United States - MLSMercedes-Benz StadiumData current as of October 20, 2026

Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atlanta United FC plays Chicago Fire in MLS (United States). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Recent form

Atlanta United FC has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Chicago Fire has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Atlanta United FC scores 1.23 goals per game and allows 1.70. Chicago Fire scores 1.73 and allows 1.47. Games in this league average 3.25 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 63% of Atlanta United FC's games and 70% of Chicago Fire's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 73%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Chicago Fire has the higher season xG average, 1.61 to 1.43 per game. Atlanta United FC takes 13.2 shots per game, while Chicago Fire takes 14.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Atlanta United FC leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Chicago Fire leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.97 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atlanta United FC's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). For Chicago Fire, it is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

MLS games average 3.25 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.44)
(3.82)
(2.79)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
1.23Goals scored / game1.73
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
1.7Goals allowed / game1.47
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
51%Average possession52%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
4.07Shots on target / game5.2
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.23Shots per game14.27
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
4.07Shots on target5.2
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
9.3%Shot conversion12.1%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
51%Possession52%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
1.43xG for1.61
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
1.39xG against1.43
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

Shooting quality

Atlanta United FC: BalancedChicago Fire: Attacking
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
Accuracy (shots on target)31%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Chicago Fire is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Atlanta United FC · 1.8 pts / game - Chicago Fire

Atlanta United FC
WDLWL
Season result split
27% W20% D53% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-16
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-9
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Chicago Fire
WWWLL
Season result split
47% W20% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-6-10
1.60 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-5
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DDLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Chicago Fire is 41% better for: goals scored per game.

1.23 goals / game - Atlanta United FC · 1.73 goals / game - Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.7 goals / game - Atlanta United FC · 1.47 goals / game - Chicago Fire

Atlanta United FC scoring profile: very strong

Atlanta United FC scores in 70% of games (21 of 30 games), while Chicago Fire keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 games).

Chicago Fire scoring profile: very strong

Chicago Fire scores in 90% of games (27 of 30 games), while Atlanta United FC keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 games).

37Goals scored (season)52
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
51Goals conceded (season)44
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
2.93Average goals per game3.2
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
8Goals scored (last 5)7
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal90%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
43%2 goals53%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
10%3 goals20%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
0%4 goals7%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

How often they concede at least...

87%1 goal77%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
57%2 goals40%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
23%3 goals27%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
3%4 goals3%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time30%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
7%BTTS in both halves13%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
30%Scored in both halves37%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
60%BTTS - last 560%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time87%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Chicago Fire is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / game - Atlanta United FC · 1.53 pts / game - Chicago Fire

Atlanta United FC - half-time state
27% leading37% draw37% trailing
Chicago Fire - half-time state
40% leading33% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per game (1st half)1.53
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.77
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.4
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
53%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
60%No goal before half-time33%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

After half-time (2nd half)

1.13Points per game (2nd half)1.37
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.97
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
1.03Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
1.77Average goals (2nd half)1.8
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
40%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
40%No goal after half-time40%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

Atlanta United FC - second-half results

30% W23% D47% L
35
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Chicago Fire - second-half results

37% W27% D37% L
46
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding118%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Atlanta United FC - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.00
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.41.2
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Chicago Fire - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.00
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game0.81.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atlanta United FC
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
5
8
16-30
7
7
31-45
6
10
46-60
8
8
61-75
8
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Chicago Fire
ScoredConceded
9
2
0-15
8
7
16-30
6
10
31-45
8
9
46-60
11
3
61-75
10
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.06
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-67%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atlanta United FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Chicago Fire

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

Atlanta United FCLigaChicago Fire
Average goals per game▼ 2.933.25• 3.20
Both teams scored• 63%64%▲ 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 63%64%▲ 73%
Clean sheets▼ 13%20%▲ 23%
Goal before half-time▼ 70%78%▲ 87%
Goal after half-time• 83%82%• 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.25
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.84
Home goals / game
1.41
Away goals / game
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Atlanta United FC's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Chicago Fire. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Atlanta United FC and Chicago Fire play?

Atlanta United FC face Chicago Fire on October 24, 2026 in MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?

Atlanta United FC score 1.23 goals per game on average and Chicago Fire 1.73. The MLS average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Atlanta United FC's matches and 70% of Chicago Fire's.

What form are Atlanta United FC and Chicago Fire in?

Over the last 5 games Atlanta United FC have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Chicago Fire 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.