Argentina - Primera DivisiónEstadio Monumental Presidente José FierroData current as of October 15, 2026

Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atlético Tucumán plays Rosario Central in Primera División (Argentina). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro.

Recent form

Atlético Tucumán has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Rosario Central has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Atlético Tucumán scores 0.89 goals per game and allows 1.07. Rosario Central scores 1.35 and allows 0.90. Games in this league average 2.16 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Atlético Tucumán's games and 58% of Rosario Central's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 48%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Rosario Central has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.34 per game. Atlético Tucumán takes 11.6 shots per game, while Rosario Central takes 13.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Atlético Tucumán leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Rosario Central leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.87 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atlético Tucumán's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Rosario Central, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.16 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.59)
(3.00)
(2.21)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Atlético TucumánRosario Central
0.89Goals scored / game1.35
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
1.07Goals allowed / game0.9
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
44%Average possession57%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
3.39Shots on target / game4.81
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
Atlético TucumánRosario Central

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.57Shots per game13.87
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
3.39Shots on target4.81
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
7.7%Shot conversion9.8%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
44%Possession57%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
1.34xG for1.6
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
1.39xG against1.37
Atlético TucumánRosario Central

Shooting quality

Atlético Tucumán: BalancedRosario Central: Balanced
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
Accuracy (shots on target)29%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Rosario Central is 175% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Atlético Tucumán · 2.2 pts / game - Rosario Central

Atlético Tucumán
WLLLD
Season result split
21% W36% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-10-12
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-8-4
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
LDDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Rosario Central
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
52% W26% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-8-7
1.81 pts / game · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
7-4-4
Last 5 away
3-2-0
WWDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rosario Central is 52% better for: goals scored per game.

0.89 goals / game - Atlético Tucumán · 1.35 goals / game - Rosario Central

Rosario Central is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.07 goals / game - Atlético Tucumán · 0.9 goals / game - Rosario Central

Atlético Tucumán scoring profile: strong

Atlético Tucumán scores in 68% of games (19 of 28 games), while Rosario Central keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 games).

Rosario Central scoring profile: strong

Rosario Central scores in 81% of games (25 of 31 games), while Atlético Tucumán keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 games).

25Goals scored (season)42
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
30Goals conceded (season)28
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
1.96Average goals per game2.26
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
6Goals scored (last 5)9
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
8Goals conceded (last 5)2
Atlético TucumánRosario Central

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal81%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
14%2 goals42%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
4%3 goals6%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
4%4 goals3%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal68%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
36%2 goals19%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
11%3 goals3%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
0%4 goals0%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%
Atlético Tucumán - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 28 games
47%
League average

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time13%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
11%Scored in both halves16%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
80%BTTS - last 540%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

54%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time16%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rosario Central is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / game - Atlético Tucumán · 1.45 pts / game - Rosario Central

Atlético Tucumán - half-time state
21% leading54% draw25% trailing
Rosario Central - half-time state
35% leading39% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per game (1st half)1.45
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.48
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
0.36Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
0.68Average goals (1st half)0.9
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
68%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
71%No goal before half-time55%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central

After half-time (2nd half)

1.04Points per game (2nd half)1.55
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.87
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.35
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
46%Clean sheet after half-time61%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central
50%No goal after half-time48%
Atlético TucumánRosario Central

Atlético Tucumán - second-half results

18% W50% D32% L
33
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Rosario Central - second-half results

39% W39% D23% L
45
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding149%

Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Atlético Tucumán - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.60
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.21.4
Average goals per game0.62.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Rosario Central - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.002.00
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game0.81.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atlético Tucumán
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
5
5
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
8
61-75
10
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Rosario Central
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
2
3
16-30
9
9
31-45
8
4
46-60
8
1
61-75
11
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.10
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atlético Tucumán

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Rosario Central

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Atlético TucumánLigaRosario Central
Average goals per game▼ 1.962.16• 2.26
Both teams scored▲ 50%47%▲ 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 43%38%▲ 48%
Clean sheets▲ 39%33%• 32%
Goal before half-time▼ 54%61%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%73%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.16
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.21
Home goals / game
0.94
Away goals / game
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defensive advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Atlético Tucumán's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses against Rosario Central. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.

Rosario Central
2 : 1
Atlético Tucumán
CA Tucuman
0 : 0
CA Rosario Central
CA Rosario Central
3 : 1
CA Tucuman
Rosario Central
2 : 1
Atlético Tucumán

FAQ

When do Atlético Tucumán and Rosario Central play?

Atlético Tucumán face Rosario Central on October 17, 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Tucumán and Rosario Central?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético Tucumán won 0, Rosario Central won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central?

Atlético Tucumán score 0.89 goals per game on average and Rosario Central 1.35. The Primera División average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Atlético Tucumán's matches and 58% of Rosario Central's.

What form are Atlético Tucumán and Rosario Central in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Tucumán have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Rosario Central 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central?

The statistical background for Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.