Brazil - Serie AArena de BaixadaData current as of September 19, 2026

Atlético PR vs Bahia: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlético PR vs Bahia: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atlético PR plays Bahia in Serie A (Brazil). The game is scheduled for September 20, 2026. Venue: Arena de Baixada.

Recent form

Atlético PR has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Bahia has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Atlético PR scores 1.52 goals per game and allows 1.15. Bahia scores 1.56 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 2.67 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 56% of Atlético PR's games and 67% of Bahia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 52%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Bahia has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.39 per game. Atlético PR takes 12.3 shots per game, while Bahia takes 14.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Atlético PR leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. Bahia leads at halftime in 37% and scores 0.70 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atlético PR's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). For Bahia, it is minutes 31-45+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.67 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.52Goals scored / game1.56
Atlético PRBahia
1.15Goals allowed / game1.22
Atlético PRBahia
46%Average possession54%
Atlético PRBahia
4.85Shots on target / game5.07
Atlético PRBahia

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.33Shots per game14.67
Atlético PRBahia
4.85Shots on target5.07
Atlético PRBahia
12.3%Shot conversion10.6%
Atlético PRBahia
46%Possession54%
Atlético PRBahia
1.39xG for1.63
Atlético PRBahia
1.37xG against1.55
Atlético PRBahia

Shooting quality

Atlético PR: Counter-attackingBahia: Attacking
Atlético PRBahia
Accuracy (shots on target)39%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Bahia is 117% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Atlético PR · 2.6 pts / game - Bahia

Atlético PR
DWDLD
Season result split
48% W26% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-7-7
1.70 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-4-1
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DWWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 2.08BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Bahia
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
44% W37% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-10-5
1.70 pts / game · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-4-3
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DDDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.94Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético PR is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.15 goals / game - Atlético PR · 1.22 goals / game - Bahia

Atlético PR scoring profile: very strong

Atlético PR scores in 78% of games (21 of 27 games), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 games).

Bahia scoring profile: very strong

Bahia scores in 89% of games (24 of 27 games), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 games).

41Goals scored (season)42
Atlético PRBahia
31Goals conceded (season)33
Atlético PRBahia
2.67Average goals per game2.78
Atlético PRBahia
11Goals scored (last 5)13
Atlético PRBahia
12Goals conceded (last 5)8
Atlético PRBahia

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal89%
Atlético PRBahia
52%2 goals52%
Atlético PRBahia
19%3 goals15%
Atlético PRBahia
4%4 goals0%
Atlético PRBahia

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal70%
Atlético PRBahia
26%2 goals37%
Atlético PRBahia
19%3 goals11%
Atlético PRBahia
0%4 goals4%
Atlético PRBahia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time30%
Atlético PRBahia
11%BTTS in both halves4%
Atlético PRBahia
37%Scored in both halves19%
Atlético PRBahia

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
Atlético PRBahia
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Atlético PRBahia
100%BTTS - last 580%
Atlético PRBahia

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
Atlético PRBahia
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Atlético PRBahia
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
Atlético PRBahia

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Atlético PRBahia
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
Atlético PRBahia
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Atlético PRBahia

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bahia is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.37 pts / game - Atlético PR · 1.44 pts / game - Bahia

Atlético PR - half-time state
33% leading37% draw30% trailing
Bahia - half-time state
37% leading33% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.37Points per game (1st half)1.44
Atlético PRBahia
0.74Goals scored (1st half)0.85
Atlético PRBahia
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Atlético PRBahia
1.37Average goals (1st half)1.52
Atlético PRBahia
44%Clean sheet before half-time41%
Atlético PRBahia
44%No goal before half-time44%
Atlético PRBahia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.52Points per game (2nd half)1.44
Atlético PRBahia
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
Atlético PRBahia
0.52Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
Atlético PRBahia
1.3Average goals (2nd half)1.26
Atlético PRBahia
63%Clean sheet after half-time63%
Atlético PRBahia
41%No goal after half-time48%
Atlético PRBahia

Atlético PR - second-half results

37% W41% D22% L
37
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding145%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Bahia - second-half results

33% W44% D22% L
39
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Atlético PR - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.40
Goals scored / game1.21.0
Goals allowed / game0.61.8
Average goals per game1.82.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6
Bahia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.40
Goals scored / game1.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game2.41.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atlético PR
ScoredConceded
11
5
0-15
3
5
16-30
6
7
31-45
8
1
46-60
3
3
61-75
10
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Bahia
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
7
6
16-30
13
7
31-45
4
5
46-60
5
5
61-75
10
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.73
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+10%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atlético PR

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Bahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

Atlético PRLigaBahia
Average goals per game 2.672.67 2.78
Both teams scored 56%60% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%51% 52%
Clean sheets 30%23% 30%
Goal before half-time 81%74% 85%
Goal after half-time 74%79% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / game
1.15
Away goals / game
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Atlético PR's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Bahia. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Atlético PR and Bahia play?

Atlético PR face Bahia on September 20, 2026 in Serie A at Arena de Baixada. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético PR vs Bahia?

Atlético PR score 1.52 goals per game on average and Bahia 1.56. The Serie A average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Atlético PR's matches and 67% of Bahia's.

What form are Atlético PR and Bahia in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético PR have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Bahia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético PR vs Bahia?

The statistical background for Atlético PR vs Bahia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.