS - No at 60% vs 40% for Yes — the data combination favors only Aston Villa scoring. Aston Villa averages 1.44 goals per season and 2.2 in the last 5 matches, while Sunderland has just 0.63 for the season and 0.8 in the last 5, giving a clear home advantage in goal scoring. Villa averages 11.19 shots per match with a 13% conversion rate, versus Sunderland’s 8.75 shots and 7% conversion, so the hosts are much more efficient at turning chances into goals. Season BTTS is 50% for Villa and 38% for Sunderland, and in the last 5 matches BTTS is 60% (Villa) vs 20% (Sunderland), indicating the visitors are less likely to join the scorers. Additionally, season xG is 1.28 for Villa and 1.08 for Sunderland, and although Sunderland has 1.49 xG in the last 5, they have scored only 4 goals in that period, so the visitors’ low conversion increases the probability that both teams will not score (No Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate 1.58 expected goals for Aston Villa and 1.25 for Sunderland, totalling 2.83 goals and constituting a strong signal for Over 1.5. The calculation is based on xG: Villa has xG-for 1.28 versus Sunderland xG-against 1.88 (average 1.58 for Villa), and Sunderland xG-for 1.08 versus Villa xG-against 1.41 (average 1.25 for Sunderland). Seasonal metrics confirm a propensity for goals — Over 1.5 occurred in 69% of matches for both teams, Villa scores on average 1.44 goals with 11.19 shots and a 13% conversion, while Sunderland scores 0.63 with 8.75 shots and a 7% conversion. In the last 5 matches Villa averaged 2.2 goals scored (11 goals in 5 matches) and conceded 0.8, which further boosts the probability of at least two goals in the match. The model gives approximately 77% for Over 1.5, about 54% for Over 2.5 (seasonal Over 2.5: 44% Villa, 38% Sunderland) and only about 31% for Over 3.5, therefore I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the strongest and most reliable signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics favor Aston Villa — on the season hosts average 1.44 goals per match versus Sunderland’s 0.63, have a higher xG of 1.28 versus 1.08 and average 11.19 shots (3.44 on target) compared to the visitors’ 8.75 (3.06). In the last five matches Villa led at the break in 3 of 5 (60%) and have a first-half goal average of 1.4 across those five, while Sunderland have 0.0 first-half goals in their last five. Seasonally the hosts concede only 0.25 goals by half-time at home, whereas Sunderland concede 0.75 in the first half on the road, increasing the likelihood of Villa holding a lead after 45 minutes. Over the full match Villa also show superior home efficiency — season home points per game are 1.81 versus the visitors’ 1.06, and Villa’s shot conversion is 13% compared to Sunderland’s 7%, so maintaining a lead is more probable. Based on this the strongest scenario is HT/FT 1/1 (Aston Villa leading at half-time and winning) with a 50% probability; an alternative is a draw at half-time and a home win (X/1) at 22% due to the seasonal frequency of hosts being level at half-time of 63%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Aston Villa | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sunderland is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Aston Villa · 2 pts / game - Sunderland
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aston Villa is 30% better for: goals scored per game.
1.34 goals / game - Aston Villa · 1.03 goals / game - Sunderland
Sunderland is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.19 goals / game - Aston Villa · 1.13 goals / game - Sunderland
Aston Villa scores in 72% of games (23 of 32 meczów), while Sunderland keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 meczów).
Sunderland scores in 66% of games (21 of 32 meczów), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aston Villa
Over / Under - Sunderland
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aston Villa is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / game - Aston Villa · 1.09 pts / game - Sunderland
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aston Villa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sunderland - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Aston Villa
Sunderland
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Aston Villa | Liga | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.53 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 54% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 26% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 79% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Aston Villa's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Sunderland. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
The Premier League match finished Aston Villa 4:3 Sunderland. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
Aston Villa score 1.34 goals per game on average and Sunderland 1.03. The Premier League average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Aston Villa's matches and 44% of Sunderland's.
What form are Aston Villa and Sunderland in?
Over the last 5 games Aston Villa have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sunderland 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.