Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima: match statistics
Ayutthaya United is showing decisively better form than Nakhon Ratchasima, as confirmed by their points-per-match balance over the last 5 games (1.8 vs 0.8). The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors have recorded only one victory in that period. Nakhon Ratchasima has a catastrophic away record with a 73% loss rate and concedes an average of 2.18 goals per away match, failing to score in 55% of their away fixtures. Although Ayutthaya has a weaker home record (50% losses), their advantage in possession (47% vs 40%), shooting accuracy, and expected goals (xG 1.5 vs 1.1) speaks in their favor. The class difference between the 7th and 16th place in the table, coupled with the visitors' clear weakness in away matches, suggests a home victory, although their unstable home form does not allow for an overly high probability.
Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ayutthaya United played against Nakhon Ratchasima in Thai League T1 (Thailand). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Ayutthaya United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Nakhon Ratchasima has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Ayutthaya United scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.42. Nakhon Ratchasima scores 0.65 and allows 1.70. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Ayutthaya United's games and 39% of Nakhon Ratchasima's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 43%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ayutthaya United has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.22 per game. Ayutthaya United takes 13.9 shots per game, while Nakhon Ratchasima takes 9.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Ayutthaya United leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. Nakhon Ratchasima leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.35 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ayutthaya United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Nakhon Ratchasima, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Thai League T1 games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ayutthaya United is showing decisively better form than Nakhon Ratchasima, as confirmed by their points-per-match balance over the last 5 games (1.8 vs 0.8). The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors have recorded only one victory in that period. Nakhon Ratchasima has a catastrophic away record with a 73% loss rate and concedes an average of 2.18 goals per away match, failing to score in 55% of their away fixtures. Although Ayutthaya has a weaker home record (50% losses), their advantage in possession (47% vs 40%), shooting accuracy, and expected goals (xG 1.5 vs 1.1) speaks in their favor. The class difference between the 7th and 16th place in the table, coupled with the visitors' clear weakness in away matches, suggests a home victory, although their unstable home form does not allow for an overly high probability.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ayutthaya United | Nakhon Ratchasima | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ayutthaya United is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Ayutthaya United · 0.8 pts / game - Nakhon Ratchasima
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ayutthaya United is 98% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - Ayutthaya United · 0.65 goals / game - Nakhon Ratchasima
Ayutthaya United is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.42 goals / game - Ayutthaya United · 1.7 goals / game - Nakhon Ratchasima
Ayutthaya United scores in 79% of games (19 of 24 meczów), while Nakhon Ratchasima keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 meczów).
Nakhon Ratchasima scores in 43% of games (10 of 23 meczów), while Ayutthaya United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ayutthaya United
Over / Under - Nakhon Ratchasima
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ayutthaya United is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / game - Ayutthaya United · 0.91 pts / game - Nakhon Ratchasima
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ayutthaya United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Nakhon Ratchasima - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 13%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ayutthaya United
Nakhon Ratchasima
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Thai League T1).
Teams vs league
| Ayutthaya United | Liga | Nakhon Ratchasima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.71 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 46% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 24% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 68% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 84% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Ayutthaya United's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Nakhon Ratchasima. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?
The Thai League T1 match finished Ayutthaya United 0:1 Nakhon Ratchasima. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?
Ayutthaya United score 1.29 goals per game on average and Nakhon Ratchasima 0.65. The Thai League T1 average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Ayutthaya United's matches and 39% of Nakhon Ratchasima's.
What form are Ayutthaya United and Nakhon Ratchasima in?
Over the last 5 games Ayutthaya United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?
The statistical background for Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.