Ayr United vs Greenock Morton: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests a closely contested match with a draw bias. Ayr United holds a higher league position (5th place), but they are in poor form with only 0.4 points per game in their last five matches and haven't won any of them. The hosts have a balanced home goal difference (-1), yet as many as 46% of their home matches end in a draw. Greenock Morton also draws frequently in away matches (43% of games), although their form is slightly better (0.6 PPG). The visitors score a similar number of goals away (1.14) as the hosts do at home (1.15), but they concede more (1.64 vs 1.23). Considering both teams' high draw rates and Ayr United's poor recent form, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome.
Ayr United vs Greenock Morton: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ayr United played against Greenock Morton in Championship (Scotland). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Ayr United has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Greenock Morton has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Ayr United scores 1.21 goals per game and allows 1.21. Greenock Morton scores 1.00 and allows 1.34. Games in this league average 2.38 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 68% of Ayr United's games and 55% of Greenock Morton's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 38%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ayr United has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.16 per game. Ayr United takes 10.9 shots per game, while Greenock Morton takes 9.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Ayr United leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.39 goals per game after halftime. Greenock Morton leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ayr United's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). For Greenock Morton, it is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.38 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis suggests a closely contested match with a draw bias. Ayr United holds a higher league position (5th place), but they are in poor form with only 0.4 points per game in their last five matches and haven't won any of them. The hosts have a balanced home goal difference (-1), yet as many as 46% of their home matches end in a draw. Greenock Morton also draws frequently in away matches (43% of games), although their form is slightly better (0.6 PPG). The visitors score a similar number of goals away (1.14) as the hosts do at home (1.15), but they concede more (1.64 vs 1.23). Considering both teams' high draw rates and Ayr United's poor recent form, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ayr United | Greenock Morton | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ayr United is 21% better for: goals scored per game.
1.21 goals / game - Ayr United · 1 goals / game - Greenock Morton
Ayr United is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.21 goals / game - Ayr United · 1.34 goals / game - Greenock Morton
Ayr United scores in 79% of games (22 of 28 meczów), while Greenock Morton keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 meczów).
Greenock Morton scores in 69% of games (20 of 29 meczów), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ayr United
Over / Under - Greenock Morton
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ayr United is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / game - Ayr United · 1.38 pts / game - Greenock Morton
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Greenock Morton - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 21%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ayr United
Greenock Morton
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Ayr United | Liga | Greenock Morton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.43 | 2.38 | • 2.34 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 43% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 33% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 68% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 68% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Ayr United's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses against Greenock Morton. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ayr United vs Greenock Morton?
The Championship match finished Ayr United 0:1 Greenock Morton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ayr United and Greenock Morton?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Ayr United won 1, Greenock Morton won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ayr United vs Greenock Morton?
Ayr United score 1.21 goals per game on average and Greenock Morton 1.00. The Championship average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Ayr United's matches and 55% of Greenock Morton's.
What form are Ayr United and Greenock Morton in?
Over the last 5 games Ayr United have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Greenock Morton 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayr United vs Greenock Morton?
The statistical background for Ayr United vs Greenock Morton — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.