Athletic Carpi vs Ternana: match statistics
Athletic Carpi presents poor form in the last five matches with just 0.4 points per match and a five-game winless streak. The hosts have a high draw rate at their own stadium (60%), suggesting a defensive approach. Ternana shows better recent form (1.4 PPG) and more solid defense on the road (0.9 goals conceded on average), but has a very high percentage of away draws (50%) and low scoring efficiency (0.8 goals per match). Both teams share an identical shot conversion rate (9%), indicating similar offensive effectiveness. Considering both teams' tendency to draw and recent results, a share of the points is the most likely scenario, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to playing in front of their home crowd.
Athletic Carpi vs Ternana: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Athletic Carpi played against Ternana in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Athletic Carpi has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Ternana has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Athletic Carpi scores 1.05 goals per game and allows 1.29. Ternana scores 1.10 and allows 0.90. Games in this league average 2.26 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Athletic Carpi's games and 50% of Ternana's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 30%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 37% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ternana has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.42 per game. Athletic Carpi takes 12.1 shots per game, while Ternana takes 10.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Athletic Carpi leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Ternana leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
Athletic Carpi's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For Ternana, it is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group B games average 2.26 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 37% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Athletic Carpi presents poor form in the last five matches with just 0.4 points per match and a five-game winless streak. The hosts have a high draw rate at their own stadium (60%), suggesting a defensive approach. Ternana shows better recent form (1.4 PPG) and more solid defense on the road (0.9 goals conceded on average), but has a very high percentage of away draws (50%) and low scoring efficiency (0.8 goals per match). Both teams share an identical shot conversion rate (9%), indicating similar offensive effectiveness. Considering both teams' tendency to draw and recent results, a share of the points is the most likely scenario, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to playing in front of their home crowd.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Athletic Carpi | Ternana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ternana is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Athletic Carpi · 2 pts / game - Ternana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ternana is 5% better for: goals scored per game.
1.05 goals / game - Athletic Carpi · 1.1 goals / game - Ternana
Ternana is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.29 goals / game - Athletic Carpi · 0.9 goals / game - Ternana
Athletic Carpi scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 meczów), while Ternana keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 meczów).
Ternana scores in 70% of games (14 of 20 meczów), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Athletic Carpi
Over / Under - Ternana
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ternana is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / game - Athletic Carpi · 1.2 pts / game - Ternana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ternana - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Athletic Carpi
Ternana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Athletic Carpi | Liga | Ternana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.33 | 2.26 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 37% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 31% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Athletic Carpi's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Ternana. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Athletic Carpi vs Ternana?
The Serie C Group B match finished Athletic Carpi 0:1 Ternana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Carpi vs Ternana?
Athletic Carpi score 1.05 goals per game on average and Ternana 1.10. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Athletic Carpi's matches and 50% of Ternana's.
What form are Athletic Carpi and Ternana in?
Over the last 5 games Athletic Carpi have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Ternana 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Carpi vs Ternana?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.