Italy - Serie AData current as of September 11, 2026

Atalanta vs Parma: match statistics

Atalanta crest
Atalanta
4 : 0half-time 2:0
Parma crest
Parma
165%(1.40)
X22%(4.20)
213%(7.00)

Atalanta clearly surpasses Parma in terms of form and quality of play at their own stadium. The hosts have won 45% of home matches with only 18% losses, while Parma wins only 30% of away games and fails to score in half of them. Atalanta scores an average of 1.27 goals per home match with an xG of 1.76, evidencing that their offensive potential is undervalued, whereas Parma scores just 0.7 goals away with an xG of 1.15. The difference in possession (55% vs 42%) and shooting efficiency (4.82 vs 3.2 shots on target per match) further speaks for the hosts. Atalanta's current form, with three wins in the last five matches, and Parma's negative goal difference away (-2) clearly point to a home triumph.

Atalanta vs Parma: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atalanta played against Parma in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 4:0.

Recent form

Atalanta has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Parma has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Atalanta scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 0.95. Parma scores 0.67 and allows 1.05. Games in this league average 2.35 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 52% of Atalanta's games and 38% of Parma's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 29%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Atalanta has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.17 per game. Atalanta takes 14.2 shots per game, while Parma takes 11.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Atalanta leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Parma leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.38 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atalanta's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Parma, it is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.35 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Atalanta clearly surpasses Parma in terms of form and quality of play at their own stadium. The hosts have won 45% of home matches with only 18% losses, while Parma wins only 30% of away games and fails to score in half of them. Atalanta scores an average of 1.27 goals per home match with an xG of 1.76, evidencing that their offensive potential is undervalued, whereas Parma scores just 0.7 goals away with an xG of 1.15. The difference in possession (55% vs 42%) and shooting efficiency (4.82 vs 3.2 shots on target per match) further speaks for the hosts. Atalanta's current form, with three wins in the last five matches, and Parma's negative goal difference away (-2) clearly point to a home triumph.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

2 : 0
First half
2 : 0
Second half

Game stats

48Possession (%)52
AtalantaParma
21Shots15
AtalantaParma
9Shots on target2
AtalantaParma
2.29xG1.42
AtalantaParma
6Corners9
AtalantaParma
47Dangerous attacks46
AtalantaParma
14Fouls8
AtalantaParma
1Cards0
AtalantaParma

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.24Goals scored / game0.67
AtalantaParma
0.95Goals allowed / game1.05
AtalantaParma
56%Average possession43%
AtalantaParma
4.29Shots on target / game2.76
AtalantaParma

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.19Shots per game11.1
AtalantaParma
4.29Shots on target2.76
AtalantaParma
8.7%Shot conversion6%
AtalantaParma
56%Possession43%
AtalantaParma
1.56xG for1.17
AtalantaParma
1.25xG against1.57
AtalantaParma

Shooting quality

Atalanta: DominantParma: Balanced
AtalantaParma
Accuracy (shots on target)30%25%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Atalanta is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Atalanta · 1.2 pts / game - Parma

Atalanta
LWWWD
Season result split
38% W38% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-8-5
1.52 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-4-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%
Parma
DLWDD
Season result split
24% W38% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-8-8
1.10 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-3
Last 5 away
3-2-0
WWDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atalanta is 85% better for: goals scored per game.

1.24 goals / game - Atalanta · 0.67 goals / game - Parma

Atalanta is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.95 goals / game - Atalanta · 1.05 goals / game - Parma

Atalanta scoring profile: very strong

Atalanta scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 meczów), while Parma keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 meczów).

Parma scoring profile: mixed

Parma scores in 48% of games (10 of 21 meczów), while Atalanta keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 meczów).

26Goals scored (season)14
AtalantaParma
20Goals conceded (season)22
AtalantaParma
2.19Average goals per game1.71
AtalantaParma
6Goals scored (last 5)3
AtalantaParma
2Goals conceded (last 5)4
AtalantaParma

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal48%
AtalantaParma
29%2 goals19%
AtalantaParma
10%3 goals0%
AtalantaParma
5%4 goals0%
AtalantaParma

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
AtalantaParma
14%2 goals33%
AtalantaParma
14%3 goals5%
AtalantaParma
0%4 goals0%
AtalantaParma

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time14%
AtalantaParma
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AtalantaParma
24%Scored in both halves14%
AtalantaParma

BTTS and goal count

19%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
AtalantaParma
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AtalantaParma
20%BTTS - last 540%
AtalantaParma

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time52%
AtalantaParma
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
AtalantaParma
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
AtalantaParma

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time62%
AtalantaParma
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
AtalantaParma
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
AtalantaParma

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atalanta is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.52 pts / game - Atalanta · 1 pts / game - Parma

Atalanta - half-time state
38% leading38% draw24% trailing
Parma - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.52Points per game (1st half)1
AtalantaParma
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.29
AtalantaParma
0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
AtalantaParma
1.05Average goals (1st half)0.71
AtalantaParma
67%Clean sheet before half-time62%
AtalantaParma
52%No goal before half-time71%
AtalantaParma

After half-time (2nd half)

1.52Points per game (2nd half)0.95
AtalantaParma
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.38
AtalantaParma
0.48Goals conceded (2nd half)0.62
AtalantaParma
1.14Average goals (2nd half)1
AtalantaParma
57%Clean sheet after half-time52%
AtalantaParma
43%No goal after half-time67%
AtalantaParma

Atalanta - second-half results

33% W52% D14% L
32
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Parma - second-half results

14% W52% D33% L
21
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding171%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Atalanta - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.60
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.00.4
Average goals per game0.61.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Parma - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.20
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game0.80.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atalanta
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
1
5
16-30
7
4
31-45
5
1
46-60
2
4
61-75
7
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Parma
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
4
4
61-75
3
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.96
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
83%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
39%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atalanta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Parma

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

AtalantaLigaParma
Average goals per game 2.192.35 1.71
Both teams scored 52%46% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%43% 29%
Clean sheets 33%32% 33%
Goal before half-time 71%64% 52%
Goal after half-time 71%75% 62%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.35
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.24
Home goals / game
1.11
Away goals / game
+12%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defensive advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AtalantaGoalGianluca Scamacca
  2. AtalantaSubstitutionOn: Isak HienOff: Berat Djimsiti
  3. AtalantaYellow cardGianluca Scamacca
  4. ParmaSubstitutionOn: Jacob OndrejkaOff: Oliver Sørensen Jensen
  5. AtalantaSubstitutionOn: Mario PašalićOff: Charles De Ketelaere
  6. AtalantaSubstitutionOn: Ademola LookmanOff: Marten de Roon
  7. ParmaSubstitutionOn: Christian Nahuel OrdoñezOff: Mandela Keita
  8. AtalantaGoalNikola Krstović

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Juan Luca SacchiMatches officiated: 11
3.45Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 264%Home wins9%Draws27%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Atalanta's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Parma. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Parma Calcio 1913
1 : 1
Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio

FAQ

What was the result of Atalanta vs Parma?

The Serie A match finished Atalanta 4:0 Parma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atalanta vs Parma?

Atalanta score 1.24 goals per game on average and Parma 0.67. The Serie A average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Atalanta's matches and 38% of Parma's.

What form are Atalanta and Parma in?

Over the last 5 games Atalanta have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Parma 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atalanta vs Parma?

The statistical background for Atalanta vs Parma — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.