Atlas vs Guadalajara: match statistics
Atlas vs Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlas played against Guadalajara in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Estadio Jalisco. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Atlas has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Guadalajara has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlas scores 1.60 goals per game and allows 1.70. Guadalajara scores 1.70 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.92 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of Atlas's games and 40% of Guadalajara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 40%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Guadalajara has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.43 per game. Atlas takes 13.0 shots per game, while Guadalajara takes 14.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlas leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Guadalajara leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlas's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). For Guadalajara, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.92 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Guadalajara look to be the favorites: they have picked up 8 points from their last five matches, compared with Atlas's 5, with respective goal differences of 9:5 and 8:12. Away from home, Guadalajara average 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Atlas score 1.0 and concede 1.6 per home game. Guadalajara also create slightly better chances, posting an away xG of 1.53 compared with Atlas's 1.36 at home, and their average number of shots on target is markedly higher: 5.4 to 2.8. The visitors are unbeaten in their last five away matches, but three draws in that run mean the points could still be shared.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for both teams to score is Atlas’s recent form: BTTS has landed in each of their last 5 matches, with the team conceding an average of 2.4 goals. Guadalajara averaged 1.8 goals over that period, giving them a solid basis to exploit the hosts’ defensive problems. Atlas should also have chances to score: their average xG is 1.95, while Guadalajara allow opponents chances worth an average of 1.32 xG. The forecast is tempered by the fact that BTTS has landed in only 20% of Atlas’s home matches so far, while the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their away matches. Even so, Atlas’s recent run and the attacking potential of both sides point towards BTTS - Yes, although the edge for this outcome is not substantial.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The pick is Over 1.5 goals, as 80% of matches involving each team finished above this line, with the match forecast at a combined 2.7 goals. Atlas average 1.8 goals per game and Guadalajara 1.6; their average xG of 1.95 and 1.53, respectively, suggests that both teams create chances regularly. Atlas conceded an average of 2.4 goals over their last five matches, boosting the visitors’ chances, with Guadalajara scoring 1.8 goals per game over the same period. The Over 2.5 goals line is less reliable: only 40% of matches involving either team cleared it over the season, although that figure rose to 60% in each team’s last five matches. Therefore, the two-goal threshold offers a stronger signal than backing at least three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Guadalajara leading at the break: the visitors did so in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Atlas were trailing at half-time in 2 of their 5. Over this period, Guadalajara averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.2 conceded before the break, while Atlas averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded. Guadalajara are more likely to maintain their lead than to suffer a turnaround, as the visitors have conceded an average of 1.0 goals per match in their last 5 games, compared with 2.4 goals conceded by the hosts. The risk of a draw remains significant—Guadalajara have drawn 60% of their matches over the season—but the visitors’ advantage before half-time and Atlas’s weaker recent defensive record most strongly support Guadalajara leading both at half-time and at full-time in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlas | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Guadalajara is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Atlas · 1.6 pts / game - Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guadalajara is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.6 goals / game - Atlas · 1.7 goals / game - Guadalajara
Guadalajara is 70% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.7 goals / game - Atlas · 1 goals / game - Guadalajara
Atlas scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 games).
Guadalajara scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlas
Over / Under - Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guadalajara is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / game - Atlas · 1.7 pts / game - Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlas
Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlas | Liga | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.30 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 59% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 68% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlas's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Guadalajara. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlas vs Guadalajara?
The Liga MX match finished Atlas 1:1 Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlas and Guadalajara?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlas won 0, Guadalajara won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlas vs Guadalajara?
Atlas score 1.60 goals per game on average and Guadalajara 1.70. The Liga MX average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Atlas's matches and 40% of Guadalajara's.
What form are Atlas and Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Atlas have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Guadalajara 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlas vs Guadalajara?
The statistical background for Atlas vs Guadalajara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.