Atlanta vs Atlético Rafaela: match statistics
Atlanta vs Atlético Rafaela: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlanta played against Atlético Rafaela in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The game was played on May 16, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Atlanta has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Atlético Rafaela has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlanta scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 0.75. Atlético Rafaela scores 1.00 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 1.91 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Atlanta's games and 42% of Atlético Rafaela's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 33%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 31% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlanta has the higher season xG average, 1.23 to 1.20 per game. Atlanta takes 10.5 shots per game, while Atlético Rafaela takes 9.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlanta leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Rafaela leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlanta's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Atlético Rafaela, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prim B Nacional games average 1.91 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 31% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlanta holds a clear advantage in possession and shot volume: at home they average 53% possession, 11.43 shots and 3.43 shots on target per match, versus Atlético Rafaela away with 38% possession, 9.2 shots and 2.8 on target. Consequently the hosts create more high-quality chances — Atlanta’s home xG is 1.42 with xG against 1.03, while the visitors’ away xG is 1.09 with xG against 1.8, indicating Rafaela generates fewer valuable opportunities and concedes more. In attack Atlanta averages 1.29 goals per home match (14 goals this season) with an 11% conversion rate, whereas Rafaela scores 0.8 goals away (12 goals this season) with a 9% conversion. Recent form also favors the hosts: Atlanta in the last five has 4 wins and 1 draw, 8 goals for and 2 against, and 2.6 points per game; Rafaela’s last 5 show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, 6 goals for and 3 against, and 1.6 PPG. Considering superior game control, higher quality of created chances (xG 1.42 vs 1.09), better home defense (0.71 vs 1.0 goals conceded per match) and form (2.6 vs 1.6 PPG), I expect a home win, although draw risk exists (Atlanta failed to score in 29% of home matches vs 20% for Rafaela away).
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project No Goal (BTTS - No). Atlanta have kept a clean sheet in 71% of home matches and concede just 0.43 goals per game this season, which significantly limits Atlético Rafaela’s chances. Atlético Rafaela’s seasonal BTTS rate is 60% and they average 0.8 goals (xG_for 1.09) with 2.8 shots on target and a 9% conversion rate, but Atlanta average 4.0 shots on target and a 13% conversion and have conceded only 0.4 goals per game in their last 5 matches. In the last 5 games Atlanta scored 8 (1.6 per game) and conceded 2 (0.4), while Rafaela scored 6 (1.2) and conceded 3 (0.6), which together indicate a low goal exchange. Given a league context with 78% of matches featuring a clean sheet and a seasonal average of 1.9 goals per game, I assess the probability of No BTTS at roughly 70% versus 30% for BTTS (Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Atlanta averages 1.14 goals scored at home, while Atlético Rafaela scores 0.80 away; xG values are 1.27 for Atlanta and 1.09 for Rafaela, indicating a moderate number of scoring chances. Atlanta concedes only 0.43 goals and has 71% clean sheets this season, whereas Rafaela concedes 1.0 goal and has had 0% of matches over 3.5 goals this season. Considering the difference in xG against (Rafaela allows 1.8 xG) and shot efficiency, I estimated 1.35 expected goals for Atlanta and 0.80 for Rafaela, totaling 2.15. From the probability distribution this total implies roughly a 63% chance of Over 1.5 goals, ~37% for Over 2.5 and only ~17% for Over 3.5, therefore the strongest signal is Under 3.5. Additionally, Atlanta has only 14% of matches over 3.5 goals this season and Rafaela 0%, which reinforces the 'under' selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I forecast a Half-Time draw and a home win at Full-Time (X/1). Both teams frequently level at the break: Atlanta were tied at half in 57% of matches, Atlético Rafaela in 80%, yielding an average of about a 69% chance of a HT draw. After the break Atlanta hold the advantage — average points at home 2.0 versus 1.0 away, shots on target 4.0 vs 2.8 and xG 1.27 vs 1.09 — so HT draws often swing in favor of the home side in the second half. Additionally the hosts seldom concede before half-time (on average 0.14 goals conceded to the break and 86% of matches with a clean sheet at the break), which is why X/1 received the highest probability (39%), with 1/1 at 12% and low values for away-favourable scenarios (2/2 only 6%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlanta | Atlético Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlanta is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Atlanta · 1.6 pts / game - Atlético Rafaela
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlanta is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.17 goals / game - Atlanta · 1 goals / game - Atlético Rafaela
Atlético Rafaela is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.75 goals / game - Atlanta · 0.67 goals / game - Atlético Rafaela
Atlanta scores in 67% of games (8 of 12 meczów), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 meczów).
Atlético Rafaela scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 meczów), while Atlanta keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlanta
Over / Under - Atlético Rafaela
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlanta - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Atlético Rafaela - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlanta
Atlético Rafaela
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Atlanta | Liga | Atlético Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.92 | 1.91 | ▼ 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | • 42% | 41% | • 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 42% | 31% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 39% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 42% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlanta vs Atlético Rafaela?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Atlanta 2:0 Atlético Rafaela. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlanta vs Atlético Rafaela?
Atlanta score 1.17 goals per game on average and Atlético Rafaela 1.00. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Atlanta's matches and 42% of Atlético Rafaela's.
What form are Atlanta and Atlético Rafaela in?
Over the last 5 games Atlanta have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Atlético Rafaela 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlanta vs Atlético Rafaela?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.