Avaí vs Novorizontino: match statistics
Avaí vs Novorizontino: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Avaí played against Novorizontino in Serie B (Brazil). The game was played on May 3, 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Recent form
Avaí has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Novorizontino has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Avaí scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 1.00. Novorizontino scores 1.17 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.16 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Avaí's games and 50% of Novorizontino's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Novorizontino has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.42 per game. Avaí takes 13.3 shots per game, while Novorizontino takes 16.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Avaí leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Novorizontino leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Avaí's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). For Novorizontino, it is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.16 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I forecast a Novorizontino (2) win based on superior form and recent 5-match metrics: the visitors average 1.6 points per game versus Avai’s 1.0, scoring 6 and conceding only 3 in that span while Avai scored 5 and conceded 6. Novorizontino is also more effective in the penalty area — on average 4 on-target shots from 11.33 attempts and a conversion rate around 9%, versus 3.67 on-target from 13.67 attempts and 7% for the hosts. Defensively the visitors look more stable away, conceding just 0.33 goals per game compared to Avai’s 0.67 conceded at home, with both teams keeping a clean sheet in 67% of matches. Avai do have higher expected xG at home (1.48 vs 1.30 xG for the visitors) and more shots (13.67 vs 11.33), giving them a real chance to create opportunities, but lower efficiency (7% vs 9%) weakens that edge. Therefore I assign probabilities: 40% for an away win, 30% for a draw and 30% for a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Novorizontino has a very strong defense: seasonal clean sheet rate is 67% and they concede only 0.33 goals per match on average, which strongly favors No BTTS. In the last 5 matches the visitors conceded 3 goals (0.6 avg), while Avaí conceded 6 goals (1.2 avg), which amplifies Novorizontino's defensive edge. However, Avaí creates a lot of chances — the home side’s seasonal xG is 2.18 versus 1.3 xG for the visitors and 6.33 shots on target vs 4.0, and the home side’s seasonal BTTS is 100%, so the hosts have a real scoring opportunity. Considering the league clean sheet rate of 63% and the comparison 67% (visitors’ clean sheets) vs 100% (home BTTS), No BTTS appears more likely; therefore I estimate BTTS 40% and No BTTS 60%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model is xG-based: Avai’s attacking xG is 2.18, Novorizontino’s attacking xG is 1.30, and conceded xG is 1.01 (Avai) and 1.17 (Nov), yielding expected ~1.68 goals for Avai and ~1.16 for Novorizontino (total 2.84). At home Avai averages 21.0 shots and 6.33 shots on target, and their matches have a 100% rate over 1.5 goals and 67% over 2.5, which strongly supports an over edge. Novorizontino away averages only 4.0 shots on target, concedes on average 0.33 goals season-to-date and has 67% clean sheets, which limits high opponent scoring, but their xG 1.30 indicates they can still score ~1.16 goals. Considering the combined expected 2.84 goals and the contrast (Avai high shot volume and high >1.5 share vs. Nov’s defensive away profile with 67% clean sheets), the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (~92% probability); Over 2.5 remains moderately likely (~68%), while Over 3.5 has a low chance (~26%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the most likely outcome is a draw: both teams were level at the break in 3 of 3 matches (100%), and in the last 5 fixtures the half-time draw rate was 80% for Avai and 100% for Novorizontino. In the second half the visitors have the greater chances of winning — the average points in the last 5 matches are 1.6 for Novorizontino versus 1.0 for Avai, and the season average goals conceded is 0.33 (away) versus 1.67 (home); additionally the visitors have 67% clean sheets this season while the hosts have 0%. Although Avai generates more chances (xG 2.18 and on average 21 shots per game vs xG 1.3 and 11.33 shots for Novorizontino), their conversion rate is only 6% compared to 9% for the visitors, so the creation advantage does not translate into better finishing. Furthermore most goals are scored after the break (in the second half Avai have goals in 100% of games vs 67% for Novorizontino), which favors the X/2 scenario (draw at half-time, visitors win at full-time) — this is my pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Avaí | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Novorizontino is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Avaí · 1.6 pts / game - Novorizontino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Avaí scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 meczów), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).
Novorizontino scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 meczów), while Avaí keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Avaí
Over / Under - Novorizontino
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Avaí is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / game - Avaí · 1 pts / game - Novorizontino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Avaí - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Novorizontino - second-half results
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Avaí
Novorizontino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Avaí | Liga | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.17 | 2.16 | • 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 32% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Avaí's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Novorizontino. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Avaí vs Novorizontino?
The Serie B match finished Avaí 3:3 Novorizontino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Avaí and Novorizontino?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Avaí won 0, Novorizontino won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Avaí vs Novorizontino?
Avaí score 1.17 goals per game on average and Novorizontino 1.17. The Serie B average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Avaí's matches and 50% of Novorizontino's.
What form are Avaí and Novorizontino in?
Over the last 5 games Avaí have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Novorizontino 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Avaí vs Novorizontino?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Avaí vs Novorizontino: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.