Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín: match statistics
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Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlético Nacional plays Independiente Medellín in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Recent form
Atlético Nacional has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Independiente Medellín has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlético Nacional scores 1.95 goals per game and allows 0.87. Independiente Medellín scores 1.42 and allows 1.30. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 45% of Atlético Nacional's games and 64% of Independiente Medellín's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 61%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.54 per game. Atlético Nacional takes 16.6 shots per game, while Independiente Medellín takes 14.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlético Nacional leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 1.24 goals per game after halftime. Independiente Medellín leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.82 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlético Nacional's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (20 goals). For Independiente Medellín, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 4 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 86% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlético Nacional is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Atlético Nacional · 0.8 pts / game - Independiente Medellín
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 37% better for: goals scored per game.
1.95 goals / game - Atlético Nacional · 1.42 goals / game - Independiente Medellín
Atlético Nacional is 49% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.87 goals / game - Atlético Nacional · 1.3 goals / game - Independiente Medellín
Atlético Nacional scores in 71% of games (27 of 38 games), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 games).
Independiente Medellín scores in 82% of games (27 of 33 games), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
Over / Under - Independiente Medellín
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / game - Atlético Nacional · 0.91 pts / game - Independiente Medellín
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 68%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlético Nacional
Independiente Medellín
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.82 | 2.54 | ▲ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 55% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 48% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 68% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlético Nacional's perspective: 3 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses against Independiente Medellín. Games average 3.57 goals, and both teams scored in 86% of them.
FAQ
When do Atlético Nacional and Independiente Medellín play?
Atlético Nacional face Independiente Medellín on October 25, 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Independiente Medellín?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 3, Independiente Medellín won 0 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 3.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 86% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín?
Atlético Nacional score 1.95 goals per game on average and Independiente Medellín 1.42. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 64% of Independiente Medellín's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and Independiente Medellín in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Independiente Medellín 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.