Avaí vs Novorizontino: match statistics
Avaí vs Novorizontino: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Avaí play Novorizontino in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 4 May 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Avaí: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Novorizontino: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Avaí scores 1.06 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Novorizontino scores 1.65 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Avaí 47%, Novorizontino 53%. Over 2.5: Avaí 47%, Novorizontino 59%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Novorizontino has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.22. Avaí: 11.7 shots per match, Novorizontino: 14.5.
Match halves
Avaí: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.65. Novorizontino: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 1.18.
Goals by minute
Avaí: 76-90+ (5 goals). Novorizontino: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.29 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I forecast a Novorizontino (2) win based on superior form and recent 5-match metrics: the visitors average 1.6 points per game versus Avai’s 1.0, scoring 6 and conceding only 3 in that span while Avai scored 5 and conceded 6. Novorizontino is also more effective in the penalty area — on average 4 on-target shots from 11.33 attempts and a conversion rate around 9%, versus 3.67 on-target from 13.67 attempts and 7% for the hosts. Defensively the visitors look more stable away, conceding just 0.33 goals per game compared to Avai’s 0.67 conceded at home, with both teams keeping a clean sheet in 67% of matches. Avai do have higher expected xG at home (1.48 vs 1.30 xG for the visitors) and more shots (13.67 vs 11.33), giving them a real chance to create opportunities, but lower efficiency (7% vs 9%) weakens that edge. Therefore I assign probabilities: 40% for an away win, 30% for a draw and 30% for a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Avaí | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Novorizontino is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Avaí · 2 pts / match - Novorizontino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novorizontino is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Avaí · 1.65 goals / match - Novorizontino
Novorizontino is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.41 goals / match - Avaí · 0.94 goals / match - Novorizontino
Avaí scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
Novorizontino scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Avaí keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Avaí
Over / Under — Novorizontino
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novorizontino is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Avaí · 1.24 pts / match - Novorizontino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Avaí - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Novorizontino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Avaí
Novorizontino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Avaí | Liga | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.47 | 2.29 | ▲ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 47% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 42% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 31% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 65% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Avaí 0 - 2 - 0 Novorizontino. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Avaí vs Novorizontino?
The Serie B match finished Avaí 3:3 Novorizontino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Avaí and Novorizontino?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Avaí won 0, Novorizontino won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Avaí vs Novorizontino?
Avaí score 1.06 goals per game on average and Novorizontino 1.65. The Serie B average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Avaí's matches and 53% of Novorizontino's.
What form are Avaí and Novorizontino in?
Over the last 5 games Avaí have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Novorizontino 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Avaí vs Novorizontino?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Avaí vs Novorizontino: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.