Brazil - Serie AArena MRVData current as of October 25, 2026

Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atlético Mineiro plays Cruzeiro in Serie A (Brazil). The game is scheduled for October 29, 2026. Venue: Arena MRV.

Recent form

Atlético Mineiro has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Cruzeiro has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Atlético Mineiro scores 1.35 goals per game and allows 1.13. Cruzeiro scores 1.59 and allows 1.44. Games in this league average 2.66 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 48% of Atlético Mineiro's games and 69% of Cruzeiro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 66%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Cruzeiro has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.53 per game. Atlético Mineiro takes 14.0 shots per game, while Cruzeiro takes 14.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Atlético Mineiro leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.74 goals per game after halftime. Cruzeiro leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.97 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atlético Mineiro's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). For Cruzeiro, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.66 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.48)
(3.45)
(2.87)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
1.35Goals scored / game1.59
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
1.13Goals allowed / game1.44
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
49%Average possession55%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
4.9Shots on target / game5.28
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.97Shots per game14.91
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
4.9Shots on target5.28
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
9.7%Shot conversion10.7%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
49%Possession55%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
1.53xG for1.65
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
1.6xG against1.46
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

Shooting quality

Atlético Mineiro: BalancedCruzeiro: Dominant
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
Accuracy (shots on target)35%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Cruzeiro is 9% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Atlético Mineiro · 2.4 pts / game - Cruzeiro

Atlético Mineiro
DWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
45% W26% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-8-9
1.61 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-5-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.15Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Cruzeiro
WWLWW
Season result split
50% W19% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-6-10
1.69 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
7-2-7
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.95Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cruzeiro is 18% better for: goals scored per game.

1.35 goals / game - Atlético Mineiro · 1.59 goals / game - Cruzeiro

Atlético Mineiro is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.13 goals / game - Atlético Mineiro · 1.44 goals / game - Cruzeiro

Atlético Mineiro scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Mineiro scores in 71% of games (22 of 31 games), while Cruzeiro keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 games).

Cruzeiro scoring profile: very strong

Cruzeiro scores in 88% of games (28 of 32 games), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 games).

42Goals scored (season)51
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
35Goals conceded (season)46
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
2.48Average goals per game3.03
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
7Goals scored (last 5)12
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal88%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
42%2 goals50%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
19%3 goals19%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
3%4 goals3%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal78%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
29%2 goals38%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
6%3 goals19%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
3%4 goals9%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time28%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
10%BTTS in both halves6%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
29%Scored in both halves38%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS59%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
60%BTTS - last 560%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético Mineiro is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.52 pts / game - Atlético Mineiro · 1.19 pts / game - Cruzeiro

Atlético Mineiro - half-time state
35% leading45% draw19% trailing
Cruzeiro - half-time state
28% leading34% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.52Points per game (1st half)1.19
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.81
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
1.03Average goals (1st half)1.44
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
65%Clean sheet before half-time41%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
52%No goal before half-time44%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per game (2nd half)1.59
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.97
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.59
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
39%Clean sheet after half-time59%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
48%No goal after half-time31%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

Atlético Mineiro - second-half results

29% W39% D32% L
47
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Cruzeiro - second-half results

41% W38% D22% L
38
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding179%

Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Atlético Mineiro - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.20
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Cruzeiro - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.20
Goals scored / game0.81.6
Goals allowed / game1.20.2
Average goals per game2.01.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference-2+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atlético Mineiro
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
9
3
16-30
7
6
31-45
2
3
46-60
11
7
61-75
10
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Cruzeiro
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
6
9
16-30
9
10
31-45
8
7
46-60
9
2
61-75
14
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atlético Mineiro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Cruzeiro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.71
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

Atlético MineiroLigaCruzeiro
Average goals per game▼ 2.482.66▲ 3.03
Both teams scored▼ 48%59%▲ 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 48%51%▲ 66%
Clean sheets▲ 26%23%• 22%
Goal before half-time▼ 68%75%▲ 88%
Goal after half-time▲ 81%78%▲ 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / game
1.13
Away goals / game
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defensive advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Atlético Mineiro's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses against Cruzeiro. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

Cruzeiro
1 : 3
Atlético Mineiro
CA Mineiro
1 : 1
Cruzeiro EC
Cruzeiro EC
0 : 0
CA Mineiro

FAQ

When do Atlético Mineiro and Cruzeiro play?

Atlético Mineiro face Cruzeiro on October 29, 2026 in Serie A at Arena MRV. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Mineiro and Cruzeiro?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Mineiro won 1, Cruzeiro won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?

Atlético Mineiro score 1.35 goals per game on average and Cruzeiro 1.59. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Atlético Mineiro's matches and 69% of Cruzeiro's.

What form are Atlético Mineiro and Cruzeiro in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Mineiro have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Cruzeiro 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?

The statistical background for Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.