Athletic Carpi vs Bra: match statistics
Athletic Carpi appears to have the advantage in this match, despite poor form in their last five games. The hosts can boast a better goal difference at home (-2) compared to Bra away (-11), as well as a higher shooting accuracy (7% vs 12% with fewer shots). Bra has not won any away match this season (0% Win%), which is a key factor in favor of the hosts. The high percentage of draws for Carpi at home (54%) and Bra away (42%) suggests that a draw is a realistic scenario. The advantage in ball possession (50% vs 43%) and better xG statistics (1.48 vs 0.91) further support the forecast in favor of the hosts. Taking all factors into account, Athletic Carpi should secure three points, although it will not be an easy victory.
Athletic Carpi vs Bra: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Athletic Carpi played against Bra in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Athletic Carpi has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Bra has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Athletic Carpi scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 1.19. Bra scores 1.08 and allows 1.46. Games in this league average 2.26 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Athletic Carpi's games and 69% of Bra's. The Over 2.5 rates are 23% and 46%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Athletic Carpi has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.02 per game. Athletic Carpi takes 12.2 shots per game, while Bra takes 8.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Athletic Carpi leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Bra leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
Athletic Carpi's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Bra, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group B games average 2.26 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Athletic Carpi appears to have the advantage in this match, despite poor form in their last five games. The hosts can boast a better goal difference at home (-2) compared to Bra away (-11), as well as a higher shooting accuracy (7% vs 12% with fewer shots). Bra has not won any away match this season (0% Win%), which is a key factor in favor of the hosts. The high percentage of draws for Carpi at home (54%) and Bra away (42%) suggests that a draw is a realistic scenario. The advantage in ball possession (50% vs 43%) and better xG statistics (1.48 vs 0.91) further support the forecast in favor of the hosts. Taking all factors into account, Athletic Carpi should secure three points, although it will not be an easy victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Athletic Carpi | Bra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bra is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Athletic Carpi · 1 pts / game - Bra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bra is 23% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - Athletic Carpi · 1.08 goals / game - Bra
Athletic Carpi is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.19 goals / game - Athletic Carpi · 1.46 goals / game - Bra
Athletic Carpi scores in 65% of games (17 of 26 meczów), while Bra keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 meczów).
Bra scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 meczów), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Athletic Carpi
Over / Under - Bra
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bra is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Athletic Carpi · 1.35 pts / game - Bra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bra - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 19%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Athletic Carpi
Bra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Athletic Carpi | Liga | Bra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.08 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 48% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 38% | ▲ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 30% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 64% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Athletic Carpi's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Bra. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Athletic Carpi vs Bra?
The Serie C Group B match finished Athletic Carpi 2:1 Bra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Carpi vs Bra?
Athletic Carpi score 0.88 goals per game on average and Bra 1.08. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Athletic Carpi's matches and 69% of Bra's.
What form are Athletic Carpi and Bra in?
Over the last 5 games Athletic Carpi have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Bra 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Carpi vs Bra?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Athletic Carpi vs Bra: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.