Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio Tecnológico de OaxacaData current as of August 13, 2026

Atlético Zacatepec vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlético Zacatepec vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atlético Zacatepec plays Tepatitlán de Morelos in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for August 14, 2026. Venue: Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca.

Recent form

Atlético Zacatepec has 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Tepatitlán de Morelos has 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 0.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Atlético Zacatepec scores 0.67 goals per game and allows 1.67. Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 0.33 and allows 3.00. Games in this league average 3.04 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 0% of Atlético Zacatepec's games and 33% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 67%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Atlético Zacatepec has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.39 per game. Atlético Zacatepec takes 13.0 shots per game, while Tepatitlán de Morelos takes 11.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Atlético Zacatepec leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Tepatitlán de Morelos leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atlético Zacatepec's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (1 goals). For Tepatitlán de Morelos, it is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 3.04 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.95)
(3.25)
(2.30)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0.67Goals scored / game0.33
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
1.67Goals allowed / game3
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
58%Average possession46%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
3Shots on target / game3.67
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13Shots per game11.33
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
3Shots on target3.67
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
5.1%Shot conversion2.9%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
58%Possession46%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
1.49xG for1.39
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
1.63xG against1.89
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

Shooting quality

Atlético Zacatepec: BalancedTepatitlán de Morelos: Balanced
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
Accuracy (shots on target)23%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.09

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Atlético Zacatepec
LLW
Season result split
33% W0% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-2
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.7Goals conceded: 1.7xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 33%
Tepatitlán de Morelos
LLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W0% R100% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-3
0.00 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-3
0.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.3Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.89BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 67%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Zacatepec is 103% better for: goals scored per game.

0.67 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 0.33 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Atlético Zacatepec is 80% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.67 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 3 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Atlético Zacatepec scoring profile: strong

Atlético Zacatepec scores in 33% of games (1 of 3 meczów), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).

Tepatitlán de Morelos scoring profile: mixed

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 33% of games (1 of 3 meczów), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).

2Goals scored (season)1
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
5Goals conceded (season)9
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
2.33Average goals per game3.33
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
2Goals scored (last 5)1
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

How often they score at least...

33%1 goal33%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
33%2 goals0%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0%3 goals0%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0%4 goals0%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal100%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
67%2 goals67%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
33%3 goals67%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0%4 goals33%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

0%
Atlético Zacatepec - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.0 of 3 meczów
33%
Tepatitlán de Morelos - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.1 of 3 meczów
43%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0%Scored in both halves0%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0%BTTS - last 533%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time67%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tepatitlán de Morelos is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.33 pts / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Atlético Zacatepec - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing
Tepatitlán de Morelos - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per game (1st half)1.33
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0.67Average goals (1st half)1
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
100%No goal before half-time67%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per game (2nd half)0
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
1Goals conceded (2nd half)2.33
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
1.67Average goals (2nd half)2.33
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
67%Clean sheet after half-time0%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos
67%No goal after half-time100%
Atlético ZacatepecTepatitlán de Morelos

Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results

0% W0% R100% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+1.7

Allows 1.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Atlético Zacatepec - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.671.33
Goals scored / game0.00.7
Goals allowed / game0.71.0
Average goals per game0.71.7
1 goal33%67%
2 goals33%67%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal100%67%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 67% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 33% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Tepatitlán de Morelos - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.330.00
Goals scored / game0.30.0
Goals allowed / game0.72.3
Average goals per game1.02.3
1 goal67%100%
2 goals33%67%
3 goals0%67%
Clean sheet67%0%
No goal67%100%
Goal difference-1-7
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atlético Zacatepec
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
17%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
11%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
45%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 2 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atlético Zacatepec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.86
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.82
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
45%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-2.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-1.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
21%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
203%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Atlético ZacatepecLigaTepatitlán de Morelos
Average goals per game 2.333.04 3.33
Both teams scored 0%43% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%57% 67%
Clean sheets 33%33% 0%
Goal before half-time 33%65% 67%
Goal after half-time 67%74% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.04
Average goals per game
43%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / game
1.57
Away goals / game
+-6%
Home attack advantage
+-6%
Home defensive advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
48%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Atlético Zacatepec's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Tepatitlán de Morelos. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
2 : 0
Club Atlético Zacatepec
Club Atlético Zacatepec
1 : 1
Tepatitlán de Morelos

FAQ

When do Atlético Zacatepec and Tepatitlán de Morelos play?

Atlético Zacatepec face Tepatitlán de Morelos on August 14, 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Zacatepec and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Zacatepec won 0, Tepatitlán de Morelos won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Zacatepec vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Atlético Zacatepec score 0.67 goals per game on average and Tepatitlán de Morelos 0.33. The Ascenso MX average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Atlético Zacatepec's matches and 33% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's.

What form are Atlético Zacatepec and Tepatitlán de Morelos in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Zacatepec have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-0-3 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Zacatepec vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

The statistical background for Atlético Zacatepec vs Tepatitlán de Morelos — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.