Athletic Carpi vs Pineto: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Athletic Carpi shows weaker home form with only 20% wins at home and a high draw rate (53%), which reflects their defensive approach. Pineto demonstrates better overall form with 1.8 points per match in the last 5 games and balanced away statistics (33% wins, 33% draws, 33% losses). Both teams have an identical average of goals conceded away/home (1.07), and their FTS% indicator is 27% each, confirming similar offensive potential. Pineto's recent form (lwwlw) is better than Athletic Carpi's (wlldd), however, the away team's advantage is not dominant enough to clearly indicate their victory. Taking into account the hosts' tendency to draw and the balanced goal difference of both teams, I expect a draw.
Athletic Carpi vs Pineto: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Athletic Carpi played against Pineto in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Athletic Carpi has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Pineto has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Athletic Carpi scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 1.29. Pineto scores 1.30 and allows 1.23. Games in this league average 2.28 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Athletic Carpi's games and 50% of Pineto's. The Over 2.5 rates are 32% and 43%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Athletic Carpi has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.30 per game. Athletic Carpi takes 12.3 shots per game, while Pineto takes 10.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Athletic Carpi leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Pineto leads at halftime in 43% and scores 0.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Athletic Carpi's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Pineto, it is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group B games average 2.28 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Athletic Carpi shows weaker home form with only 20% wins at home and a high draw rate (53%), which reflects their defensive approach. Pineto demonstrates better overall form with 1.8 points per match in the last 5 games and balanced away statistics (33% wins, 33% draws, 33% losses). Both teams have an identical average of goals conceded away/home (1.07), and their FTS% indicator is 27% each, confirming similar offensive potential. Pineto's recent form (lwwlw) is better than Athletic Carpi's (wlldd), however, the away team's advantage is not dominant enough to clearly indicate their victory. Taking into account the hosts' tendency to draw and the balanced goal difference of both teams, I expect a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Athletic Carpi | Pineto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Pineto is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Athletic Carpi · 1.8 pts / game - Pineto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pineto is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
0.94 goals / game - Athletic Carpi · 1.3 goals / game - Pineto
Pineto is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.29 goals / game - Athletic Carpi · 1.23 goals / game - Pineto
Athletic Carpi scores in 68% of games (21 of 31 meczów), while Pineto keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 meczów).
Pineto scores in 80% of games (24 of 30 meczów), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Athletic Carpi
Over / Under - Pineto
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pineto is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / game - Athletic Carpi · 1.6 pts / game - Pineto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Pineto - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 40%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Athletic Carpi
Pineto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Athletic Carpi | Liga | Pineto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.23 | 2.28 | ▲ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 39% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 63% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Athletic Carpi's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Pineto. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Athletic Carpi vs Pineto?
The Serie C Group B match finished Athletic Carpi 1:2 Pineto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Carpi vs Pineto?
Athletic Carpi score 0.94 goals per game on average and Pineto 1.30. The Serie C Group B average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Athletic Carpi's matches and 50% of Pineto's.
What form are Athletic Carpi and Pineto in?
Over the last 5 games Athletic Carpi have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Pineto 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Carpi vs Pineto?
The statistical background for Athletic Carpi vs Pineto — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.