Aurora vs Nacional Potosí: match statistics
Aurora vs Nacional Potosí: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Aurora played against Nacional Potosí in LFPB (Bolivia). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Estadio Félix Capriles. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Aurora has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Nacional Potosí has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Aurora scores 1.55 goals per game and allows 1.35. Nacional Potosí scores 1.50 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 3.08 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of Aurora's games and 55% of Nacional Potosí's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 60%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Aurora has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.42 per game. Aurora takes 14.6 shots per game, while Nacional Potosí takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Aurora leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Nacional Potosí leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
Aurora's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). For Nacional Potosí, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
LFPB games average 3.08 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aurora are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, while Nacional Potosí have won twice and suffered 1 defeat over the same period. Home advantage is clear: the hosts win 44% of their home matches, while the visitors lose 60% of their away games. Aurora average 2.11 goals at home with an xG of 1.77, whereas Nacional score 1.2 goals away from home with an xG of 1.29; the hosts also register more shots on target per match, 6.67 compared with 4.1. Aurora’s defense is not entirely reliable, conceding an average of 1.44 goals at home, but Nacional’s away xG against stands at a high 1.88, pointing to chances for the hosts. With Aurora drawing 44% of their home matches, a share of the points remains possible, but their edge in chance creation and overall match record points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has occurred in 50% of Aurora’s matches and 60% of Nacional Potosí’s, providing a moderate indication that both teams could score. Aurora average 1.8 goals, while Nacional Potosí average 1.2; both teams concede 1.4 goals per match, so each has a realistic chance of finding the net. The case for the hosts to score is particularly supported by their opponents’ average xG against of 1.88, while Aurora’s attacking xG stands at 1.55. However, caution is warranted: Aurora have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches, and Nacional Potosí have conceded an average of just 0.8 goals over their last five games. Even so, the visitors have scored 14 goals in their last five matches, making BTTS - Yes slightly more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least 2 goals were scored in 90% of matches involving both teams, giving Over 1.5 stronger backing than the higher lines. Aurora average 1.8 goals, while Nacional Potosí average 1.2; both teams concede 1.4 goals per match, pointing to a game with several goals. The hosts record an average xG of 1.55, while their opponents allow an xG of 1.88, giving Aurora a solid basis for finding the net. The 2.5 line is less certain: it was surpassed in 60% of each team’s matches this season, but in just 40% of their last 5 matches. With a forecast of 2.95 total goals, Over 1.5 remains the strongest pick, without needing to assume that at least 3 goals will be scored.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is a realistic scenario: Aurora were level at the break in 4 of 10 matches, including 3 of their last 5, while Nacional Potosí kept a clean sheet in the first half in 7 of 10 games. After the break, the advantage shifts towards the home side, who won the second half in 60% of matches, while the visitors lost it in 60%. Over the season as a whole, Aurora won 60% of their matches compared with Nacional's 20%, and their average xG is 1.55 against 1.88 xG conceded by their opponents. However, the X/1 HT/FT pick is not a certainty: the visitors held the lead at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2.8 goals per game over that period, increasing the likelihood of alternative outcomes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Aurora | Nacional Potosí | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nacional Potosí is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Aurora · 1.8 pts / game - Nacional Potosí
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aurora scores in 80% of games (16 of 20 games), while Nacional Potosí keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 games).
Nacional Potosí scores in 85% of games (17 of 20 games), while Aurora keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aurora
Over / Under - Nacional Potosí
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional Potosí is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Aurora · 1.55 pts / game - Nacional Potosí
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aurora - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nacional Potosí - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Aurora
Nacional Potosí
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Aurora | Liga | Nacional Potosí | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.90 | 3.08 | ▼ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 61% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Aurora's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Nacional Potosí. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
The LFPB match finished Aurora 2:2 Nacional Potosí. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aurora and Nacional Potosí?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Aurora won 0, Nacional Potosí won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
Aurora score 1.55 goals per game on average and Nacional Potosí 1.50. The LFPB average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Aurora's matches and 55% of Nacional Potosí's.
What form are Aurora and Nacional Potosí in?
Over the last 5 games Aurora have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Nacional Potosí 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.