Italy - Serie C Group CData current as of September 12, 2026

Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Casarano: match statistics

155%(1.90)
X28%(3.25)
217%(3.60)

Audace Cerignola displays solid home form with a 46% clean sheet rate and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, indicating defensive stability. The hosts hold an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.61 vs 1.11), pointing to better quality of chances created. Virtus Casarano has serious issues in away matches – 62% losses, only 23% wins, and a catastrophic goal difference of -15. The visitors concede an average of 2.46 goals away with a mere 8% clean sheet rate, which is an alarming signal. Despite similar form in the last five matches (both teams averaging 1.6 points per game), the home advantage and Cerignola's significantly better defense point towards a home win. The xG Against statistics (1.18 vs 1.82) further confirm that Audace Cerignola is a tougher opponent to beat on their own turf.

Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Casarano: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Audace Cerignola played against Virtus Casarano in Serie C Group C (Italy). The game was played on February 20, 2026. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Audace Cerignola has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Virtus Casarano has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Audace Cerignola scores 1.19 goals per game and allows 1.22. Virtus Casarano scores 1.37 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.50 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 44% of Audace Cerignola's games and 48% of Virtus Casarano's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 59%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Audace Cerignola has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.22 per game. Audace Cerignola takes 12.7 shots per game, while Virtus Casarano takes 9.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Audace Cerignola leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.74 goals per game after halftime. Virtus Casarano leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.89 after halftime.

When the teams score

Audace Cerignola's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Virtus Casarano, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group C games average 2.50 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Audace Cerignola displays solid home form with a 46% clean sheet rate and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, indicating defensive stability. The hosts hold an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.61 vs 1.11), pointing to better quality of chances created. Virtus Casarano has serious issues in away matches – 62% losses, only 23% wins, and a catastrophic goal difference of -15. The visitors concede an average of 2.46 goals away with a mere 8% clean sheet rate, which is an alarming signal. Despite similar form in the last five matches (both teams averaging 1.6 points per game), the home advantage and Cerignola's significantly better defense point towards a home win. The xG Against statistics (1.18 vs 1.82) further confirm that Audace Cerignola is a tougher opponent to beat on their own turf.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

51Possession (%)49
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
14Shots12
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
5Shots on target7
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
1.71xG1.74
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
0Corners6
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
66Dangerous attacks67
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
-1Fouls-1
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
1Cards3
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
1.19Goals scored / game1.37
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
1.22Goals allowed / game1.67
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
47%Average possession51%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
4.48Shots on target / game3.74
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.74Shots per game9.37
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
4.48Shots on target3.74
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
9.3%Shot conversion14.6%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
47%Possession51%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
1.48xG for1.22
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
1.29xG against1.55
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano

Shooting quality

Audace Cerignola: BalancedVirtus Casarano: Efficient finishing
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
Accuracy (shots on target)35%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Audace Cerignola
DWWDL
Season result split
37% W33% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-9-8
1.44 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-5-4
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DLWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Virtus Casarano
DDWLW
Season result split
37% W22% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-11
1.33 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-8
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Virtus Casarano is 15% better for: goals scored per game.

1.19 goals / game - Audace Cerignola · 1.37 goals / game - Virtus Casarano

Audace Cerignola is 37% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.22 goals / game - Audace Cerignola · 1.67 goals / game - Virtus Casarano

Audace Cerignola scoring profile: strong

Audace Cerignola scores in 67% of games (18 of 27 meczów), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 meczów).

Virtus Casarano scoring profile: strong

Virtus Casarano scores in 74% of games (20 of 27 meczów), while Audace Cerignola keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 meczów).

32Goals scored (season)37
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
33Goals conceded (season)45
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
2.41Average goals per game3.04
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
4Goals scored (last 5)8
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal74%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
33%2 goals41%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
15%3 goals22%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
4%4 goals0%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal70%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
37%2 goals48%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
19%3 goals30%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
7%4 goals11%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

44%
Audace Cerignola - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 27 meczów
49%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time19%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
4%BTTS in both halves11%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
22%Scored in both halves19%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS19%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
20%BTTS - last 560%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time37%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Audace Cerignola - half-time state
22% leading52% draw26% trailing
Virtus Casarano - half-time state
26% leading41% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.19Points per game (1st half)1.19
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.48
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
0.96Average goals (1st half)1.19
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
63%Clean sheet before half-time52%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
59%No goal before half-time59%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano

After half-time (2nd half)

1.37Points per game (2nd half)1.3
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.89
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
0.7Goals conceded (2nd half)0.96
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
1.44Average goals (2nd half)1.85
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
52%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano
52%No goal after half-time48%
Audace CerignolaVirtus Casarano

Audace Cerignola - second-half results

33% W37% D30% L
32
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding168%

Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Virtus Casarano - second-half results

33% W30% D37% L
32
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Audace Cerignola - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.20
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.61.0
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Virtus Casarano - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.602.00
Goals scored / game0.21.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game1.02.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-3+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Audace Cerignola
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
3
6
16-30
6
4
31-45
8
4
46-60
4
6
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Virtus Casarano
ScoredConceded
7
6
0-15
4
9
16-30
2
4
31-45
4
7
46-60
9
6
61-75
11
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.72
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+10%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Audace Cerignola

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Virtus Casarano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

Audace CerignolaLigaVirtus Casarano
Average goals per game 2.412.50 3.04
Both teams scored 44%49% 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%48% 59%
Clean sheets 41%30% 30%
Goal before half-time 59%66% 70%
Goal after half-time 70%78% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.50
Average goals per game
49%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.47
Home goals / game
1.03
Away goals / game
+43%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Audace CerignolaGoalDiego Gambale
  2. Virtus CasaranoYellow cardMatteo Bachini
  3. Virtus CasaranoGoalVito Leonetti
  4. Virtus CasaranoSubstitutionOn: Ismael CajazzoOff: Federico Giraudo
  5. Audace CerignolaYellow cardClaudio Parlato
  6. Virtus CasaranoSubstitutionOn: Cosimo ChiricòOff: Vito Leonetti
  7. Virtus CasaranoYellow cardGaetano Logoluso
  8. Audace CerignolaSubstitutionOn: Ernesto BallabileOff: Claudio Parlato
  9. Virtus CasaranoYellow cardVincenzo Ferrara
  10. Virtus CasaranoSubstitutionOn: Antonio D'AlenaOff: Francesco Grandolfo
  11. Audace CerignolaSubstitutionOn: Oscar Moreso ArjonaOff: Gaetano Vitale
  12. Audace CerignolaGoalAndrea Gasbarro
  13. Audace CerignolaSubstitutionOn: Riccardo SpaltroOff: Luca Russo
  14. Virtus CasaranoSubstitutionOn: Salvatore CerboneOff: Vincenzo Ferrara

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Audace Cerignola's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Virtus Casarano. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Virtus Casarano
3 : 0
Audace Cerignola

FAQ

What was the result of Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Casarano?

The Serie C Group C match finished Audace Cerignola 2:1 Virtus Casarano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Casarano?

Audace Cerignola score 1.19 goals per game on average and Virtus Casarano 1.37. The Serie C Group C average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Audace Cerignola's matches and 48% of Virtus Casarano's.

What form are Audace Cerignola and Virtus Casarano in?

Over the last 5 games Audace Cerignola have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Virtus Casarano 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Casarano?

The statistical background for Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Casarano — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.