Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic: match statistics
Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ayr United played against Dunfermline Athletic in Championship (Scotland). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Somerset Park. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Ayr United has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Dunfermline Athletic has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Ayr United scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.11. Dunfermline Athletic scores 0.86 and allows 0.57. Games in this league average 2.02 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Ayr United's games and 29% of Dunfermline Athletic's. The Over 2.5 rates are 22% and 0%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Dunfermline Athletic has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.00 per game. Ayr United takes 7.0 shots per game, while Dunfermline Athletic takes 10.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Ayr United leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.22 goals per game after halftime. Dunfermline Athletic leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ayr United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Dunfermline Athletic, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.02 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dunfermline Athletic arrive in better form, having won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Ayr United have won 2 and lost 3. The visitors concede an average of 0.75 goals away from home and have kept a clean sheet in 50% of those matches, which could restrict the hosts, who score an average of 1 goal at home. On the other hand, Dunfermline score just 0.5 goals per away match and have failed to find the net in half of those games, making them difficult to regard as clear favorites. The teams’ average xG figures are similar — 1.29 for Ayr at home and 1.39 for Dunfermline away — although the visitors hit the target more often, averaging 4.75 shots on target compared with 3.25 for the hosts. With Dunfermline drawing 50% of their away matches and both sides showing limited attacking efficiency, a share of the points looks the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to at least one team failing to score: BTTS occurred in 33% of Ayr United matches and 25% of Dunfermline Athletic matches, compared with a league average of 36%. The hosts keep a clean sheet in 67% of matches and concede just 0.33 goals on average, while the visitors score an average of 0.5 goals and have failed to find the net in 50% of matches. Ayr also have a higher attacking xG average, 1.59 compared with their opponents’ 1.39, supporting a scenario in which the hosts score and the visitors do not. However, caution is warranted: Dunfermline averaged 1.2 goals from an xG of 1.61 in their last five matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of those games.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In Ayr United’s home matches and Dunfermline Athletic’s away matches so far, neither side has seen more than 2 goals, strongly pointing to a low-scoring game. The hosts concede an average of 0.33 goals at home, while the visitors score just 0.50 goals away, with a shot conversion rate of 5%. The league average of 2.02 goals and the fact that only 28% of matches have featured at least 3 goals also support a cautious outlook. Attacking xG figures of 1.59 for the hosts and 1.39 for the visitors provide some counterbalance, making Under 3.5 goals a safer pick than Under 2.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Ayr United were level at the break in 2 of their 3 home matches, while Dunfermline Athletic were level at half-time in 3 of their 4 away games. The visitors have yet to score before half-time away from home, although they kept a clean sheet at the break in 3 of those 4 matches, pointing to a closely contested opening. Across the full match, the hosts have the edge: at home they score an average of 1.33 goals and concede 0.33, while Dunfermline score 0.50 and concede 0.75 goals away. Ayr have won 2 of their 3 home matches, and their average xG is 1.59, compared with the 1.14 xG conceded by the visitors away from home. As a result, after a level first half, a home win looks the most likely outcome. However, this pick is not certain, as Dunfermline have won 3 of their last 5 matches in all competitions, while Ayr have won 2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ayr United | Dunfermline Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Dunfermline Athletic is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Ayr United · 2 pts / game - Dunfermline Athletic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ayr United is 16% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Ayr United · 0.86 goals / game - Dunfermline Athletic
Dunfermline Athletic is 95% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.11 goals / game - Ayr United · 0.57 goals / game - Dunfermline Athletic
Ayr United scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 games), while Dunfermline Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 games).
Dunfermline Athletic scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ayr United
Over / Under - Dunfermline Athletic
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ayr United is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / game - Ayr United · 1.14 pts / game - Dunfermline Athletic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Dunfermline Athletic - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Ayr United | Liga | Dunfermline Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.11 | 2.02 | ▼ 1.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 44% | 36% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 29% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 37% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 67% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 67% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Ayr United's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Dunfermline Athletic. Games average 2.40 goals, and both teams scored in 40% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic?
The Championship match finished Ayr United 1:1 Dunfermline Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ayr United and Dunfermline Athletic?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Ayr United won 2, Dunfermline Athletic won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic?
Ayr United score 1.00 goals per game on average and Dunfermline Athletic 0.86. The Championship average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Ayr United's matches and 29% of Dunfermline Athletic's.
What form are Ayr United and Dunfermline Athletic in?
Over the last 5 games Ayr United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Dunfermline Athletic 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic?
The statistical background for Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.