Avellino vs Catanzaro: match statistics
Avellino vs Catanzaro: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Avellino played against Catanzaro in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on April 11, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Avellino has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Catanzaro has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Avellino scores 1.12 goals per game and allows 1.61. Catanzaro scores 1.56 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Avellino's games and 63% of Catanzaro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 53%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Catanzaro has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.10 per game. Avellino takes 9.5 shots per game, while Catanzaro takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Avellino leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. Catanzaro leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.91 after halftime.
When the teams score
Avellino's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Catanzaro, it is minutes 46-60 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Catanzaro are the favorites: they have scored 50 goals this season versus Avellino's 37, and in the last 5 matches the visitors have netted 11 goals compared to the hosts' 7, indicating a clear offensive edge for the away side. On the road Catanzaro average 12.31 shots and 4.19 on target per game versus Avellino's 10.88 shots and 4.13 on target at home; average xG is 1.36 for Catanzaro away against 1.28 for Avellino at home. Avellino, however, have better short-term form: 1.8 points per game in the last 5 matches versus Catanzaro's 1.6, and a higher home clean sheet rate (25% vs 19%), which can limit the visitors' advantage. Defensively Avellino have conceded 53 goals this season versus Catanzaro's 39, but per-game averages are similar (Avellino 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded at home vs Catanzaro 1.5 scored and 1.44 conceded away), suggesting an open, goalscoring match. Considering Catanzaro's greater productivity (50 goals, higher xG and more shots) I give the away side a slight edge, though a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season BTTS rates of 56% (Avellino) and 69% (Catanzaro), with the last 5 matches at 60% and 100%, strongly favoring a Goal/Goal scenario. Catanzaro averages 2.2 scored and 2.0 conceded in their last five, while Avellino averages 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded over the same span, demonstrating both sides’ ability to generate goals. xG corroborates offensive potential: Avellino attack xG 1.44 vs xG against Catanzaro 1.56, and Catanzaro attack xG 1.36 vs xG against Avellino 1.34 — both teams create ~1.3–1.4 xG each, so goals are statistically justified. Additionally, Catanzaro keep a clean sheet in only 19% of matches, and average shots on target 4.5 vs 4.19 confirm offensive activity from both sides; therefore I assessed BTTS probability at ~78% and recommend bet: BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect a combined xG of 2.85: 1.50 for Avellino (attack xG 1.44 and Catanzaro conceded xG 1.56 => (1.44+1.56)/2 = 1.50) and 1.35 for Catanzaro (1.36 and 1.34 -> 1.35). Strong support for Over 1.5 comes from seasonal indicators: Avellino has Over1.5 in 75% of matches, Catanzaro in 81%, which justifies a high probability for Over1.5 (86%). For the 2.5 line the data are mixed but still convincing: seasonal Over2.5 are 38% (Avellino) and 69% (Catanzaro), while in the last 5 matches Over2.5 is 60% and 80% — an average close to 60%, so I propose Over2.5 with a 60% probability. Over3.5 is less likely: seasonal Over3.5 are 31% and 44%, and the expected goals 2.85 is below 3.5, so Under3.5 has the edge (67%). Additionally, the high BTTS rates for both teams (56% and 69%) and average shots per game of 14.13 and 12.31 with a 12% conversion rate support a minimum 2–3 goal scenario; therefore my preferred bet is Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Catanzaro led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%), scoring 8 first-half goals in those games versus Avellino’s 4 in their last 5, indicating the visitors’ advantage in the first 45 minutes. Avellino, however, holds a clear advantage after the break: they have scored 10 goals in minutes 46–60 this season and average 1.0 goal in the second half while conceding only 0.38, which translates to 32 points won in second halves and an average of 2.0 points per match in that period. xG levels are similar (1.44 for Avellino vs 1.36 for Catanzaro) and seasonal goals averages are 1.63 vs 1.50, so offensive strength is comparable, but the home side is more effective after the break. Considering the visitors often start strongly (an average of 1.0 goal at half-time in their last 5 matches) and the hosts tend to stage a turnaround in the second half, the most likely HT/FT scenario is 2/1 — Catanzaro leading at half-time and Avellino winning at full-time. Therefore my best pick is 2/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Avellino | Catanzaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Avellino is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Avellino · 1.6 pts / game - Catanzaro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Catanzaro is 39% better for: goals scored per game.
1.12 goals / game - Avellino · 1.56 goals / game - Catanzaro
Catanzaro is 32% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.61 goals / game - Avellino · 1.22 goals / game - Catanzaro
Avellino scores in 64% of games (21 of 33 meczów), while Catanzaro keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 meczów).
Catanzaro scores in 81% of games (26 of 32 meczów), while Avellino keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Avellino
Over / Under - Catanzaro
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Catanzaro is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / game - Avellino · 1.5 pts / game - Catanzaro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Avellino - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Catanzaro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Avellino
Catanzaro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Avellino | Liga | Catanzaro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.73 | 2.56 | ▲ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 77% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Avellino's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Catanzaro. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Avellino vs Catanzaro?
The Serie B match finished Avellino 1:1 Catanzaro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Avellino vs Catanzaro?
Avellino score 1.12 goals per game on average and Catanzaro 1.56. The Serie B average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Avellino's matches and 63% of Catanzaro's.
What form are Avellino and Catanzaro in?
Over the last 5 games Avellino have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Catanzaro 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Avellino vs Catanzaro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Avellino vs Catanzaro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.