Avellino vs Modena: match statistics
Avellino vs Modena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Avellino play Modena in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 8 May 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Avellino: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Modena: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Avellino scores 1.10 and concedes 1.49 goals per match. Modena scores 1.26 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Avellino 49%, Modena 49%. Over 2.5: Avellino 46%, Modena 49%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Modena has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.15. Avellino: 9.9 shots per match, Modena: 15.2.
Match halves
Avellino: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.59. Modena: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Avellino: 31-45+ (10 goals). Modena: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Modena appears the favorite based on a superior season profile: the visitors have scored 49 and conceded 35, while Avellino have 42 scored and 55 conceded — Modena have a 20-goal better goal difference. In away metrics Modena record an average xG of 1.78, whereas Avellino at home concede xG of 1.45, indicating the visitors generate roughly 0.33 xG more chances. Modena average 16.89 shots and 4.72 on target away, versus Avellino’s 11.72 and 4.28 on target at home, although Avellino are more efficient in conversion (12% vs 7%). The last 5 matches slightly favor the hosts (Avellino: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 1.4 points per match; Modena: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses, 1.0 point per match), but Modena’s more stable defense (0.99–1.00 conceded goals away on average vs 1.39 Avellino at home) and the xG edge argue for the visitors. I expect a tight game decided by a single goal in Modena’s favor.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Avellino | Modena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Avellino is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Avellino · 0.6 pts / match - Modena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Modena is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Avellino · 1.26 goals / match - Modena
Modena is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.49 goals / match - Avellino · 0.95 goals / match - Modena
Avellino scores in 64% of matches (25 of 39 matches), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).
Modena scores in 72% of matches (28 of 39 matches), while Avellino keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Avellino
Over / Under — Modena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Modena is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Avellino · 1.46 pts / match - Modena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Avellino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Modena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Avellino
Modena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Avellino | Liga | Modena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.59 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 49% | 53% | ▼ 49% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 48% | • 49% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 27% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Avellino 0 - 1 - 0 Modena. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Avellino vs Modena?
The Serie B match finished Avellino 1:0 Modena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Avellino vs Modena?
Avellino score 1.10 goals per game on average and Modena 1.26. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Avellino's matches and 49% of Modena's.
What form are Avellino and Modena in?
Over the last 5 games Avellino have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Modena 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Avellino vs Modena?
The statistical background for Avellino vs Modena — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.