Argentina - Prim B NacionalEstadio Nuevo MonumentalData current as of October 14, 2026

Atlético Rafaela vs Quilmes: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlético Rafaela vs Quilmes: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atlético Rafaela plays Quilmes in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Estadio Nuevo Monumental.

Recent form

Atlético Rafaela has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Quilmes has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Atlético Rafaela scores 0.82 goals per game and allows 1.03. Quilmes scores 0.91 and allows 0.85. Games in this league average 1.93 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Atlético Rafaela's games and 21% of Quilmes's. The Over 2.5 rates are 30% and 30%, compared with league averages of 39% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Quilmes has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.23 per game. Atlético Rafaela takes 9.0 shots per game, while Quilmes takes 11.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Atlético Rafaela leads at halftime in 12% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. Quilmes leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.55 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atlético Rafaela's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Quilmes, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Prim B Nacional games average 1.93 goals. Both teams score in 39% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.55)
(2.95)
(2.80)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
0.82Goals scored / game0.91
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
1.03Goals allowed / game0.85
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
47%Average possession51%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
3.21Shots on target / game4
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.03Shots per game11.79
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
3.21Shots on target4
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
9.1%Shot conversion7.7%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
47%Possession51%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
1.23xG for1.49
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
1.44xG against1.27
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes

Shooting quality

Atlético Rafaela: BalancedQuilmes: Balanced
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
Accuracy (shots on target)36%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Quilmes is 133% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Atlético Rafaela · 1.4 pts / game - Quilmes

Atlético Rafaela
LWLLL
Season result split
33% W27% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-9-13
1.27 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-3-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Quilmes
WLWDL
Season result split
30% W27% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-9-14
1.18 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-5-10
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Quilmes is 11% better for: goals scored per game.

0.82 goals / game - Atlético Rafaela · 0.91 goals / game - Quilmes

Quilmes is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.03 goals / game - Atlético Rafaela · 0.85 goals / game - Quilmes

Atlético Rafaela scoring profile: mixed

Atlético Rafaela scores in 58% of games (19 of 33 games), while Quilmes keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 games).

Quilmes scoring profile: mixed

Quilmes scores in 45% of games (15 of 33 games), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 45% (15 of 33 games).

27Goals scored (season)30
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
34Goals conceded (season)28
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
1.85Average goals per game1.76
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
7Goals scored (last 5)3
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
12Goals conceded (last 5)4
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes

How often they score at least...

58%1 goal45%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
12%2 goals30%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
6%3 goals15%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
6%4 goals0%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes

How often they concede at least...

55%1 goal58%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
36%2 goals15%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
9%3 goals12%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
3%4 goals0%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

39%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time6%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
9%Scored in both halves24%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS18%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
60%BTTS - last 50%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time48%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
15%Min. 2 goals before half-time15%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Quilmes is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.94 pts / game - Atlético Rafaela · 1.15 pts / game - Quilmes

Atlético Rafaela - half-time state
12% leading58% draw30% trailing
Quilmes - half-time state
21% leading52% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.94Points per game (1st half)1.15
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
0.27Goals scored (1st half)0.36
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.36
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
0.76Average goals (1st half)0.73
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
58%Clean sheet before half-time73%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
76%No goal before half-time73%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes

After half-time (2nd half)

1.24Points per game (2nd half)1.33
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.55
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
0.55Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
1.09Average goals (2nd half)1.03
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
58%Clean sheet after half-time61%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes
58%No goal after half-time58%
Atlético RafaelaQuilmes

Atlético Rafaela - second-half results

27% W42% D30% L
31
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding275%

Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Quilmes - second-half results

30% W42% D27% L
38
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding143%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Atlético Rafaela - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.00
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game1.41.0
Average goals per game2.01.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Quilmes - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.60
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game0.60.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atlético Rafaela
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
5
3
16-30
2
9
31-45
6
4
46-60
6
4
61-75
6
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Quilmes
ScoredConceded
5
8
0-15
2
4
16-30
5
0
31-45
4
5
46-60
8
2
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.80
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
27%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+11%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
26%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
23%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atlético Rafaela

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Quilmes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.58
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).

Teams vs league

Atlético RafaelaLigaQuilmes
Average goals per game• 1.851.93▼ 1.76
Both teams scored▼ 33%39%▼ 21%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 30%33%▼ 30%
Clean sheets▲ 45%38%▲ 42%
Goal before half-time• 55%55%▼ 48%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%70%▼ 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.93
Average goals per game
39%
Both teams scored
33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.19
Home goals / game
0.75
Away goals / game
+59%
Home attack advantage
+37%
Home defensive advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
55%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Atlético Rafaela's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Quilmes. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Quilmes
2 : 0
Atlético Rafaela
Atlético Rafaela
1 : 1
Quilmes

FAQ

When do Atlético Rafaela and Quilmes play?

Atlético Rafaela face Quilmes on October 17, 2026 in Prim B Nacional at Estadio Nuevo Monumental. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Rafaela and Quilmes?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Rafaela won 0, Quilmes won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Rafaela vs Quilmes?

Atlético Rafaela score 0.82 goals per game on average and Quilmes 0.91. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Atlético Rafaela's matches and 21% of Quilmes's.

What form are Atlético Rafaela and Quilmes in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Rafaela have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Quilmes 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Rafaela vs Quilmes?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.