Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima: match statistics
Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Nacional play Deportes Tolima in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 01:00. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Atlético Nacional: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Deportes Tolima: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Nacional scores 1.96 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Deportes Tolima scores 1.35 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Nacional 40%, Deportes Tolima 43%. Over 2.5: Atlético Nacional 64%, Deportes Tolima 30%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.39. Atlético Nacional: 16.8 shots per match, Deportes Tolima: 13.2.
Match halves
Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.36. Deportes Tolima: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (12 goals). Deportes Tolima: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 2-1-1. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 25%.
Match description
Atlético Nacional are the clear favorites: at home they win 90% of matches, averaging 2.9 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game (home goal difference +25), while Deportes Tolima average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded on the road. The hosts create significantly more chances — on average 19.5 shots and 8.1 shots on target per match with a conversion rate of 15% and xG 2.06, whereas Tolima register 10.1 shots, 3.5 on target and xG 1.07 away. Defensively Nacional also perform better: average xG conceded at home is 1.1 and they have 60% clean sheets, while the visitors have xG conceded 1.28, 40% clean sheets and fail to score in 40% of away matches versus 10% FTS for the hosts. In the last 5 matches Nacional scored 10 goals (2.0 per game) with a 3-0-2 record, while Tolima scored 6 goals (1.2 per game) with the same 3-0-2 record; both teams have 1.8 points per game in that period. Considering the xG advantage (2.06 vs 1.07), the superior chance creation and higher efficiency (15% vs 10%), and the 90% home win rate, I forecast a home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.4 pts / match - Deportes Tolima
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.35 goals / match - Deportes Tolima
Atlético Nacional is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 0.91 goals / match - Deportes Tolima
Atlético Nacional scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Deportes Tolima keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
Deportes Tolima scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético Nacional
Over / Under — Deportes Tolima
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportes Tolima is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.7 pts / match - Deportes Tolima
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportes Tolima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Nacional
Deportes Tolima
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 48% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 27% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 78% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Atlético Nacional 2 - 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Nacional 3:1 Deportes Tolima. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Deportes Tolima?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 2, Deportes Tolima won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima?
Atlético Nacional score 1.96 goals per game on average and Deportes Tolima 1.35. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 43% of Deportes Tolima's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and Deportes Tolima in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Deportes Tolima 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.