Brazil - Serie AArena MRVData current as of September 08, 2026

Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atlético Mineiro plays Fluminense in Serie A (Brazil). The game is scheduled for September 12, 2026. Venue: Arena MRV.

Recent form

Atlético Mineiro has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Fluminense has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Atlético Mineiro scores 1.28 goals per game and allows 1.20. Fluminense scores 1.54 and allows 1.23. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 44% of Atlético Mineiro's games and 73% of Fluminense's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 50%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Fluminense has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.40 per game. Atlético Mineiro takes 13.0 shots per game, while Fluminense takes 15.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Atlético Mineiro leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Fluminense leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.92 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atlético Mineiro's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). For Fluminense, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.25)
(3.30)
(3.30)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Atlético MineiroFluminense
1.28Goals scored / game1.54
Atlético MineiroFluminense
1.2Goals allowed / game1.23
Atlético MineiroFluminense
49%Average possession59%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
4.28Shots on target / game5.73
Atlético MineiroFluminense

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.04Shots per game15.04
Atlético MineiroFluminense
4.28Shots on target5.73
Atlético MineiroFluminense
9.8%Shot conversion10.2%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
49%Possession59%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
1.4xG for1.71
Atlético MineiroFluminense
1.6xG against1.42
Atlético MineiroFluminense

Shooting quality

Atlético Mineiro: BalancedFluminense: Dominant
Atlético MineiroFluminense
Accuracy (shots on target)33%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Fluminense is 38% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Atlético Mineiro · 2.2 pts / game - Fluminense

Atlético Mineiro
DWDWL
Season result split
40% W24% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-9
1.44 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-4-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DWDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Fluminense
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
46% W35% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-9-5
1.73 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-6-4
Last 5 away
0-4-1
LDDDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fluminense is 20% better for: goals scored per game.

1.28 goals / game - Atlético Mineiro · 1.54 goals / game - Fluminense

Atlético Mineiro scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Mineiro scores in 64% of games (16 of 25 meczów), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 meczów).

Fluminense scoring profile: very strong

Fluminense scores in 88% of games (23 of 26 meczów), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 meczów).

32Goals scored (season)40
Atlético MineiroFluminense
30Goals conceded (season)32
Atlético MineiroFluminense
2.48Average goals per game2.77
Atlético MineiroFluminense
7Goals scored (last 5)10
Atlético MineiroFluminense
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
Atlético MineiroFluminense

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal88%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
40%2 goals46%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
20%3 goals19%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
4%4 goals0%
Atlético MineiroFluminense

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal81%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
32%2 goals35%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
8%3 goals8%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
4%4 goals0%
Atlético MineiroFluminense

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

44%
Atlético Mineiro - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 25 meczów
58%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time19%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
8%BTTS in both halves15%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
32%Scored in both halves31%
Atlético MineiroFluminense

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
40%BTTS - last 580%
Atlético MineiroFluminense

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Atlético MineiroFluminense

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
Atlético MineiroFluminense

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético Mineiro is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.6 pts / game - Atlético Mineiro · 1.42 pts / game - Fluminense

Atlético Mineiro - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing
Fluminense - half-time state
35% leading38% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.6Points per game (1st half)1.42
Atlético MineiroFluminense
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.62
Atlético MineiroFluminense
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
Atlético MineiroFluminense
1.12Average goals (1st half)1.08
Atlético MineiroFluminense
64%Clean sheet before half-time58%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
48%No goal before half-time50%
Atlético MineiroFluminense

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1.54
Atlético MineiroFluminense
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.92
Atlético MineiroFluminense
0.76Goals conceded (2nd half)0.77
Atlético MineiroFluminense
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.69
Atlético MineiroFluminense
36%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Atlético MineiroFluminense
56%No goal after half-time31%
Atlético MineiroFluminense

Atlético Mineiro - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
40
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Fluminense - second-half results

38% W38% D23% L
37
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Atlético Mineiro - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.00
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game1.01.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Fluminense - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.602.60
Goals scored / game0.41.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.22.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-2+5
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atlético Mineiro
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
7
3
16-30
7
5
31-45
2
3
46-60
8
7
61-75
5
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Fluminense
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
6
1
16-30
8
5
31-45
7
5
46-60
5
6
61-75
12
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.63
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atlético Mineiro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Fluminense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
135%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

Atlético MineiroLigaFluminense
Average goals per game 2.482.63 2.77
Both teams scored 44%58% 73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%50% 50%
Clean sheets 24%24% 19%
Goal before half-time 72%74% 73%
Goal after half-time 80%78% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / game
1.14
Away goals / game
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Atlético Mineiro's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Fluminense. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Fluminense
1 : 0
Atlético Mineiro
Fluminense FC
3 : 0
CA Mineiro
CA Mineiro
3 : 2
Fluminense FC

FAQ

When do Atlético Mineiro and Fluminense play?

Atlético Mineiro face Fluminense on September 12, 2026 in Serie A at Arena MRV. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Mineiro and Fluminense?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Mineiro won 1, Fluminense won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense?

Atlético Mineiro score 1.28 goals per game on average and Fluminense 1.54. The Serie A average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Atlético Mineiro's matches and 73% of Fluminense's.

What form are Atlético Mineiro and Fluminense in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Mineiro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Fluminense 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense?

The statistical background for Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.