Atlanta vs Atlético Rafaela: match statistics
Atlanta vs Atlético Rafaela: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlanta play Atlético Rafaela in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Atlanta: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Atlético Rafaela: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlanta scores 1.25 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Atlético Rafaela scores 0.71 and concedes 0.86. League average: 1.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlanta 40%, Atlético Rafaela 29%. Over 2.5: Atlanta 40%, Atlético Rafaela 24%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Atlanta has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.15. Atlanta: 9.8 shots per match, Atlético Rafaela: 8.4.
Match halves
Atlanta: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.95. Atlético Rafaela: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Atlanta: 76-90+ (9 goals). Atlético Rafaela: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Atlanta holds a clear advantage in possession and shot volume: at home they average 53% possession, 11.43 shots and 3.43 shots on target per match, versus Atlético Rafaela away with 38% possession, 9.2 shots and 2.8 on target. Consequently the hosts create more high-quality chances — Atlanta’s home xG is 1.42 with xG against 1.03, while the visitors’ away xG is 1.09 with xG against 1.8, indicating Rafaela generates fewer valuable opportunities and concedes more. In attack Atlanta averages 1.29 goals per home match (14 goals this season) with an 11% conversion rate, whereas Rafaela scores 0.8 goals away (12 goals this season) with a 9% conversion. Recent form also favors the hosts: Atlanta in the last five has 4 wins and 1 draw, 8 goals for and 2 against, and 2.6 points per game; Rafaela’s last 5 show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, 6 goals for and 3 against, and 1.6 PPG. Considering superior game control, higher quality of created chances (xG 1.42 vs 1.09), better home defense (0.71 vs 1.0 goals conceded per match) and form (2.6 vs 1.6 PPG), I expect a home win, although draw risk exists (Atlanta failed to score in 29% of home matches vs 20% for Rafaela away).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlanta | Atlético Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlanta is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Atlanta · 0.4 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlanta is 76% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Atlanta · 0.71 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela
Atlanta is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Atlanta · 0.86 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela
Atlanta scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 matches).
Atlético Rafaela scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Atlanta keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlanta
Over / Under — Atlético Rafaela
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlanta is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Atlanta · 1.05 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlanta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Rafaela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlanta
Atlético Rafaela
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Atlanta | Liga | Atlético Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.89 | ▼ 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | • 40% | 39% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 30% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 39% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 35% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlanta vs Atlético Rafaela?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Atlanta 2:0 Atlético Rafaela. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlanta vs Atlético Rafaela?
Atlanta score 1.25 goals per game on average and Atlético Rafaela 0.71. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Atlanta's matches and 29% of Atlético Rafaela's.
What form are Atlanta and Atlético Rafaela in?
Over the last 5 games Atlanta have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Atlético Rafaela 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlanta vs Atlético Rafaela?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.