AZ vs Excelsior: match statistics
AZ demonstrates a decisive advantage at home, winning 50% of matches with just 13% losses and scoring an average of 2.38 goals per game. The hosts boast superior offensive statistics (xG 1.98 vs 1.35) as well as defensive figures (averaging 1.88 goals conceded vs 2.75 for Excelsior away). Excelsior holds a dismal away record—63% losses, zero clean sheets, and a negative goal difference of -13—which, combined with only 25% away wins, clearly positions them as the outsider. While the form of both teams over the last five matches is balanced (1.4 points per match each), the disparity between AZ's home efficiency and Excelsior's away frailty decisively favors the hosts. The high average goal count in AZ's home games (4.25) and Excelsior's vulnerability to conceding suggest a confident victory for the hosts.
AZ vs Excelsior: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AZ played against Excelsior in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on January 21, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
AZ has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Excelsior has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
AZ scores 1.83 goals per game and allows 1.72. Excelsior scores 1.06 and allows 1.89. Games in this league average 3.28 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 72% of AZ's games and 61% of Excelsior's. The Over 2.5 rates are 72% and 67%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AZ has the higher season xG average, 1.84 to 1.33 per game. AZ takes 16.6 shots per game, while Excelsior takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
AZ leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.72 goals per game after halftime. Excelsior leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
AZ's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Excelsior, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.28 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AZ demonstrates a decisive advantage at home, winning 50% of matches with just 13% losses and scoring an average of 2.38 goals per game. The hosts boast superior offensive statistics (xG 1.98 vs 1.35) as well as defensive figures (averaging 1.88 goals conceded vs 2.75 for Excelsior away). Excelsior holds a dismal away record—63% losses, zero clean sheets, and a negative goal difference of -13—which, combined with only 25% away wins, clearly positions them as the outsider. While the form of both teams over the last five matches is balanced (1.4 points per match each), the disparity between AZ's home efficiency and Excelsior's away frailty decisively favors the hosts. The high average goal count in AZ's home games (4.25) and Excelsior's vulnerability to conceding suggest a confident victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AZ | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Excelsior is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - AZ · 1.4 pts / game - Excelsior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AZ is 73% better for: goals scored per game.
1.83 goals / game - AZ · 1.06 goals / game - Excelsior
AZ is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.72 goals / game - AZ · 1.89 goals / game - Excelsior
AZ scores in 94% of games (17 of 18 meczów), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 meczów).
Excelsior scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while AZ keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AZ
Over / Under - Excelsior
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AZ is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / game - AZ · 1.39 pts / game - Excelsior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AZ - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AZ
Excelsior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| AZ | Liga | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.56 | 3.28 | ▼ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 63% | ▼ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 22% | 19% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 86% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of AZ vs Excelsior?
The Eredivisie match finished AZ 1:1 Excelsior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AZ vs Excelsior?
AZ score 1.83 goals per game on average and Excelsior 1.06. The Eredivisie average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 72% of AZ's matches and 61% of Excelsior's.
What form are AZ and Excelsior in?
Over the last 5 games AZ have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Excelsior 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AZ vs Excelsior?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AZ vs Excelsior: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.