Brazil - Serie BEstádio Aderbal Ramos da SilvaData current as of 22 July 2026

Avaí vs Náutico: match statistics

Avaí crest
Avaí
2 : 0half-time 1:0
Náutico crest
Náutico

Avaí vs Náutico: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Avaí play Náutico in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 12 July 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Avaí: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Náutico: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Avaí scores 1.11 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Náutico scores 1.22 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.27 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Avaí 53%, Náutico 33%. Over 2.5: Avaí 47%, Náutico 39%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

Náutico has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.18. Avaí: 11.2 shots per match, Náutico: 16.6.

Match halves

Avaí: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.74. Náutico: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.89.

Goals by minute

Avaí: 76-90+ (7 goals). Náutico: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Match description

Náutico is a narrow favorite due to offensive superiority: the visitors average 1.88 goals away versus 1.00 for the hosts at home, have higher xG (1.65 vs 1.32) and more shots (15.25 vs 13) and shots on target (4.63 vs 3.63). Náutico’s higher efficiency — 12% conversion vs Avaí’s 8% — means their chances more often become goals. Nevertheless, Avaí has a defensive edge at home: they concede only 1.13 goals per match and have kept a clean sheet in 50% of home games, while Náutico concedes 1.63 goals away and has 13% clean sheets. Both teams are in poor form: Avaí has 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 (5 goals for and 9 against), and Náutico 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (5 scored and 8 conceded), with form points of 0.6 vs 0.4 over the last 5. Considering the clear advantage of the visitors in creating and converting chances and their higher league position (Náutico 12th, Avaí 18th), I predict an away win.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

31Possession (%)69
AvaíNáutico
15Shots16
AvaíNáutico
3Shots on target1
AvaíNáutico
1.42xG1.57
AvaíNáutico
6Corners5
AvaíNáutico
37Dangerous attacks67
AvaíNáutico
17Fouls12
AvaíNáutico
3Cards1
AvaíNáutico

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.11Goals scored / match1.22
AvaíNáutico
1.37Goals conceded / match1.28
AvaíNáutico
49%Average possession60%
AvaíNáutico
3.32Shots on target / match4.33
AvaíNáutico

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.21Shots per match16.56
AvaíNáutico
3.32Shots on target4.33
AvaíNáutico
9.9%Shot conversion7.4%
AvaíNáutico
49%Possession60%
AvaíNáutico
1.18xG for1.77
AvaíNáutico
1.61xG against1.25
AvaíNáutico

Shooting quality

Avaí: BalancedNáutico: Dominant
AvaíNáutico
Accuracy (shots on target)30%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Avaí is 600% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Avaí · 0.2 pts / match - Náutico

Avaí
LLWDW
Season result split
26% W26% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-9
1.05 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-3
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.96Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Náutico
LLDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W17% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-9
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-5
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Náutico is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

1.11 goals / match - Avaí · 1.22 goals / match - Náutico

Náutico is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.37 goals / match - Avaí · 1.28 goals / match - Náutico

Avaí scoring profile: very strong

Avaí scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Náutico keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).

Náutico scoring profile: mixed

Náutico scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Avaí keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).

21Goals scored (season)22
AvaíNáutico
26Goals conceded (season)23
AvaíNáutico
2.47Average goals in match2.5
AvaíNáutico
6Goals scored (last 5)4
AvaíNáutico
6Goals conceded (last 5)9
AvaíNáutico

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal56%
AvaíNáutico
32%2 goals28%
AvaíNáutico
5%3 goals17%
AvaíNáutico
0%4 goals11%
AvaíNáutico

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal72%
AvaíNáutico
53%2 goals39%
AvaíNáutico
16%3 goals11%
AvaíNáutico
0%4 goals6%
AvaíNáutico

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time11%
AvaíNáutico
11%BTTS in both halves6%
AvaíNáutico
26%Scored in both halves22%
AvaíNáutico

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
AvaíNáutico
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
AvaíNáutico
60%BTTS - last 540%
AvaíNáutico

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
AvaíNáutico
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
AvaíNáutico
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
AvaíNáutico

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
AvaíNáutico
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
AvaíNáutico
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
AvaíNáutico

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Avaí is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.05 pts / match - Avaí · 0.83 pts / match - Náutico

Avaí - half-time state
21% leading42% draw37% trailing
Náutico - half-time state
17% leading33% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.05Points per match (1st half)0.83
AvaíNáutico
0.37Goals scored (1st half)0.33
AvaíNáutico
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.72
AvaíNáutico
1Average goals (1st half)1.06
AvaíNáutico
47%Clean sheet before half-time44%
AvaíNáutico
63%No goal before half-time78%
AvaíNáutico

After half-time (2nd half)

1.32Points per match (2nd half)1.61
AvaíNáutico
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.89
AvaíNáutico
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
AvaíNáutico
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.44
AvaíNáutico
53%Clean sheet after half-time61%
AvaíNáutico
37%No goal after half-time44%
AvaíNáutico

Avaí - second-half results

32% W37% R32% P
20
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Náutico - second-half results

44% W28% R28% P
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Avaí - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Náutico - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.20
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.40.4
Average goals in match1.61.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-6+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Avaí
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
3
16-30
4
9
31-45
3
5
46-60
4
3
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Náutico
ScoredConceded
0
5
0-15
2
3
16-30
4
5
31-45
3
1
46-60
5
3
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.49
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Avaí

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Náutico

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.97
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

AvaíLigaNáutico
Average goals in match 2.472.27 2.50
Both teams scored 53%48% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%42% 39%
Clean sheets 32%31% 28%
Goal before half-time 74%66% 67%
Goal after half-time 79%74% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.27
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.27
Home goals / match
1.01
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Avaí vs Náutico?

The Serie B match finished Avaí 2:0 Náutico. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Avaí vs Náutico?

Avaí score 1.11 goals per game on average and Náutico 1.22. The Serie B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Avaí's matches and 33% of Náutico's.

What form are Avaí and Náutico in?

Over the last 5 games Avaí have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Náutico 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Avaí vs Náutico?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Avaí vs Náutico: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.