Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio Tecnológico de OaxacaData current as of September 21, 2026

Atlético Zacatepec vs CA La Paz: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlético Zacatepec vs CA La Paz: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atlético Zacatepec plays CA La Paz in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for September 25, 2026. Venue: Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca.

Recent form

Atlético Zacatepec has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. CA La Paz has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Atlético Zacatepec scores 0.78 goals per game and allows 1.67. CA La Paz scores 2.22 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 3.22 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Atlético Zacatepec's games and 56% of CA La Paz's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 67%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

CA La Paz has the higher season xG average, 1.69 to 1.36 per game. Atlético Zacatepec takes 11.8 shots per game, while CA La Paz takes 15.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Atlético Zacatepec leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. CA La Paz leads at halftime in 56% and scores 1.11 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atlético Zacatepec's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For CA La Paz, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 3.22 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.00)
(3.54)
(2.00)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
0.78Goals scored / game2.22
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
1.67Goals allowed / game1.11
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
50%Average possession50%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
3.78Shots on target / game5.33
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.78Shots per game15.11
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
3.78Shots on target5.33
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
6.6%Shot conversion14.7%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
50%Possession50%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
1.36xG for1.69
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
1.4xG against1.45
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz

Shooting quality

Atlético Zacatepec: BalancedCA La Paz: Attacking
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
Accuracy (shots on target)32%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

CA La Paz is 175% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 2.2 pts / game - CA La Paz

Atlético Zacatepec
LDLWL
Season result split
33% W11% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-5
1.11 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
LWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
CA La Paz
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
56% W22% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-2
1.89 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
LWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CA La Paz is 185% better for: goals scored per game.

0.78 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 2.22 goals / game - CA La Paz

CA La Paz is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.67 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.11 goals / game - CA La Paz

Atlético Zacatepec scoring profile: strong

Atlético Zacatepec scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 games), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).

CA La Paz scoring profile: very strong

CA La Paz scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).

7Goals scored (season)20
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
15Goals conceded (season)10
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
2.44Average goals per game3.33
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
4Goals scored (last 5)11
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal89%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
11%2 goals78%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
0%3 goals33%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
0%4 goals11%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
56%2 goals22%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
33%3 goals11%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
11%4 goals11%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time11%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
0%Scored in both halves33%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
60%BTTS - last 580%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

44%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time56%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CA La Paz is 125% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.89 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 2 pts / game - CA La Paz

Atlético Zacatepec - half-time state
11% leading56% draw33% trailing
CA La Paz - half-time state
56% leading33% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.89Points per game (1st half)2
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
0.11Goals scored (1st half)1.11
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.22
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
0.67Average goals (1st half)1.33
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
67%Clean sheet before half-time78%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
89%No goal before half-time33%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per game (2nd half)1.56
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)1.11
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
1.11Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
1.78Average goals (2nd half)2
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
44%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz
44%No goal after half-time44%
Atlético ZacatepecCA La Paz

Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results

22% W44% D33% L
8
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

CA La Paz - second-half results

44% W22% D33% L
18
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Atlético Zacatepec - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.60
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.61.4
Average goals per game0.82.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
CA La Paz - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.00
Goals scored / game0.81.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atlético Zacatepec
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
4
16-30
0
1
31-45
4
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

CA La Paz
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
2
16-30
4
0
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.89
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+4%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atlético Zacatepec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.58
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
40%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

CA La Paz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.87
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
178%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Atlético ZacatepecLigaCA La Paz
Average goals per game 2.443.22 3.33
Both teams scored 33%56% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%60% 67%
Clean sheets 33%24% 33%
Goal before half-time 44%76% 78%
Goal after half-time 78%79% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.22
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.97
Home goals / game
1.25
Away goals / game
+58%
Home attack advantage
+37%
Home defensive advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
36%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Atlético Zacatepec's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against CA La Paz. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Club Atlético La Paz
4 : 0
Club Atlético Zacatepec
Club Atlético Zacatepec
1 : 1
Club Atlético La Paz

FAQ

When do Atlético Zacatepec and CA La Paz play?

Atlético Zacatepec face CA La Paz on September 25, 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Zacatepec and CA La Paz?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Zacatepec won 0, CA La Paz won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Zacatepec vs CA La Paz?

Atlético Zacatepec score 0.78 goals per game on average and CA La Paz 2.22. The Ascenso MX average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Atlético Zacatepec's matches and 56% of CA La Paz's.

What form are Atlético Zacatepec and CA La Paz in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Zacatepec have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and CA La Paz 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Zacatepec vs CA La Paz?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.