Italy - Serie C Group BData current as of 23 July 2026

Athletic Carpi vs Bra: match statistics

Athletic Carpi crest
Athletic Carpi
2 : 1half-time 0:0
Bra crest
Bra
150%(1.92)
X35%(3.20)
215%(4.11)

Athletic Carpi appears to have the advantage in this match, despite poor form in their last five games. The hosts can boast a better goal difference at home (-2) compared to Bra away (-11), as well as a higher shooting accuracy (7% vs 12% with fewer shots). Bra has not won any away match this season (0% Win%), which is a key factor in favor of the hosts. The high percentage of draws for Carpi at home (54%) and Bra away (42%) suggests that a draw is a realistic scenario. The advantage in ball possession (50% vs 43%) and better xG statistics (1.48 vs 0.91) further support the forecast in favor of the hosts. Taking all factors into account, Athletic Carpi should secure three points, although it will not be an easy victory.

Athletic Carpi vs Bra: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Athletic Carpi play Bra in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 22 February 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Athletic Carpi: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Bra: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Athletic Carpi scores 0.97 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Bra scores 1.03 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Athletic Carpi 47%, Bra 69%. Over 2.5: Athletic Carpi 36%, Bra 53%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

Athletic Carpi has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.01. Athletic Carpi: 12.1 shots per match, Bra: 8.3.

Match halves

Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.53. Bra: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.58.

Goals by minute

Athletic Carpi: 76-90+ (10 goals). Bra: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Athletic Carpi appears to have the advantage in this match, despite poor form in their last five games. The hosts can boast a better goal difference at home (-2) compared to Bra away (-11), as well as a higher shooting accuracy (7% vs 12% with fewer shots). Bra has not won any away match this season (0% Win%), which is a key factor in favor of the hosts. The high percentage of draws for Carpi at home (54%) and Bra away (42%) suggests that a draw is a realistic scenario. The advantage in ball possession (50% vs 43%) and better xG statistics (1.48 vs 0.91) further support the forecast in favor of the hosts. Taking all factors into account, Athletic Carpi should secure three points, although it will not be an easy victory.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
Athletic CarpiBra
15Shots12
Athletic CarpiBra
5Shots on target4
Athletic CarpiBra
1.98xG1.42
Athletic CarpiBra
4Corners2
Athletic CarpiBra
95Dangerous attacks53
Athletic CarpiBra
15Fouls8
Athletic CarpiBra
2Cards3
Athletic CarpiBra

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.97Goals scored / match1.03
Athletic CarpiBra
1.33Goals conceded / match1.5
Athletic CarpiBra
49%Average possession43%
Athletic CarpiBra
3.42Shots on target / match2.61
Athletic CarpiBra

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.08Shots per match8.31
Athletic CarpiBra
3.42Shots on target2.61
Athletic CarpiBra
8%Shot conversion12.4%
Athletic CarpiBra
49%Possession43%
Athletic CarpiBra
1.43xG for1.01
Athletic CarpiBra
1.45xG against1.66
Athletic CarpiBra

Shooting quality

Athletic Carpi: BalancedBra: Counter-attacking
Athletic CarpiBra
Accuracy (shots on target)28%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Athletic Carpi
LWLLW
Season result split
28% W28% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-16
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-8-6
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Bra
DWDLD
Season result split
17% W39% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-14-16
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-8-10
Last 5 away
0-3-2
LLDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.92Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bra is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

0.97 goals / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.03 goals / match - Bra

Athletic Carpi is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.5 goals / match - Bra

Athletic Carpi scoring profile: very strong

Athletic Carpi scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Bra keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).

Bra scoring profile: very strong

Bra scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).

35Goals scored (season)37
Athletic CarpiBra
48Goals conceded (season)54
Athletic CarpiBra
2.31Average goals in match2.53
Athletic CarpiBra
6Goals scored (last 5)5
Athletic CarpiBra
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
Athletic CarpiBra

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal78%
Athletic CarpiBra
25%2 goals25%
Athletic CarpiBra
6%3 goals0%
Athletic CarpiBra
0%4 goals0%
Athletic CarpiBra

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal83%
Athletic CarpiBra
39%2 goals47%
Athletic CarpiBra
14%3 goals14%
Athletic CarpiBra
3%4 goals6%
Athletic CarpiBra

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time19%
Athletic CarpiBra
8%BTTS in both halves0%
Athletic CarpiBra
14%Scored in both halves17%
Athletic CarpiBra

BTTS and goal count

28%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Athletic CarpiBra
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Athletic CarpiBra
40%BTTS - last 560%
Athletic CarpiBra

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Athletic CarpiBra
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Athletic CarpiBra
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Athletic CarpiBra

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Athletic CarpiBra
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
Athletic CarpiBra
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
Athletic CarpiBra

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bra is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.17 pts / match - Bra

Athletic Carpi - half-time state
19% leading42% draw39% trailing
Bra - half-time state
22% leading50% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.17
Athletic CarpiBra
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.44
Athletic CarpiBra
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Athletic CarpiBra
1.08Average goals (1st half)1
Athletic CarpiBra
47%Clean sheet before half-time58%
Athletic CarpiBra
67%No goal before half-time58%
Athletic CarpiBra

After half-time (2nd half)

1.06Points per match (2nd half)0.94
Athletic CarpiBra
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
Athletic CarpiBra
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
Athletic CarpiBra
1.22Average goals (2nd half)1.53
Athletic CarpiBra
42%Clean sheet after half-time42%
Athletic CarpiBra
53%No goal after half-time47%
Athletic CarpiBra

Athletic Carpi - second-half results

17% W56% R28% P
36
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding147%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bra - second-half results

19% W36% R44% P
42
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding77%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Athletic Carpi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.60
Goals scored / match1.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Bra - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.40.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Athletic Carpi
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
6
11
16-30
6
4
31-45
2
5
46-60
7
11
61-75
10
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Bra
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
5
4
16-30
8
11
31-45
5
13
46-60
6
6
61-75
10
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.42
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+65%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Athletic Carpi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Bra

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

Athletic CarpiLigaBra
Average goals in match 2.312.26 2.53
Both teams scored 47%49% 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%39% 53%
Clean sheets 22%31% 17%
Goal before half-time 69%63% 64%
Goal after half-time 72%72% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.26
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Athletic Carpi 1 - 0 - 0 Bra. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Bra
1 : 3
Athletic Carpi

FAQ

What was the result of Athletic Carpi vs Bra?

The Serie C Group B match finished Athletic Carpi 2:1 Bra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Carpi vs Bra?

Athletic Carpi score 0.97 goals per game on average and Bra 1.03. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Athletic Carpi's matches and 69% of Bra's.

What form are Athletic Carpi and Bra in?

Over the last 5 games Athletic Carpi have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Bra 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Carpi vs Bra?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Athletic Carpi vs Bra: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.