Austria Wien II vs Blau-Weiß Linz: match statistics

Blau-Weiß Linz appears the favorite based on recent form: in the last 5 matches they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.0 point per game, while Austria Wien II have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (0.4 points per game). In attack Blau-Weiß scored 5 goals in those 5 matches (1.0 goals per game) versus 4 goals for Austria Wien II (0.8 gpg), so the visitors hold a slight edge in offensive efficiency. The key difference is defensively: Austria Wien II conceded 12 goals in their last 5 matches (2.4 goals per game), whereas Blau-Weiß conceded 8 goals (1.6 gpg), meaning the home side allow 0.8 more goals per game. Goal difference over the last 5 fixtures is -8 (4:12) for the home team and -3 (5:8) for the visitors, indicating larger problems for Austria Wien II in preserving results. Considering these figures and the lack of clear season-long data favoring the hosts, I predict an away win and assign probabilities: away 55%, draw 25%, home 20%.

Both teams have BTTS at 60% in the last 5 matches (3/5), providing a strong baseline signal for 'both teams to score'. Austria Wien II averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded in the last 5 (total 4 scored, 12 conceded), while Blau-Weiß Linz averaged 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded (5 scored, 8 conceded). xG values show Austria Wien II produced 1.19 xG and allowed 1.64 xG, and Blau-Weiß Linz had 1.45 xG with 1.29 xG against — combined expected goals ~2.64 xG, supporting a goal-on-both-sides scenario. Lack of season-long data limits confidence, but the difference in average goals conceded (2.4 vs 1.6) and the fact both teams had 3/5 BTTS matches suggest a stronger probability for 'Yes'. I recommend a 'BTTS - Yes' pick with an estimated probability 70% vs 30%, as goal and xG metrics favor matches where both teams find the net.

Austria Wien II scored 4 goals in the last 5 matches (0.8 avg) and conceded 12 (2.4 avg), while Blau‑Weiß Linz scored 5 (1.0 avg) and conceded 8 (1.6 avg). xG from the last 5 games shows 1.19 xG for the home side and 1.45 xG for the visitors; the home opponents generated 1.64 xG, and the visitors’ opponents 1.29 xG. Aggregating these values yields an expected 1.24 goals for the home team and 1.55 for the visitors, totaling 2.79 goals — 0.29 above the 2.5 line. Additionally, 60% of the home team’s matches in the last 5 were Over 2.5, and both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, which increases the probability of multiple goals. Based on this, I recommend backing Over 2.5 as the strongest signal, since the projected 2.79 goals and historical over/BTTS indicators favor the Over.

Austria Wien II led at the break in 2 of their last 5 matches (40%), while Blau-Weiß Linz were not leading at the break in any of their last 5 (0%), which favors the home side on HT. By half-time Austria Wien II scored 9 goals across five matches versus Blau‑Weiß Linz’s 4, but the situation reverses in the second half: the visitors average 1.0 goals and earn 1.4 points after the break, whereas the hosts score 0.0 goals on average after the break and concede 1.4. Additionally, Austria Wien II have not won any of their last 5 fixtures (0% wins) and concede an average of 2.4 goals per game, reducing the likelihood they will keep a lead to full-time. Based on this, the strongest signal is a home lead at the break with a visitor turnaround to win the match (1/2), therefore that is my pick.