Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio: match statistics
Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlético Mineiro played against Grêmio in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on August 16, 2026. Venue: Arena MRV. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Atlético Mineiro has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Grêmio has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlético Mineiro scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.29. Grêmio scores 1.14 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Atlético Mineiro's games and 62% of Grêmio's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 43%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético Mineiro has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.25 per game. Atlético Mineiro takes 13.2 shots per game, while Grêmio takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlético Mineiro leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Grêmio leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.76 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlético Mineiro's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Grêmio, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Mineiro have a clear home advantage: they win 44% of their home matches, while Grêmio have failed to win any away game and have lost 60% of them. At home, Atlético average 1.56 goals per match with an xG of 1.55, whereas Grêmio score just 0.60 goals away from home with an xG of 0.93 and fail to find the net in as many as 40% of such matches. The difference in attacking potential is also reflected in Atlético’s average of 14.67 shots and 4.89 shots on target, compared with just 8.2 attempts and 2.3 shots on target for Grêmio. Both teams have conceded 4 goals in their last five matches, but Atlético remain unbeaten during this period, recording 2 wins and 3 draws. A draw is a realistic alternative given Atlético’s 44% home draw rate, but Grêmio’s poor away efficiency ultimately points to an Atlético Mineiro victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators are elevated for both sides: Atlético Mineiro record 64%, while Grêmio stand at 60%, compared with 56% for the league as a whole. Atlético average 1.64 goals and create 1.55 xG at home, whereas Grêmio score just 0.60 goals away from home despite 0.93 xG, which clearly limits confidence in an away goal. However, the last five matches involving both teams produced BTTS in 60% of cases, while Grêmio generated as much as 1.66 xG per match during this period. Atlético’s defense has recently allowed opponents 1.63 xG, despite conceding only 0.8 goals on average, so their run of low goals conceded may be difficult to sustain. The signal for both teams to score is moderately stronger, although Grêmio’s poor away finishing means the edge for “BTTS - Yes” remains slight.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Atlético Mineiro score an average of 1.64 goals at home, while Grêmio manage only 0.60 goals away, limiting the potential for a high-scoring game. The visitors have not exceeded the 3.5-goal line in any league match, and fixtures involving Atlético have finished under 3.5 goals in 73% of cases. Both teams have conceded 0.8 goals per game across their last five matches, while only 20% of Grêmio’s recent games went over 2.5 goals. Although the hosts create more chances, with an xG of 1.55 and an average of 5.0 shots on target compared with the opponents’ 0.93 xG and 2.3 shots on target, the projected total of 2.15 goals clearly supports Under 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Atlético Mineiro win at full-time, as the hosts were level at the break in 55% of their matches, compared with 60% for Grêmio. First halves are generally cautious: Atlético average 0.55 goals scored and 0.45 conceded during this period, while Grêmio score just 0.20 goals away from home. After the break, the hosts’ advantage should increase, as they average 1.09 goals in the second half, compared with just 0.40 for the visitors. Atlético also have a significantly stronger home record: 1.91 points per match, a 55% win rate and an average of 1.64 goals scored, whereas Grêmio have not won away, average 0.60 goals and lose 60% of their away matches. The hosts’ superior attacking quality is also reflected in their averages of 5.0 shots on target and an xG of 1.55, compared with 2.3 shots on target and an xG of 0.93 for the visitors.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Mineiro | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlético Mineiro is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Atlético Mineiro · 1.4 pts / game - Grêmio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Mineiro is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - Atlético Mineiro · 1.14 goals / game - Grêmio
Atlético Mineiro scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 games), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 games).
Grêmio scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 games), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Mineiro
Over / Under - Grêmio
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Mineiro is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / game - Atlético Mineiro · 1 pts / game - Grêmio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlético Mineiro
Grêmio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Mineiro | Liga | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.57 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 58% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 24% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 75% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlético Mineiro's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Grêmio. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio?
The Serie A match finished Atlético Mineiro 3:0 Grêmio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Mineiro and Grêmio?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Mineiro won 0, Grêmio won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio?
Atlético Mineiro score 1.29 goals per game on average and Grêmio 1.14. The Serie A average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Atlético Mineiro's matches and 62% of Grêmio's.
What form are Atlético Mineiro and Grêmio in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Mineiro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Grêmio 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio?
The statistical background for Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.