Atlético PR vs Bahia: match statistics
Atlético PR vs Bahia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlético PR played against Bahia in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on September 20, 2026. Venue: Arena de Baixada. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Atlético PR has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Bahia has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlético PR scores 1.52 goals per game and allows 1.15. Bahia scores 1.56 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 2.67 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Atlético PR's games and 67% of Bahia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 52%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bahia has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.39 per game. Atlético PR takes 12.3 shots per game, while Bahia takes 14.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlético PR leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. Bahia leads at halftime in 37% and scores 0.70 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlético PR's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). For Bahia, it is minutes 31-45+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.67 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético PR are highly reliable at home: they win 62% of their home matches, score an average of 1.77 goals and concede just 0.77 goals per game. The hosts create chances worth an average of 1.59 xG on home soil, while Bahia allow opponents as much as 1.93 xG away from home and concede 1.46 goals per match. However, Bahia arrive in excellent current form, with 4 wins and a draw in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals, so their chances of taking points remain high. During the same period, Atlético PR have won just once, drawn three times and conceded 12 goals, pointing to temporary defensive issues. Despite the visitors' superior form, home advantage and Atlético PR's clearly better season-long defensive metrics give the hosts a marginal edge to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is clear: Atlético PR recorded BTTS in 71% of their matches this season, while Bahia did so in 62%, compared with the league average of 59%. Over the last five matches, this figure rose to 100% for the home side and 80% for the visitors, with an average of 2.2 and 2.6 goals scored respectively. Atlético PR conceded as many as 2.4 goals per match during this period, while Bahia conceded 1.6, increasing the likelihood of both attacks finding the net. The attacking potential is supported by xG: the hosts create an average of 1.73 quality chances, while the visitors create 1.52, with Bahia's defense allowing opponents 1.93 xG. BTTS - Yes is more likely, although clean sheets of 29% and 31% leave a moderate risk that one side will fail to score. BTTS - No means that at least one team does not score; it does not automatically mean a 0-0 draw or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Atlético PR average 1.57 goals at home, while Bahia concede 1.46 goals away, with the hosts generating 1.73 xG per match compared to the 1.93 xG allowed by their opponents. Bahia score an average of 1.54 goals away from home, while Atlético PR’s defense allows opponents 1.20 xG, meaning the visitors also possess genuine scoring potential. In their last five matches, both teams recorded Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games, while Atlético scored 11 and conceded 12 goals, confirming a clearly more open current profile. Over 1.5 goals landed in 93% of Atlético’s matches and 77% of Bahia’s games this season, making Over 1.5 the strongest selection with a projected total of 3.19 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Bahia are in clearly superior form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game and suffering no defeats, while Atlético PR have won just 1 of their 5 matches and conceded an average of 2.4 goals. The visitors held a lead at the break in 60% of their last five appearances, and their average of 1.6 goals before half-time is higher than the hosts’ 1.2. Over the course of the season, Bahia win 46% of their matches, while Atlético PR finish as many as 43% of theirs in a draw, increasing the likelihood that the visitors could hold on to even a narrow advantage. Atlético PR benefit from home advantage and have a higher xG of 1.73 compared with Bahia’s 1.52, so a draw at half-time remains a serious alternative; however, Bahia’s current efficiency and form provide the strongest support for the scenario in which the visitors lead after the first half and win the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético PR | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bahia is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Atlético PR · 2.6 pts / game - Bahia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético PR is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.15 goals / game - Atlético PR · 1.22 goals / game - Bahia
Atlético PR scores in 78% of games (21 of 27 games), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 games).
Bahia scores in 89% of games (24 of 27 games), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético PR
Over / Under - Bahia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bahia is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / game - Atlético PR · 1.44 pts / game - Bahia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético PR - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlético PR
Bahia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético PR | Liga | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.67 | 2.67 | ▲ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 51% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 23% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 74% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlético PR's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Bahia. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético PR vs Bahia?
The Serie A match finished Atlético PR 2:1 Bahia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético PR vs Bahia?
Atlético PR score 1.52 goals per game on average and Bahia 1.56. The Serie A average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Atlético PR's matches and 67% of Bahia's.
What form are Atlético PR and Bahia in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético PR have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Bahia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético PR vs Bahia?
The statistical background for Atlético PR vs Bahia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.