AZ vs NAC Breda: match statistics
AZ vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AZ play NAC Breda in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 14:30. Venue: AFAS Stadion. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
AZ: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. NAC Breda: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
AZ scores 1.71 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. NAC Breda scores 1.03 and concedes 1.71. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AZ 65%, NAC Breda 47%. Over 2.5: AZ 65%, NAC Breda 50%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
AZ has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.52. AZ: 15.8 shots per match, NAC Breda: 14.1.
Match halves
AZ: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.76. NAC Breda: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
AZ: 0-15 (15 goals). NAC Breda: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
AZ is the clear favorite: at home they score an average of 2.25 goals and have a goal difference of +13, while NAC score only 0.75 goals on average away with a -20 goal difference. In the last 5 matches AZ scored 10 goals (2.0 per match) and remain unbeaten in that period (1 win, 4 draws), averaging 1.4 points per match, whereas NAC have 3 goals in their last 5 (0.6 per match) and average 1.0 point per match. In terms of chance quality AZ generate at home an average xG of 1.81 versus opponents’ xG 1.27 and register 6.13 shots on target per game, while NAC average only 3.56 shots on target and xG 1.39 on the road; the home conversion rate is 14% compared to 6% for the visitors. NAC’s away defense concedes an average of 2.0 goals per match, and the visitors fail to score in 50% of away games, while AZ have no matches without a goal at home (0% scoreless games), which substantially increases the hosts’ scoring probability. Considering the superiority in effectiveness (2.25 vs 0.75 goals), better xG and shots on target metrics and league position (6th vs 17th), I predict an AZ win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AZ | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AZ is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - AZ · 1 pts / match - NAC Breda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AZ is 66% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - AZ · 1.03 goals / match - NAC Breda
AZ is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - AZ · 1.71 goals / match - NAC Breda
AZ scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
NAC Breda scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while AZ keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AZ
Over / Under — NAC Breda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AZ is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - AZ · 0.94 pts / match - NAC Breda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AZ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 18%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AZ
NAC Breda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| AZ | Liga | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.21 | 3.17 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 63% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 20% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 84% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AZ 1 - 0 - 0 NAC Breda. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AZ vs NAC Breda?
The Eredivisie match finished AZ 3:3 NAC Breda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AZ vs NAC Breda?
AZ score 1.71 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 1.03. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 65% of AZ's matches and 47% of NAC Breda's.
What form are AZ and NAC Breda in?
Over the last 5 games AZ have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and NAC Breda 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AZ vs NAC Breda?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AZ vs NAC Breda: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.